Next report 2026-11-12 (Thursday, after close, in 9 days).
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 21 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | miss | -0.02 | -0.12 | -500.0% | -27.1% | -33.3% | -42.2% |
| 2026-05-13 | miss | -0.05 | -0.06 | -20.0% | -4.8% | +15.7% | +113.3% |
| 2026-03-26 | miss | -0.07 | -0.14 | -100.0% | -9.6% | -32.1% | -27.5% |
| 2025-11-14 | beat | -0.09 | -0.01 | +88.9% | +5.3% | +18.0% | +10.5% |
| 2025-08-14 | miss | -0.06 | -0.09 | -50.0% | -1.4% | -12.7% | -9.6% |
| 2025-05-15 | miss | -0.08 | -0.09 | -12.5% | +3.7% | +5.3% | +24.5% |
| 2025-03-31 | miss | -0.12 | -0.32 | -166.7% | +1.3% | -4.5% | -21.3% |
| 2024-11-14 | beat | -0.16 | -0.12 | +25.0% | -1.0% | -2.1% | +37.9% |
| 2024-08-14 | miss | -0.12 | -0.16 | -33.3% | -2.5% | -2.5% | -17.8% |
| 2024-05-28 | miss | -0.10 | -0.14 | -44.7% | -3.7% | -22.2% | -11.1% |
| 2024-04-01 | beat | -0.08 | -0.06 | +28.6% | +0.5% | +6.5% | +31.4% |
| 2023-11-14 | miss | -0.01 | -0.10 | -860.5% | -1.8% | -5.1% | -7.8% |
| 2023-08-14 | beat | -0.06 | -0.05 | +15.0% | -2.2% | -3.6% | -9.6% |
| 2023-05-15 | beat | -0.17 | -0.06 | +63.4% | -1.7% | -10.3% | -15.5% |
| 2023-03-31 | beat | -0.09 | 0.01 | +105.6% | +1.6% | +10.4% | +12.2% |
| 2022-11-14 | beat | — | 0.06 | +1287.6% | +3.5% | -5.5% | -13.0% |
| 2022-08-15 | miss | -0.03 | -0.04 | -33.3% | +13.4% | +6.1% | -14.9% |
| 2022-05-16 | beat | -0.10 | — | +100.0% | -5.8% | -11.2% | -6.7% |
| 2022-03-31 | miss | -0.10 | -0.30 | -185.7% | +2.8% | +3.7% | -15.7% |
| 2021-11-15 | beat | -0.08 | -0.06 | +29.2% | +1.4% | +0.2% | -11.3% |
| 2021-08-16 | beat | -0.10 | -0.08 | +20.4% | +0.0% | -8.5% | -5.4% |
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