ALModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.2%
Next 1 week
-1.4%
Next 1 month
+3.8%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +1.5% median,
50% of the last 8 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 24
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.71%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.54 +3.9% · Seasonal tilt (8y) -0.1%
$9M/day volume
69% volatility
-49% 1-year
52-week range · 1% of the way up · -68% from the high
$1.99$6.44
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. -0.14.
1-day std dev
10.2%
Finished up
61%
Biggest pop
+29.1%
Biggest drop
-17.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 33 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | beat | -0.12 | -0.12 | +4.0% | +1.7% | -2.3% | +4.0% |
| 2026-05-13 | beat | -0.25 | -0.18 | +28.0% | -3.2% | -1.9% | -8.4% |
| 2026-03-05 | miss | -0.24 | -0.27 | -11.2% | -4.0% | -17.9% | -15.7% |
| 2025-11-06 | beat | -0.27 | -0.21 | +21.0% | +1.9% | +5.1% | +8.3% |
| 2025-08-12 | beat | -0.32 | -0.27 | +15.8% | +3.8% | +7.1% | +7.1% |
| 2025-05-13 | beat | -0.34 | -0.26 | +23.9% | +1.0% | -4.2% | -2.7% |
| 2025-02-27 | beat | -0.34 | -0.33 | +1.5% | +1.1% | +8.1% | -5.9% |
| 2024-11-12 | beat | -0.36 | -0.32 | +10.5% | +3.7% | +29.1% | +1.6% |
| 2024-08-08 | miss | -0.34 | -0.35 | -1.4% | +5.5% | +15.1% | +13.5% |
| 2024-05-09 | beat | -0.35 | -0.34 | +3.5% | +0.8% | +7.8% | +24.3% |
| 2024-03-27 | beat | -0.38 | -0.33 | +14.2% | +7.7% | +2.8% | +2.9% |
| 2023-11-07 | beat | -0.44 | -0.39 | +11.7% | +3.4% | +1.1% | -9.7% |
| 2023-08-10 | beat | -0.46 | -0.32 | +30.9% | +3.7% | +3.1% | -8.8% |
| 2023-05-11 | beat | -0.48 | -0.40 | +16.7% | +0.4% | +7.0% | -10.6% |
| 2023-02-28 | beat | -0.54 | -0.44 | +17.9% | -2.1% | -4.3% | -12.2% |
| 2022-11-10 | beat | -0.51 | -0.48 | +5.4% | +3.2% | +9.2% | -9.3% |
| 2022-08-11 | beat | -0.49 | -0.42 | +15.2% | +0.2% | +26.1% | +24.6% |
| 2022-05-12 | beat | -0.58 | -0.44 | +24.5% | +1.0% | +8.6% | +22.3% |
| 2022-03-15 | beat | -0.69 | -0.49 | +28.4% | +1.1% | -8.2% | +8.7% |
| 2021-11-09 | miss | -0.39 | -0.81 | -107.7% | +0.4% | +0.0% | -1.5% |
| 2021-08-10 | miss | -0.53 | -0.60 | -13.2% | -6.0% | +2.5% | +9.4% |
| 2021-05-17 | beat | -0.74 | -0.38 | +48.9% | -1.6% | +6.0% | -9.9% |
| 2021-02-25 | beat | -0.80 | -0.17 | +78.6% | -3.9% | -12.2% | -32.7% |
| 2020-11-09 | beat | -0.76 | -0.54 | +28.9% | +12.8% | +19.1% | +21.4% |
| 2020-08-11 | miss | -0.28 | -0.94 | -229.8% | -3.7% | -2.3% | +5.8% |
| 2020-05-13 | beat | -0.32 | -0.26 | +18.8% | +23.5% | +8.7% | +47.2% |
| 2020-03-27 | beat | -0.26 | -0.25 | +3.9% | -16.9% | -12.3% | -10.8% |
| 2019-11-13 | beat | -0.19 | -0.19 | +2.4% | -3.4% | -8.5% | -5.1% |
| 2018-11-13 | beat | -3.60 | -2.29 | +36.5% | +0.0% | -3.5% | -1.8% |
| 2018-08-14 | miss | -4.50 | -5.63 | -25.0% | +0.0% | -4.2% | -16.7% |
| 2018-05-15 | beat | -15.00 | -8.73 | +41.8% | +10.5% | +7.9% | +3.6% |
| 2018-03-28 | beat | -15.00 | -2.40 | +84.0% | +10.0% | +5.5% | -15.5% |
| 2017-11-09 | miss | -8.40 | -10.20 | -21.4% | -1.3% | +1.8% | -4.9% |
Not investment advice.
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