AOModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.9%
Next 1 week
+1.1%
Next 1 month
+7.7%
Seasonality
No real seasonal tilt
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +0.3% median,
53% of the last 15 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 7
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.08%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 3.43 +8.0% · Seasonal tilt -0.3%
$12M/day volume
89% volatility
-24% 1-year
-70% from ATH
52-week range · 11% of the way up · -61% from the high
$17.01$54.34
Congressional trades in AOSL Full tracker →
1 member · 0 buys / 1 sells · $1K–$15K disclosed · latest filing Mar 6, 2021.
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 2 days) · EPS est. -0.14.
1-day std dev
12.4%
Finished up
48%
Biggest pop
+29.3%
Biggest drop
-27.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | beat | -0.24 | -0.13 | +45.8% | -17.5% | -15.6% | -27.7% |
| 2026-05-06 | beat | -0.36 | -0.28 | +22.2% | -20.7% | -24.1% | -16.7% |
| 2026-02-05 | miss | -0.08 | -0.16 | -92.0% | -20.0% | -5.1% | +0.6% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | 0.09 | 0.13 | +44.4% | -25.9% | -27.5% | -30.5% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | -0.01 | 0.02 | +300.0% | -7.6% | -5.8% | +3.3% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | -0.17 | -0.10 | +40.0% | +10.6% | +3.0% | +16.9% |
| 2025-02-05 | beat | 0.08 | 0.09 | +12.5% | -11.1% | -3.7% | -20.3% |
| 2024-11-04 | miss | 0.22 | 0.21 | -4.5% | -14.2% | -19.5% | -19.6% |
| 2024-08-07 | beat | 0.04 | 0.09 | +107.7% | +10.5% | +4.6% | +11.4% |
| 2024-05-07 | beat | -0.14 | -0.04 | +71.4% | +3.2% | +20.9% | +24.7% |
| 2024-02-06 | beat | 0.15 | 0.24 | +60.0% | -8.5% | -10.6% | -11.1% |
| 2023-11-06 | beat | 0.32 | 0.33 | +4.2% | -2.6% | -15.4% | -10.8% |
| 2023-08-09 | beat | 0.02 | 0.19 | +714.4% | +7.2% | +7.8% | -3.9% |
| 2023-05-04 | miss | -0.19 | -0.21 | -8.6% | -3.1% | +3.2% | +3.0% |
| 2023-02-06 | miss | 0.88 | 0.67 | -24.1% | -15.1% | -12.8% | -15.7% |
| 2022-11-03 | miss | 1.21 | 1.20 | -0.6% | +4.6% | +4.3% | +17.8% |
| 2022-08-10 | beat | 0.86 | 0.95 | +10.5% | +11.3% | +7.9% | +12.3% |
| 2022-05-05 | beat | 1.18 | 1.34 | +13.6% | -11.5% | -14.7% | -14.3% |
| 2022-02-07 | beat | 1.04 | 1.20 | +15.0% | +0.0% | +12.2% | +25.3% |
| 2021-11-04 | beat | 0.96 | 1.06 | +10.8% | +3.8% | +10.5% | +18.4% |
| 2021-08-11 | beat | 0.75 | 0.95 | +27.5% | +6.5% | +0.3% | -7.6% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | 0.55 | 0.77 | +40.0% | +6.3% | -1.5% | -7.7% |
| 2021-02-04 | beat | 0.54 | 0.65 | +21.1% | +10.5% | -3.3% | +16.2% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | 0.51 | 0.55 | +8.6% | +1.2% | +7.0% | +17.5% |
