AGModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.3%
Next 1 month
+1.5%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +0.9% median,
55% of the last 31 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 83
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.07%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.58 +1.4% · Seasonal tilt +0.2%
$23M/day volume
30% volatility
+32% 1-year
-17% from ATH
52-week range · 63% of the way up · -17% from the high
$136.57$248.29
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 2 days) · EPS est. 5.20.
1-day std dev
5.8%
Finished up
62%
Biggest pop
+14.6%
Biggest drop
-14.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | beat | 4.87 | 5.40 | +11.0% | +0.0% | +3.3% | +6.9% |
| 2026-05-05 | beat | 4.44 | 4.74 | +6.7% | +3.9% | +4.4% | +0.0% |
| 2026-02-19 | miss | 4.53 | 3.66 | -19.1% | -7.1% | -14.1% | -9.4% |
| 2025-11-03 | miss | 4.58 | 4.44 | -3.1% | +4.5% | +4.7% | +4.7% |
| 2025-08-07 | beat | 4.29 | 4.32 | +0.7% | +2.8% | +3.3% | +9.6% |
| 2025-05-09 | beat | 4.06 | 4.19 | +3.2% | +3.2% | +4.7% | +9.2% |
| 2025-02-21 | miss | 4.17 | 3.97 | -4.9% | +4.1% | +6.3% | +6.8% |
| 2024-11-04 | miss | 4.11 | 4.10 | -0.3% | -0.9% | +6.2% | +16.4% |
| 2024-08-05 | miss | 4.08 | 3.63 | -11.0% | -1.1% | -6.0% | -4.3% |
| 2024-05-06 | miss | 4.06 | 3.96 | -2.5% | -4.0% | -4.6% | -9.1% |
| 2024-02-23 | beat | 4.05 | 4.10 | +1.3% | +2.3% | -3.2% | -2.9% |
| 2023-11-06 | beat | 4.00 | 4.13 | +3.2% | -0.9% | -2.7% | +3.0% |
| 2023-08-07 | beat | 3.23 | 3.86 | +19.5% | +2.8% | +0.6% | +8.1% |
| 2023-05-09 | beat | 2.88 | 3.56 | +23.8% | +0.0% | -4.6% | +5.3% |
| 2023-02-24 | beat | 2.92 | 3.16 | +8.4% | +0.0% | +4.1% | +8.8% |
| 2022-11-07 | beat | 2.90 | 3.07 | +5.9% | -1.2% | +2.1% | +7.3% |
| 2022-08-08 | 2.83 | 2.83 | — | +0.5% | +1.3% | +5.9% | |
| 2022-05-09 | miss | 2.59 | 2.37 | -8.5% | +0.3% | -2.1% | +0.8% |
| 2022-02-28 | beat | 2.66 | 2.76 | +3.8% | +2.6% | -5.5% | -6.4% |
| 2021-11-08 | miss | 2.62 | 2.24 | -14.5% | -1.6% | -5.8% | -4.6% |
| 2021-08-05 | beat | 2.54 | 2.77 | +9.1% | +2.0% | +1.9% | +3.6% |
| 2021-05-06 | miss | 2.41 | 2.39 | -0.8% | -1.9% | -8.4% | -7.6% |
| 2021-02-25 | beat | 2.29 | 2.45 | +7.0% | +1.1% | +1.7% | +6.5% |
| 2020-11-09 | beat | 2.25 | 2.57 | +14.2% | +1.8% | +1.2% | +0.0% |
| 2020-08-10 | beat | 2.29 | 2.45 | +7.0% | +1.5% | +5.7% | +5.4% |
| 2020-05-11 | miss | 2.24 | 1.87 | -16.5% | -1.5% | -6.0% | -4.3% |
