ALModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.4%
Next 1 week
+1.3%
Next 1 month
+3.3%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +4.5% median,
79% of the last 28 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 85
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.07%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.05 +2.6% · Seasonal tilt +0.7%
$102M/day volume
28% volatility
+1% 1-year
-11% from ATH
52-week range · 56% of the way up · -11% from the high
$99.16$132.17
Congressional trades in ALV Full tracker →
4 members · 2 buys / 4 sells · $20K–$125K disclosed · latest filing Aug 13, 2025.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-29 (Friday, before open, in 90 days) · EPS est. 3.28.
1-day std dev
5.3%
Finished up
47%
Biggest pop
+10.2%
Biggest drop
-10.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | miss | 2.23 | 2.19 | -2.0% | -3.2% | -3.5% | -1.2% |
| 2026-07-17 | miss | 2.48 | 2.43 | -2.0% | -4.5% | -3.8% | -6.0% |
| 2026-04-17 | beat | 1.82 | 2.05 | +12.6% | +12.4% | +6.8% | +5.8% |
| 2026-01-30 | beat | 2.88 | 3.19 | +10.8% | -4.3% | -4.1% | -0.5% |
| 2025-10-17 | beat | 2.09 | 2.32 | +11.1% | -2.7% | -2.6% | -4.5% |
| 2025-07-18 | beat | 2.09 | 2.21 | +5.7% | -4.6% | -4.0% | +0.5% |
| 2025-04-16 | beat | 1.67 | 2.15 | +28.5% | +4.7% | +5.6% | +12.1% |
| 2025-01-31 | beat | 2.89 | 3.05 | +5.5% | -4.4% | -4.6% | -7.8% |
| 2024-10-18 | miss | 1.99 | 1.84 | -7.4% | +6.6% | +6.0% | +0.9% |
| 2024-07-19 | miss | 2.21 | 1.87 | -15.6% | -8.8% | -10.1% | -8.8% |
| 2024-04-26 | beat | 1.40 | 1.58 | +12.7% | +4.0% | +5.6% | +4.8% |
| 2024-01-26 | beat | 3.30 | 3.74 | +13.4% | +1.9% | +2.8% | +7.0% |
| 2023-10-20 | miss | 1.83 | 1.66 | -9.1% | +2.3% | +7.0% | +2.5% |
| 2023-07-21 | beat | 1.43 | 1.93 | +34.6% | +5.9% | +10.2% | +7.7% |
| 2023-04-21 | beat | 0.89 | 0.90 | +1.1% | -5.2% | -5.3% | -6.7% |
| 2023-01-27 | beat | 1.65 | 1.83 | +10.6% | +6.5% | +9.2% | +6.3% |
| 2022-10-21 | miss | 1.26 | 1.23 | -2.6% | +4.3% | +4.1% | +9.2% |
| 2022-07-22 | beat | 0.34 | 0.90 | +167.2% | +3.6% | +0.8% | +5.6% |
| 2022-04-22 | miss | 1.05 | 0.45 | -57.2% | -7.6% | -7.3% | -5.0% |
| 2022-01-28 | beat | 1.17 | 1.30 | +10.7% | +0.9% | +0.9% | +5.9% |
| 2021-10-22 | miss | 0.87 | 0.73 | -16.2% | +1.2% | -3.1% | +1.7% |
| 2021-07-16 | miss | 1.37 | 1.20 | -12.3% | -4.7% | -4.8% | -1.3% |
| 2021-04-23 | beat | 1.42 | 1.79 | +26.3% | +3.6% | +8.0% | +2.7% |
| 2021-01-26 | beat | 1.86 | 2.19 | +17.9% | +4.1% | +3.1% | +3.8% |
