ALModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.6%
Next 1 week
+0.9%
Next 1 month
+3.5%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): -0.8% median,
42% of the last 19 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 9
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.15%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.65 +4.0% · Seasonal tilt -0.5%
$6M/day volume
59% volatility
-11% 1-year
-70% from ATH
52-week range · 44% of the way up · -27% from the high
$6.12$11.92
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-12 (Thursday, before open, in 11 days) · EPS est. 0.09.
1-day std dev
10.0%
Finished up
42%
Biggest pop
+26.8%
Biggest drop
-29.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | beat | 0.06 | 0.09 | +58.8% | +4.0% | -4.0% | -4.1% |
| 2026-02-25 | 0.08 | 0.08 | — | -2.7% | -29.6% | -29.3% | |
| 2025-11-20 | beat | 0.04 | 0.10 | +150.0% | +17.1% | +1.5% | +12.2% |
| 2025-08-14 | — | 0.03 | — | +1.9% | -9.1% | -6.7% | |
| 2025-05-12 | beat | -0.05 | 0.02 | +140.0% | +6.2% | +24.1% | +28.7% |
| 2025-02-25 | — | 0.05 | — | +1.5% | +16.9% | -14.1% | |
| 2024-11-19 | beat | -0.03 | 0.03 | +200.0% | +8.6% | +8.0% | +25.8% |
| 2024-08-27 | beat | -0.04 | -0.02 | +50.0% | -10.6% | -5.5% | -8.3% |
| 2024-05-29 | beat | -0.09 | -0.03 | +68.4% | -6.8% | -5.1% | -9.0% |
| 2024-02-15 | miss | -0.16 | -0.43 | -168.8% | -5.3% | -4.2% | -1.1% |
| 2023-11-16 | miss | -0.27 | -0.28 | -5.0% | -12.4% | -16.0% | -17.8% |
| 2023-08-31 | miss | -0.26 | -0.49 | -88.5% | -11.2% | +0.4% | -4.0% |
| 2023-05-16 | beat | -0.23 | -0.21 | +8.7% | -4.3% | -4.3% | -7.5% |
| 2023-02-28 | beat | -0.16 | -0.13 | +18.8% | -6.9% | -13.3% | -18.8% |
| 2022-11-15 | beat | -0.31 | -0.28 | +10.4% | -2.8% | -7.3% | -11.8% |
| 2022-08-16 | beat | -0.19 | -0.11 | +41.3% | -9.9% | -12.7% | -14.2% |
| 2022-05-17 | beat | -0.24 | -0.10 | +59.2% | -9.9% | -4.3% | -0.6% |
| 2022-02-15 | miss | -0.06 | -0.06 | -4.3% | -12.4% | -15.7% | -21.9% |
| 2021-11-09 | beat | -0.08 | — | +100.0% | -10.5% | -17.5% | -24.0% |
| 2021-08-10 | beat | -0.09 | -0.04 | +55.6% | +0.5% | -7.4% | -16.2% |
| 2021-05-11 | beat | -0.12 | -0.06 | +48.6% | -5.4% | -3.2% | -5.1% |
| 2021-02-09 | 0.01 | 0.01 | — | +5.9% | +16.6% | +7.6% | |
| 2020-11-04 | beat | -0.05 | -0.03 | +43.8% | -2.0% | -0.1% | +1.7% |
| 2020-08-04 | miss | -0.03 | -0.07 | -133.3% | -10.6% | -1.6% | -9.3% |
| 2020-05-12 | beat | -0.09 | -0.01 | +88.9% | +3.3% | -2.9% | -12.9% |
| 2020-02-04 | beat | -0.06 | -0.05 | +23.1% | +20.0% | +26.8% | +30.4% |
