AMModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-5.0%
Next 1 week
+29.5%
Next 1 month
-2.6%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +1.4% median,
54% of the last 13 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 16
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -5.03%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.46 -1.1% · Seasonal tilt -1.5%
$2M/day volume
53% volatility
-3% 1-year
52-week range · 20% of the way up · -37% from the high
$3.65$6.79
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 4 days) · EPS est. 0.12.
1-day std dev
11.9%
Finished up
43%
Biggest pop
+15.5%
Biggest drop
-30.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 23 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | miss | 0.15 | -0.04 | -128.1% | +5.8% | +8.4% | +15.9% |
| 2026-05-11 | beat | 0.10 | 0.13 | +28.3% | -9.5% | -3.8% | -5.3% |
| 2026-03-09 | miss | 0.21 | -0.24 | -215.1% | -8.1% | -13.4% | +4.7% |
| 2025-11-05 | miss | 0.09 | -0.15 | -266.2% | -1.1% | +7.2% | +23.2% |
| 2025-08-06 | miss | 0.12 | -0.05 | -146.3% | -1.9% | -8.2% | +5.1% |
| 2025-05-12 | miss | 0.16 | 0.10 | -39.7% | +1.4% | +9.6% | -8.9% |
| 2025-03-05 | miss | 0.26 | 0.13 | -50.0% | -12.4% | -14.2% | -15.5% |
| 2024-11-06 | miss | 0.29 | -0.05 | -118.6% | -1.4% | -4.3% | -5.0% |
| 2024-08-07 | miss | 0.31 | 0.22 | -28.0% | +8.5% | +15.5% | +11.2% |
| 2024-05-08 | beat | 0.24 | 0.24 | +0.8% | -6.0% | -7.5% | -14.5% |
| 2024-03-06 | miss | 0.21 | 0.19 | -11.3% | +3.8% | +2.6% | -0.8% |
| 2023-11-06 | miss | 0.20 | 0.08 | -59.2% | -5.0% | -6.1% | -3.5% |
| 2023-08-08 | beat | 0.07 | 0.25 | +258.2% | -2.9% | -4.6% | -16.6% |
| 2023-05-03 | miss | 0.03 | 0.02 | -37.0% | +3.9% | +8.4% | +3.4% |
| 2023-03-09 | beat | -0.07 | 0.78 | +1215.4% | +0.8% | -17.3% | -32.2% |
| 2022-11-01 | beat | 0.17 | 1.17 | +588.2% | -3.8% | -11.4% | -17.6% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | 0.18 | 0.28 | +57.3% | +1.3% | +13.2% | +30.5% |
| 2021-05-05 | miss | 0.10 | -0.51 | -610.0% | -5.6% | +3.2% | +4.9% |
| 2021-03-11 | beat | -0.09 | 0.23 | +353.8% | -5.0% | -17.0% | -29.2% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | 0.24 | 0.34 | +41.4% | +3.1% | +4.6% | +10.8% |
| 2020-08-05 | miss | 0.23 | 0.14 | -38.1% | +6.3% | +3.9% | -3.1% |
| 2020-05-06 | miss | -0.11 | -0.18 | -61.5% | -4.5% | -20.1% | -23.9% |
| 2020-03-05 | miss | 0.16 | 0.02 | -85.3% | -3.8% | -30.3% | -77.2% |
Not investment advice.
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