| 2020-10-23 | beat | 1.20 | 1.48 | +23.3% | +1.0% | +0.9% | -10.0% |
| 2020-07-17 | miss | -1.25 | -1.40 | -11.7% | -3.4% | -5.2% | +0.6% |
| 2020-04-24 | beat | 0.74 | 0.88 | +18.7% | +6.9% | +7.3% | +2.8% |
| 2020-01-28 | beat | 1.77 | 1.84 | +3.7% | +3.9% | +5.3% | +4.5% |
| 2019-10-25 | miss | 1.41 | 1.30 | -7.9% | +0.0% | -0.4% | -3.6% |
| 2019-07-19 | miss | 1.43 | 1.38 | -3.5% | +3.5% | +3.0% | +6.4% |
| 2019-04-26 | miss | 1.59 | 1.20 | -24.7% | +1.8% | +3.6% | -1.3% |
| 2019-01-29 | miss | 1.71 | 1.42 | -17.1% | -4.1% | -5.8% | -6.0% |
| 2018-10-26 | miss | 1.62 | 1.35 | -16.8% | -5.0% | +2.2% | +8.4% |
| 2018-07-27 | beat | 1.88 | 2.22 | +18.0% | -0.6% | +0.4% | -2.0% |
| 2018-04-27 | miss | 1.83 | 1.66 | -9.1% | -2.6% | -6.8% | -4.8% |
| 2018-01-30 | beat | 1.76 | 2.03 | +15.4% | +4.6% | +8.1% | +4.2% |
| 2017-10-26 | beat | 1.35 | 1.47 | +9.0% | -2.3% | +0.9% | +3.5% |
| 2017-07-21 | miss | 1.49 | 1.43 | -4.0% | -7.2% | -7.9% | -6.2% |
| 2017-04-28 | beat | 1.56 | 1.65 | +6.0% | -0.2% | -1.6% | +2.5% |
| 2017-02-02 | miss | 1.84 | 1.71 | -6.9% | -7.5% | -8.2% | -9.8% |
| 2016-10-27 | beat | 1.37 | 1.63 | +19.2% | -5.2% | -5.7% | -6.8% |
| 2016-07-22 | beat | 1.71 | 1.75 | +2.6% | -8.4% | -8.5% | -7.1% |
| 2016-04-28 | beat | 1.52 | 1.66 | +9.5% | +6.3% | +7.0% | +9.5% |
| 2016-01-29 | beat | 1.95 | 2.08 | +6.6% | -8.0% | -9.4% | -11.9% |
| 2015-10-23 | beat | 1.45 | 1.53 | +5.5% | -1.0% | -0.5% | +0.0% |
| 2015-07-17 | beat | 1.56 | 1.62 | +4.1% | +4.5% | +2.3% | -2.4% |
| 2015-04-22 | beat | 1.31 | 1.42 | +8.2% | -1.1% | -2.8% | -2.9% |
| 2015-01-29 | beat | 1.64 | 1.81 | +10.3% | +3.1% | +5.6% | +10.3% |
| 2014-10-23 | miss | 1.41 | 1.25 | -11.6% | -5.1% | -3.0% | -3.1% |
| 2014-07-18 | miss | 1.55 | 1.45 | -6.6% | -0.8% | -0.9% | -1.2% |
| 2014-04-25 | beat | 1.43 | 1.43 | +0.3% | -0.9% | -2.1% | -0.7% |
| 2014-01-31 | beat | 1.50 | 1.70 | +13.2% | +1.9% | +2.7% | +5.9% |
| 2013-10-24 | miss | 1.33 | 1.29 | -3.3% | -4.4% | -2.4% | -5.5% |
| 2013-07-19 | beat | 1.36 | 1.48 | +9.1% | -0.5% | -2.7% | -4.3% |
| 2013-04-26 | beat | 1.24 | 1.32 | +6.8% | +5.6% | +5.8% | +7.8% |
| 2013-01-31 | beat | 1.31 | 1.58 | +20.9% | -2.2% | -2.5% | -3.8% |
| 2012-10-23 | miss | 1.45 | 1.30 | -10.1% | -7.5% | -10.3% | -7.9% |
| 2012-07-20 | miss | 1.41 | 1.39 | -1.5% | -3.1% | -2.0% | -1.0% |
| 2012-04-27 | miss | 1.62 | 1.56 | -3.5% | +1.5% | -1.6% | -9.2% |
| 2012-02-01 | beat | 1.69 | 1.70 | +0.8% | +3.8% | +2.9% | +4.1% |
Not investment advice.
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