ALModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.3%
Next 1 week
+2.8%
Next 1 month
+5.2%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +3.5% median,
60% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 13
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.87%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.26 +5.7% · Seasonal tilt -0.5%
$20M/day volume
60% volatility
+51% 1-year
-30% from ATH
52-week range · 54% of the way up · -30% from the high
$44.30$121.42
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 5 days) · EPS est. 0.74.
1-day std dev
9.7%
Finished up
62%
Biggest pop
+21.4%
Biggest drop
-17.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 42 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 0.61 | 0.80 | +30.6% | +10.7% | +19.3% | +17.6% |
| 2026-05-06 | miss | 0.53 | 0.50 | -6.1% | -15.4% | -15.1% | -18.0% |
| 2026-03-05 | beat | 0.45 | 0.55 | +23.3% | -0.7% | +5.1% | +0.4% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | 0.49 | 0.59 | +20.4% | -4.0% | -5.6% | -4.7% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | 0.47 | 0.57 | +20.4% | +16.8% | +5.4% | +9.7% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | 0.34 | 0.46 | +35.3% | +5.1% | +21.4% | +48.1% |
| 2025-03-05 | beat | 0.25 | 0.31 | +22.4% | +9.9% | +6.6% | -3.9% |
| 2024-11-06 | beat | 0.23 | 0.31 | +32.9% | +6.8% | +6.5% | +19.5% |
| 2024-08-07 | miss | 0.42 | 0.29 | -31.5% | -16.1% | -14.2% | -11.1% |
| 2024-05-08 | beat | 0.47 | 0.58 | +22.5% | +0.7% | -3.5% | -8.0% |
| 2024-03-04 | beat | 0.29 | 0.55 | +89.7% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +8.7% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | 0.55 | 0.61 | +10.2% | -0.9% | -10.2% | -9.3% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | 0.56 | 0.58 | +3.6% | -6.0% | -16.6% | -18.4% |
| 2023-05-03 | beat | 0.46 | 0.55 | +20.4% | +4.6% | -3.3% | -5.3% |
| 2023-03-07 | miss | 0.47 | 0.43 | -8.5% | -0.2% | -4.7% | -14.9% |
| 2022-11-02 | beat | 0.37 | 0.60 | +62.2% | -0.1% | -0.4% | +7.4% |
| 2022-08-03 | beat | 0.25 | 0.36 | +46.9% | +4.7% | +14.4% | +22.3% |
| 2022-05-04 | beat | 0.13 | 0.24 | +84.6% | +1.8% | +4.3% | -6.5% |
| 2022-03-09 | miss | 0.24 | 0.20 | -16.7% | -7.2% | -8.4% | -9.8% |
| 2021-11-03 | beat | 0.31 | 0.41 | +33.7% | +0.3% | +12.1% | +14.8% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | 0.26 | 0.33 | +26.9% | +0.0% | +3.8% | +8.1% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | 0.20 | 0.32 | +60.0% | +0.9% | +3.2% | -2.3% |
| 2021-03-10 | beat | 0.17 | 0.19 | +12.0% | +0.4% | +10.6% | +11.3% |
| 2020-11-04 | beat | 0.19 | 0.28 | +47.4% | +0.1% | +2.5% | -1.3% |
| 2020-08-05 | beat | 0.03 | 0.21 | +611.1% | +1.9% | +5.3% | +14.8% |
| 2020-05-06 | beat | 0.15 | 0.28 | +90.9% | -3.5% | +3.3% | +2.5% |
| 2020-03-11 | beat | 0.21 | 0.25 | +15.6% | +5.5% | +1.0% | -37.0% |
| 2019-10-31 | beat | 0.27 | 0.33 | +22.5% | +3.9% | +19.6% | +18.3% |
| 2019-08-01 | 0.31 | 0.31 | — | -0.6% | +1.6% | -13.0% | |
| 2019-05-01 | beat | 0.32 | 0.32 | +1.1% | +2.7% | +8.1% | +1.1% |
| 2019-03-13 | miss | 0.25 | 0.19 | -26.3% | +0.3% | -2.8% | -4.3% |
| 2018-10-31 | beat | 0.24 | 0.35 | +42.5% | +9.9% | +4.8% | +13.7% |
| 2018-08-01 | beat | 0.25 | 0.30 | +18.4% | +8.8% | +5.5% | +11.0% |
| 2018-05-02 | beat | 0.20 | 0.30 | +50.0% | +4.7% | +2.8% | +12.8% |
| 2018-03-14 | miss | 0.16 | 0.01 | -95.7% | +5.2% | +17.9% | +23.4% |
| 2017-11-01 | beat | 0.18 | 0.22 | +24.5% | +1.6% | +7.2% | +14.0% |
| 2017-08-02 | miss | 0.20 | 0.16 | -21.3% | -8.1% | -6.6% | -8.6% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | 0.16 | 0.19 | +18.4% | +3.4% | +15.5% | +18.4% |
| 2017-03-13 | beat | 0.12 | 0.13 | +2.7% | -6.7% | -17.8% | -13.1% |
| 2016-11-02 | beat | 0.17 | 0.19 | +11.6% | -3.9% | -3.9% | +4.3% |
| 2016-08-04 | miss | 0.19 | 0.18 | -3.6% | +0.1% | -7.6% | -2.5% |
| 2016-05-04 | beat | 0.11 | 0.15 | +43.7% | +3.7% | +6.5% | +7.9% |
Not investment advice.
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