| 2019-11-05 | -0.05 | -0.05 | — | +2.2% | +13.4% | +10.9% | |
| 2019-08-06 | beat | -0.07 | -0.06 | +10.0% | +1.0% | +6.5% | +2.0% |
| 2019-05-14 | beat | -0.06 | -0.05 | +21.1% | +1.2% | +3.7% | -0.1% |
| 2019-02-05 | beat | -0.03 | -0.01 | +62.5% | +11.7% | +9.8% | +4.0% |
| 2018-11-06 | beat | -0.04 | -0.03 | +33.3% | +3.3% | +5.2% | +6.5% |
| 2018-08-07 | beat | -0.06 | -0.04 | +36.0% | +4.7% | +7.7% | +16.8% |
| 2018-05-08 | beat | -0.08 | -0.07 | +9.7% | +0.6% | +1.6% | +1.8% |
| 2018-02-06 | miss | -0.02 | -0.04 | -100.0% | -1.9% | +4.3% | +9.1% |
| 2017-11-07 | beat | -0.04 | -0.04 | +5.9% | +4.3% | +8.6% | +5.7% |
| 2017-08-01 | beat | -0.07 | -0.07 | +5.4% | +2.8% | -0.2% | -2.6% |
| 2017-05-09 | miss | -0.03 | -0.11 | -230.0% | -7.3% | -5.1% | +4.5% |
| 2017-02-07 | beat | 0.01 | 0.03 | +200.0% | -4.7% | -7.9% | -9.2% |
| 2016-11-01 | miss | 0.01 | -0.01 | -200.0% | -2.7% | -3.5% | -3.5% |
| 2016-08-02 | beat | — | 0.01 | +300.0% | -5.7% | -5.9% | -1.2% |
| 2016-05-03 | miss | — | -0.06 | -1701.8% | -6.4% | -8.1% | -10.4% |
| 2016-02-09 | miss | 0.04 | 0.02 | -44.0% | -3.0% | -7.9% | -11.5% |
| 2015-10-29 | beat | -0.03 | -0.02 | +30.0% | +3.5% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| 2015-08-04 | miss | -0.09 | -0.09 | -1.6% | +8.1% | +3.0% | +1.6% |
| 2015-05-05 | beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +21.1% | -0.6% | -8.1% | -12.8% |
| 2015-02-10 | miss | 0.10 | 0.10 | -2.8% | +3.1% | +4.2% | +8.1% |
| 2014-11-04 | beat | 0.08 | 0.09 | +15.4% | +1.1% | -7.2% | -8.0% |
| 2014-08-05 | miss | 0.08 | 0.06 | -26.8% | -7.8% | -16.9% | -15.7% |
| 2014-04-30 | miss | 0.06 | 0.06 | -2.3% | -0.6% | +8.3% | -0.2% |
| 2014-02-11 | beat | 0.08 | 0.09 | +16.9% | +3.1% | -3.5% | -2.6% |
| 2013-10-29 | miss | 0.06 | 0.03 | -47.4% | +2.3% | +8.4% | -3.2% |
| 2013-08-06 | miss | 0.06 | -0.03 | -151.7% | -10.9% | -5.1% | -20.9% |
| 2013-05-07 | miss | 0.11 | 0.02 | -81.3% | -6.2% | +0.8% | +3.4% |
| 2013-02-05 | miss | 0.16 | 0.14 | -10.6% | +4.2% | -0.3% | +1.1% |
| 2012-10-30 | beat | 0.14 | 0.15 | +11.1% | -5.6% | +2.3% | +5.4% |
| 2012-07-31 | beat | 0.14 | 0.15 | +5.1% | +0.6% | -0.4% | -7.6% |
| 2012-05-01 | beat | 0.11 | 0.15 | +36.4% | +6.2% | +7.2% | -5.7% |
| 2012-02-07 | beat | 0.12 | 0.14 | +16.7% | +1.3% | -4.6% | -11.1% |
| 2011-11-01 | beat | 0.10 | 0.13 | +35.4% | +3.5% | +8.1% | +8.7% |
| 2011-08-01 | beat | 0.09 | 0.10 | +13.6% | +8.2% | +8.0% | -19.9% |
Not investment advice.
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