APEI

American Public Education Inc $41.59 as of 2026-11-02
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+0.7%
Next 1 month
+0.9%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +9.5% median, 72% of the last 18 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 33
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.18%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 0.26 +0.6% · Seasonal tilt +0.3%
$9M/day volume 45% volatility +21% 1-year -32% from ATH
52-week range · 36% of the way up · -32% from the high
$30.20$61.59

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2026-11-09 (Monday, after close, in 7 days) · EPS est. 0.36.

1-day std dev
16.8%
Finished up
50%
Biggest pop
+36.9%
Biggest drop
-50.8%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-08-10 beat 0.48 0.64 +33.9% +6.2% -3.5% -5.7%
2026-05-11 beat 0.74 1.19 +61.2% +2.0% -6.0% -5.0%
2026-03-12 beat 0.54 0.88 +63.3% +4.7% +21.2% +13.3%
2025-11-10 beat 0.22 0.54 +144.9% +12.8% +4.9% +1.3%
2025-08-06 beat 0.05 0.20 +294.0% -9.2% -7.9% -9.4%
2025-05-12 beat 0.30 0.62 +106.0% +10.9% +5.9% +10.5%
2025-03-06 beat 0.62 0.78 +26.0% +23.6% +22.1% +12.6%
2024-11-12 beat 0.13 0.17 +32.1% -0.8% +14.6% +10.4%
2024-08-06 beat 0.12 0.13 +6.3% -16.0% -27.9% -19.8%
2024-05-07 beat -0.07 0.23 +430.0% +10.1% +17.7% +20.8%
2024-03-05 beat 0.22 0.78 +256.1% +2.5% +36.9% +12.6%
2023-11-07 miss -0.06 -0.22 -261.7% +22.1% +27.9% +43.0%
2023-08-08 beat -0.23 -0.18 +19.6% +0.6% +12.5% -0.6%
2023-05-09 beat -0.45 -0.13 +70.1% +9.6% +11.7% +9.2%
2023-03-14 miss -0.19 -0.24 -27.7% -23.9% -50.8% -53.9%
2022-11-08 miss -0.16 -0.20 -25.0% -1.7% +6.1% +6.1%
2022-08-09 beat 0.11 0.26 +139.4% -4.0% -20.4% -23.9%
2022-05-10 miss 0.24 0.08 -66.0% -2.6% -22.6% -18.7%
2022-03-02 beat 0.38 0.50 +31.6% +1.8% -0.1% +3.3%
2021-11-08 beat -0.02 -0.01 +50.0% -3.0% -3.7% -4.1%
2021-08-09 miss 0.06 0.03 -47.1% -7.7% -9.9% -10.1%
2021-05-10 beat 0.46 0.49 +6.1% -5.8% -13.1% -8.1%
2021-03-09 beat 0.46 0.47 +3.3% +14.0% +8.9% +31.3%
2020-11-09 beat 0.15 0.18 +22.7% +8.7% +2.9% +2.8%
2020-08-10 beat 0.25 0.45 +83.7% +12.2% +16.5% +13.6%
2020-05-11 miss 0.17 0.16 -5.9% +12.4% +25.3% +16.9%
2020-03-10 miss 0.37 0.37 -0.9% -7.7% -3.2% +24.3%
2019-11-12 beat — 0.11 +3203.3% +5.7% +12.6% +8.4%
2019-08-06 beat 0.29 0.30 +2.3% -9.7% -23.2% -21.2%
2019-05-07 beat 0.33 0.41 +23.6% -8.4% -8.3% -13.8%
2019-03-12 beat 0.52 0.55 +5.1% -2.2% +4.0% -4.2%
2018-11-06 beat 0.31 0.33 +6.5% -7.2% +5.2% -5.9%
2018-08-08 beat 0.33 0.39 +18.2% -8.1% -21.4% -19.7%
2018-05-08 beat 0.34 0.35 +2.9% -0.8% -1.2% +0.4%
2018-02-27 beat 0.33 0.51 +54.5% +10.9% +21.5% +57.1%
2017-11-07 beat 0.21 0.27 +29.4% +6.9% +28.6% +26.8%
2017-08-08 miss 0.23 0.23 -1.4% -3.9% -12.5% -17.1%
2017-05-09 beat 0.28 0.28 +1.2% +2.1% +4.9% -6.2%
2017-02-28 miss 0.44 0.42 -4.5% -5.6% -15.1% -15.1%
2016-11-07 beat 0.31 0.35 +11.7% -2.7% -26.1% +10.2%
2016-08-09 beat 0.40 0.41 +3.3% -3.1% -20.3% -23.6%
2016-05-09 beat 0.51 0.64 +25.1% -2.7% +12.1% +12.6%
2016-02-29 beat 0.52 0.75 +45.1% +13.4% +21.9% +37.4%
2015-11-09 beat 0.38 0.41 +7.0% +9.7% +5.5% +1.5%
2015-08-10 miss 0.45 0.42 -7.1% -8.3% -12.2% -11.6%
2015-05-11 beat 0.49 0.51 +3.5% -4.3% -20.3% -15.3%
2015-02-26 beat 0.53 0.68 +28.0% -4.1% -5.5% -11.9%
2014-11-06 miss 0.51 0.51 -0.8% +2.6% +15.7% +20.2%
2014-08-05 beat 0.51 0.56 +10.9% -3.9% -13.7% -12.1%
2014-05-08 beat 0.48 0.59 +23.3% +0.0% +9.8% +8.8%
2014-02-27 miss 0.54 0.51 -5.8% -15.4% -23.4% -20.7%
2013-11-05 beat 0.56 0.61 +9.5% +0.1% +6.3% +7.4%
2013-08-08 beat 0.58 0.60 +3.3% -3.9% -5.0% -6.4%
2013-05-09 beat 0.58 0.63 +9.2% -0.6% +4.9% +12.9%
2013-02-28 beat 0.67 0.74 +10.5% -6.2% -7.0% -22.7%
2012-11-08 beat 0.50 0.60 +19.2% -0.4% -8.6% -10.3%
2012-08-08 beat 0.45 0.51 +12.9% +5.8% +16.4% +19.9%
2012-05-10 beat 0.47 0.50 +6.0% -12.9% -11.9% -11.1%
2012-02-28 beat 0.60 0.71 +18.5% +3.4% -5.3% -7.4%
2011-11-07 beat 0.42 0.60 +42.6% -1.6% +5.8% +7.6%

Not investment advice.