AKModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+0.8%
Next 1 month
+3.1%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +8.7% median,
64% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 41
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.22%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.18 +3.0% · Seasonal tilt (11y) +0.1%
$6M/day volume
75% volatility
-66% 1-year
52-week range · 9% of the way up · -70% from the high
$0.54$2.32
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. -0.03.
1-day std dev
12.9%
Finished up
31%
Biggest pop
+38.0%
Biggest drop
-26.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 49 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | miss | -0.02 | -0.03 | -3.2% | -30.1% | -26.0% | -32.6% |
| 2026-05-07 | miss | -0.02 | -0.03 | -50.0% | -23.0% | -20.3% | -23.6% |
| 2026-02-26 | miss | -0.04 | -0.05 | -38.9% | +21.1% | +9.1% | -1.7% |
| 2025-11-10 | beat | — | — | +100.0% | -15.2% | -18.1% | -13.7% |
| 2025-08-07 | beat | -0.02 | — | +100.0% | -15.3% | -20.5% | -13.1% |
| 2025-05-08 | beat | -0.04 | 0.02 | +161.8% | +12.8% | +6.5% | +3.3% |
| 2025-03-13 | miss | -0.07 | -0.10 | -33.3% | -6.7% | -12.4% | +5.7% |
| 2024-11-07 | miss | -0.05 | -0.10 | -100.0% | -13.0% | -6.8% | -7.0% |
| 2024-08-08 | beat | -0.05 | -0.04 | +20.0% | +4.5% | +7.2% | +29.7% |
| 2024-05-09 | beat | -0.09 | -0.08 | +6.3% | -20.7% | -5.0% | -18.6% |
| 2024-03-14 | beat | -0.04 | — | +100.0% | +16.8% | +24.1% | +58.4% |
| 2023-11-08 | beat | -0.08 | -0.08 | +10.5% | -5.5% | -11.9% | -8.3% |
| 2023-08-25 | miss | -0.02 | -0.06 | -141.2% | -1.6% | -8.0% | +6.4% |
| 2023-05-08 | beat | -0.15 | -0.14 | +5.8% | -0.9% | -2.8% | +0.0% |
| 2023-03-09 | beat | -0.16 | -0.03 | +78.5% | -19.4% | -22.2% | -30.8% |
| 2022-11-03 | miss | -0.12 | -0.29 | -138.3% | -8.8% | -4.9% | -1.8% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | -0.33 | 0.23 | +169.0% | -2.9% | -3.7% | +0.7% |
| 2022-05-09 | miss | -0.29 | -0.35 | -21.4% | +10.1% | +24.1% | +7.0% |
| 2022-03-01 | miss | -0.29 | -0.40 | -35.6% | +0.0% | +14.0% | +36.3% |
| 2021-11-04 | miss | -0.29 | -0.34 | -16.2% | +0.7% | -3.6% | -5.6% |
| 2021-08-05 | miss | -0.31 | -0.51 | -66.5% | -2.8% | +15.7% | +6.0% |
| 2021-05-10 | miss | -0.36 | -0.45 | -24.5% | -2.2% | -7.1% | +9.3% |
| 2021-02-25 | miss | -0.42 | -0.60 | -44.0% | -11.2% | -18.9% | -22.4% |
| 2020-11-05 | miss | -0.24 | -0.42 | -75.0% | -0.8% | -4.4% | +2.0% |
| 2020-08-10 | beat | -0.47 | -0.44 | +6.7% | -5.0% | -3.7% | -0.3% |
| 2020-05-05 | beat | -0.60 | -0.47 | +21.9% | +18.1% | +38.0% | +33.5% |
| 2020-03-10 | miss | -0.47 | -0.79 | -68.6% | -2.4% | -7.7% | -36.9% |
| 2019-11-12 | miss | -0.41 | -0.46 | -12.2% | +1.4% | -9.0% | -13.1% |
| 2019-08-08 | miss | -0.35 | -0.49 | -38.0% | -3.8% | +13.9% | +17.5% |
| 2019-05-09 | miss | -0.36 | -0.62 | -73.6% | -4.6% | +0.5% | -4.6% |
| 2019-03-26 | miss | -0.38 | -0.93 | -144.7% | -0.7% | -2.6% | -18.0% |
| 2018-11-08 | beat | -0.56 | -0.46 | +17.6% | +3.3% | +9.3% | -2.8% |
| 2018-08-08 | miss | -0.42 | -0.60 | -42.2% | -7.4% | -15.4% | -18.9% |
| 2018-05-09 | beat | -0.53 | -0.48 | +10.2% | -0.2% | -0.4% | +10.4% |
| 2018-03-12 | beat | -0.44 | 0.25 | +156.9% | +3.1% | -6.9% | -12.3% |
| 2017-11-08 | miss | -0.46 | -0.49 | -6.6% | -2.8% | -12.6% | -12.4% |
| 2017-08-08 | beat | -0.92 | -0.53 | +42.2% | +1.0% | +2.4% | +12.0% |
| 2017-05-09 | miss | -0.41 | -1.15 | -178.8% | -2.7% | -2.5% | +16.0% |
| 2017-03-06 | miss | 2.17 | -0.99 | -145.6% | -4.4% | -12.8% | -10.8% |
| 2016-11-09 | beat | -1.14 | -0.96 | +16.0% | +2.3% | +0.0% | +4.1% |
| 2016-08-08 | miss | -0.62 | -0.95 | -53.2% | -3.6% | -8.4% | -8.4% |
| 2016-05-05 | miss | -0.42 | -0.70 | -64.7% | -5.5% | -7.5% | -13.9% |
| 2016-03-14 | miss | -0.61 | -0.68 | -11.9% | -5.9% | -3.5% | +1.6% |
| 2015-11-09 | miss | -0.52 | -0.68 | -31.3% | -3.3% | -12.3% | -17.6% |
| 2015-08-11 | beat | -0.51 | -0.40 | +21.3% | -2.8% | -15.4% | -25.6% |
| 2015-05-11 | beat | -0.55 | -0.53 | +4.2% | +3.0% | +4.2% | +9.0% |
| 2015-03-04 | beat | -0.65 | -0.52 | +20.6% | +0.0% | +7.6% | +21.0% |
| 2014-11-10 | miss | -0.45 | -0.47 | -3.8% | -3.9% | -15.9% | +21.0% |
| 2014-08-11 | miss | -0.34 | -0.39 | -14.7% | +0.3% | +4.2% | +19.7% |
Not investment advice.
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