| 2020-08-11 | beat | 0.18 | 0.29 | +64.2% | +7.5% | +21.4% | +18.9% |
| 2020-05-05 | beat | 0.04 | 0.11 | +153.9% | +5.3% | -1.7% | -12.6% |
| 2020-02-05 | 0.23 | 0.23 | — | -5.7% | -12.0% | -10.2% | |
| 2019-11-04 | beat | 0.25 | 0.26 | +5.4% | -8.1% | -12.1% | -7.4% |
| 2019-08-07 | beat | 0.19 | 0.35 | +81.0% | +7.4% | +29.3% | +22.8% |
| 2019-05-02 | miss | 0.23 | 0.22 | -2.2% | -9.2% | -3.3% | -14.3% |
| 2019-02-06 | miss | 0.30 | 0.30 | -1.1% | -1.3% | -9.9% | -4.9% |
| 2018-11-01 | beat | 0.34 | 0.36 | +5.9% | +3.7% | +16.4% | +11.6% |
| 2018-08-08 | beat | 0.22 | 0.31 | +43.1% | +7.4% | +15.3% | +6.5% |
| 2018-05-02 | beat | 0.20 | 0.23 | +16.9% | -4.4% | -6.6% | -2.9% |
| 2018-02-07 | beat | 0.25 | 0.32 | +30.6% | +8.2% | -4.4% | -7.1% |
| 2017-11-02 | miss | 0.28 | 0.27 | -4.4% | -1.9% | -6.5% | -4.7% |
| 2017-08-09 | beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +6.4% | +5.1% | -10.2% | -12.6% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | 0.10 | 0.21 | +103.2% | +8.0% | +23.5% | +17.5% |
| 2017-02-08 | beat | 0.13 | 0.18 | +32.1% | +5.6% | +1.0% | +2.4% |
| 2016-11-03 | beat | 0.13 | 0.19 | +46.1% | +0.0% | -9.8% | +2.9% |
| 2016-08-10 | beat | 0.05 | 0.14 | +180.0% | +4.4% | +27.9% | +34.9% |
| 2016-05-04 | beat | -0.05 | — | +108.4% | +3.4% | +9.9% | +5.3% |
| 2016-02-03 | beat | -0.12 | — | +96.8% | +3.0% | +18.4% | +19.2% |
| 2015-11-05 | beat | -0.11 | -0.05 | +53.1% | +0.0% | +1.2% | -1.3% |
| 2015-08-11 | beat | -0.09 | -0.07 | +19.2% | -1.0% | +2.6% | -2.0% |
| 2015-05-05 | miss | -0.11 | -0.12 | -4.3% | -10.4% | -0.6% | +5.4% |
| 2015-02-03 | beat | -0.01 | — | +100.0% | -2.6% | -0.8% | -1.9% |
| 2014-11-06 | miss | 0.07 | 0.06 | -18.2% | -1.9% | -12.0% | -6.7% |
| 2014-08-12 | beat | -0.02 | 0.03 | +250.0% | +0.3% | +1.0% | -0.1% |
| 2014-05-06 | beat | -0.11 | -0.09 | +21.7% | -0.8% | -1.9% | +1.9% |
| 2014-02-05 | beat | -0.03 | 0.01 | +130.8% | +1.0% | +1.9% | +5.6% |
| 2013-10-30 | beat | 0.03 | 0.06 | +125.0% | +0.6% | -4.8% | -4.1% |
| 2013-08-13 | beat | -0.16 | -0.11 | +33.3% | +4.6% | -1.3% | -2.0% |
| 2013-04-29 | beat | -0.08 | -0.07 | +8.7% | -5.2% | -15.8% | -10.8% |
| 2013-01-30 | miss | 0.23 | 0.18 | -21.7% | -4.5% | -8.5% | -7.2% |
| 2012-10-30 | beat | 0.31 | 0.36 | +17.4% | -0.1% | +3.3% | +1.2% |
| 2012-08-14 | beat | 0.21 | 0.32 | +54.8% | +4.2% | +18.7% | +12.3% |
| 2012-04-25 | beat | — | 0.11 | +6278.2% | +2.4% | +6.1% | +8.3% |
| 2012-01-25 | beat | 0.02 | 0.06 | +200.0% | +0.1% | +10.1% | +17.1% |
| 2011-11-02 | miss | 0.11 | 0.10 | -9.1% | -1.5% | +2.7% | +2.7% |
Not investment advice.
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