AGO

Assured Guaranty Ltd $70.48 as of 2026-10-30
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+0.3%
Next 1 month
+0.9%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): +6.0% median, 76% of the last 21 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 58
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.07%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 0.05 +0.1% · Seasonal tilt +0.7%
$25M/day volume 24% volatility -13% 1-year -27% from ATH
52-week range · 13% of the way up · -24% from the high
$67.24$92.40

Congressional trades in AGO Full tracker →

2 members · 0 buys / 2 sells · $2K–$30K disclosed · latest filing Apr 27, 2020.

SELL DS Donna Shalala · traded Mar 6, 2019 $1K–$15K
SELL NT Nicholas Van Taylor · traded Mar 25, 2019 $1K–$15K

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 3 days) · EPS est. 1.70.

1-day std dev
4.7%
Finished up
63%
Biggest pop
+13.2%
Biggest drop
-14.9%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-08-06 miss 1.60 1.23 -23.2% -3.9% -8.6% -7.0%
2026-05-07 beat 1.63 2.50 +53.4% -4.2% -9.0% -9.2%
2026-02-26 beat 1.56 2.32 +48.4% +3.1% -0.5% -1.5%
2025-11-06 beat 1.54 2.57 +67.2% +2.9% +6.5% +7.2%
2025-08-07 miss 1.59 1.01 -36.6% -1.4% -3.0% -4.7%
2025-05-08 beat 2.61 3.18 +22.1% -0.5% -1.2% -2.5%
2025-02-27 miss 1.42 1.27 -10.5% -5.6% -5.3% -7.5%
2024-11-11 beat 1.41 2.42 +72.0% +6.1% +2.1% +2.2%
2024-08-07 beat 1.42 1.44 +1.8% -3.8% -2.4% -0.8%
2024-05-07 beat 1.40 1.96 +39.5% +1.5% +4.7% -1.3%
2024-02-27 beat 1.12 5.75 +411.6% +2.2% +10.9% +6.6%
2023-11-07 beat 1.09 3.42 +214.0% +4.5% +2.4% +2.4%
2023-08-08 miss 1.08 0.60 -44.3% -3.3% -2.9% -6.1%
2023-05-09 beat 1.01 1.12 +10.5% +1.6% +0.2% -0.4%
2023-02-28 miss 0.98 0.22 -77.7% -3.6% -6.3% -8.5%
2022-11-07 beat 0.90 2.11 +134.9% +2.0% +1.2% +1.2%
2022-08-03 miss 0.92 0.46 -50.0% -4.9% -14.9% -7.6%
2022-05-05 beat 0.85 1.34 +58.2% +1.2% +1.5% -3.2%
2022-02-24 beat 0.85 3.88 +358.8% +3.3% +13.2% +7.3%
2021-11-04 miss 0.84 0.45 -46.7% -1.9% -1.9% -4.8%
2021-08-05 beat 0.79 1.59 +101.6% +1.7% +0.9% +3.5%
2021-05-06 miss 0.63 0.55 -12.4% -2.2% -4.9% -7.5%
2021-02-25 beat 0.64 0.69 +7.3% -0.3% +0.9% -0.3%
2020-11-05 miss 0.65 0.58 -11.3% +0.7% -0.9% +14.9%
2020-08-07 beat 0.67 1.36 +103.7% +0.6% +5.3% +8.6%
2020-05-07 miss 0.77 0.36 -53.1% -0.8% -2.6% -16.3%
2020-02-27 beat 0.79 0.90 +14.1% -1.5% -2.1% -0.3%
2019-11-07 beat 0.76 0.79 +3.4% +0.5% -0.8% -0.6%
2019-08-07 beat 0.76 1.38 +81.4% +3.5% +6.9% +3.0%
2019-05-09 beat 0.75 0.82 +8.8% -0.9% -4.2% -8.6%
2019-02-28 beat 0.82 0.87 +5.7% +1.6% +4.4% +4.0%
2018-11-08 beat 0.71 1.47 +107.2% +1.4% +0.3% -3.7%
2018-08-01 miss 0.80 0.66 -17.4% -1.5% -0.8% +6.0%
2018-05-03 beat 0.73 1.33 +81.7% +1.8% +1.5% -1.7%
2018-02-22 beat 0.65 0.77 +18.4% +0.1% -1.4% -6.8%
2017-11-02 beat 0.78 1.29 +65.4% +4.5% +1.2% +0.7%
2017-08-02 beat 0.82 1.11 +35.4% +0.4% -0.4% -3.6%
2017-05-04 beat 0.75 1.66 +121.3% +2.2% +4.0% +2.7%
2017-02-23 beat 0.68 1.05 +55.4% +1.0% +2.2% -1.7%
2016-11-03 beat 0.66 1.62 +145.7% +3.8% +8.1% +16.8%
2016-08-03 beat 0.53 1.03 +95.4% -0.3% +1.4% +1.9%
2016-05-04 beat 0.64 0.82 +28.5% +0.5% +2.6% -0.7%
2016-02-25 beat 0.72 0.83 +15.5% +2.0% +0.4% +3.2%
2015-11-05 beat 0.65 1.12 +71.7% +2.9% +3.4% -6.6%
2015-08-05 beat 0.64 1.83 +187.6% +3.2% +3.5% +7.3%
2015-05-07 beat 0.58 0.89 +53.5% +7.1% +3.7% +10.2%
2015-02-25 miss 0.69 0.50 -27.8% -0.2% +0.5% -0.5%
2014-11-06 beat 0.59 1.05 +76.5% +1.7% +4.8% +6.5%
2014-08-07 beat 0.45 0.56 +25.1% +7.5% +3.3% +7.9%
2014-05-07 beat 0.61 0.72 +19.0% +1.2% +6.4% +2.0%
2014-02-26 beat 0.67 0.73 +9.6% -0.5% +1.3% +10.6%
2013-11-11 beat 0.63 0.64 +1.1% +4.7% +6.0% +7.9%
2013-08-08 miss 0.70 0.52 -26.2% -1.9% +3.2% -2.6%
2013-05-09 beat 0.69 1.34 +94.0% +0.3% +1.7% +1.2%
2013-02-27 beat 0.71 0.95 +32.9% +0.3% +1.2% +9.8%
2012-11-08 beat 0.73 0.85 +15.9% -0.6% +2.2% -5.9%
2012-08-09 beat 0.52 0.61 +17.4% -0.8% +3.6% +13.3%
2012-05-10 beat 0.32 0.38 +18.8% -4.7% +0.2% -8.3%
2012-02-28 beat 0.67 0.95 +40.9% +4.4% -2.0% -2.7%
2011-11-14 miss 0.36 0.21 -42.2% -0.4% -7.1% -15.4%

Not investment advice.