| 2020-02-25 | beat | 2.06 | 2.27 | +10.2% | +2.9% | +8.0% | +8.2% |
| 2019-11-06 | miss | 2.20 | 2.17 | -1.4% | -1.5% | -6.5% | -5.7% |
| 2019-08-01 | beat | 2.07 | 2.20 | +6.5% | +2.2% | +5.8% | +0.5% |
| 2019-05-02 | 2.06 | 2.06 | — | -0.6% | +0.8% | -3.1% | |
| 2019-02-21 | miss | 1.98 | 1.90 | -4.0% | +0.2% | -2.1% | +11.8% |
| 2018-11-08 | beat | 2.03 | 2.08 | +2.5% | +2.1% | +4.2% | -6.8% |
| 2018-08-09 | miss | 2.05 | 1.80 | -12.2% | -0.7% | -9.3% | -17.3% |
| 2018-05-10 | beat | 1.94 | 2.03 | +4.8% | +0.6% | +0.7% | +3.0% |
| 2018-03-08 | beat | 1.51 | 1.65 | +9.3% | +2.3% | +10.1% | +6.7% |
| 2017-11-09 | beat | 1.46 | 1.57 | +7.5% | -3.1% | -1.8% | +4.4% |
| 2017-08-09 | beat | 1.37 | 1.48 | +8.3% | +0.8% | -2.4% | -0.8% |
| 2017-05-10 | beat | 1.29 | 1.45 | +12.4% | +4.0% | +14.4% | +7.6% |
| 2017-03-09 | beat | 1.14 | 1.30 | +13.6% | +4.0% | +10.3% | +11.3% |
| 2016-11-09 | beat | 1.09 | 1.36 | +24.7% | -1.0% | +14.6% | +26.8% |
| 2016-08-09 | beat | 1.03 | 1.23 | +19.6% | +1.0% | +4.6% | +5.3% |
| 2016-05-10 | beat | 1.03 | 1.12 | +8.6% | -0.1% | +4.3% | -13.6% |
| 2016-03-10 | beat | 1.16 | 1.17 | +1.1% | +3.9% | +8.5% | +13.1% |
| 2015-11-09 | beat | 1.03 | 1.17 | +13.6% | +0.3% | +0.2% | -0.6% |
| 2015-08-10 | miss | 1.10 | 1.02 | -7.3% | +0.3% | +9.0% | -1.5% |
| 2015-05-11 | beat | 0.77 | 0.80 | +4.3% | +1.2% | +1.7% | +0.3% |
| 2015-03-16 | beat | 0.63 | 0.84 | +34.1% | +1.1% | -5.2% | -13.1% |
| 2014-11-10 | miss | 0.94 | 0.82 | -12.9% | +0.3% | -2.8% | -9.8% |
| 2014-08-11 | beat | 1.02 | 2.05 | +100.5% | +0.9% | +10.0% | +16.5% |
| 2014-05-12 | miss | 1.13 | 0.97 | -14.1% | -2.5% | -7.8% | -15.6% |
| 2014-03-13 | beat | 1.15 | 1.36 | +17.9% | +0.0% | +3.3% | +3.9% |
| 2013-11-12 | miss | 1.17 | 1.05 | -10.1% | -1.3% | +0.3% | -1.3% |
| 2013-08-08 | beat | 1.13 | 1.48 | +31.3% | +1.1% | +4.4% | +8.1% |
| 2013-05-09 | miss | 1.30 | 1.01 | -22.2% | +0.5% | -0.4% | -0.3% |
| 2013-03-18 | miss | 1.29 | 1.05 | -18.4% | -0.8% | -1.4% | -2.0% |
| 2012-11-08 | beat | 1.11 | 1.22 | +10.2% | -0.1% | +2.1% | +12.2% |
| 2012-08-09 | miss | 1.32 | 1.17 | -11.6% | +0.1% | -2.7% | -5.5% |
| 2012-05-10 | miss | 1.25 | 1.08 | -13.9% | -2.4% | +1.6% | -0.9% |
| 2012-03-15 | miss | 1.83 | 1.16 | -36.6% | +0.1% | +1.1% | -2.1% |
| 2011-11-09 | miss | 1.15 | 1.04 | -9.9% | +5.2% | -1.5% | -3.8% |
Not investment advice.
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