ALModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.6%
Next 1 week
+2.2%
Next 1 month
+7.0%
Seasonality
No real seasonal tilt
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +0.0% median,
50% of the last 12 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 10
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.85%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 3.11 +7.5% · Seasonal tilt -0.5%
$71M/day volume
92% volatility
+23% 1-year
-64% from ATH
52-week range · 17% of the way up · -64% from the high
$5.43$24.41
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-06 (Friday, after close, in 5 days) · EPS est. 0.04.
Biggest pop
+8.1%
Biggest drop
-8.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 6 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | beat | 0.03 | 0.05 | +73.3% | +5.1% | +8.1% | +21.7% |
| 2026-05-14 | — | — | — | -3.2% | -4.9% | +1.7% | |
| 2026-05-11 | miss | 0.02 | — | -76.0% | -1.5% | +5.7% | -17.7% |
| 2026-03-18 | miss | — | -0.05 | -1686.7% | -12.4% | -3.4% | -17.4% |
| 2025-11-03 | beat | -0.01 | — | +78.6% | -5.2% | -8.3% | +0.3% |
| 2025-08-14 | miss | -0.01 | -0.30 | -2976.9% | -2.3% | -4.9% | -9.1% |
Posted about ALM
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TRACKER - Cathie Wood
long
—
Mon, 12 Oct
ARK bought 284,019 shares of CMPS for ARKG. The trade: 0.16% of that fund, on 12 October 2026 — roughly $3.3m at that day’s close. The entry: CMPS's…
Not investment advice.
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