APModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.0%
Next 1 week
+5.9%
Next 1 month
+11.7%
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 84
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.83%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 4.53 +11.8% · Seasonal tilt (3y) -0.1%
$615M/day volume
102% volatility
-41% 1-year
-60% from ATH
52-week range · 9% of the way up · -60% from the high
$17.50$50.72
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-06 (Wednesday, after close, in 69 days) · EPS est. -0.17.
1-day std dev
15.4%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+31.0%
Biggest drop
-35.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 19 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | beat | -0.30 | -0.01 | +96.7% | +2.3% | +0.2% | -14.4% |
| 2026-07-27 | beat | -0.19 | 0.04 | +121.0% | +1.6% | +0.9% | +18.6% |
| 2026-04-08 | beat | -0.21 | 0.09 | +142.9% | -6.3% | -8.0% | +8.3% |
| 2026-01-07 | beat | -0.21 | — | +100.0% | +7.1% | +8.1% | +19.1% |
| 2025-10-09 | beat | -0.15 | -0.03 | +80.7% | +26.4% | +16.0% | +16.9% |
| 2025-07-30 | beat | -0.21 | -0.03 | +85.9% | +25.3% | +31.0% | +42.0% |
| 2025-04-14 | beat | -0.10 | -0.08 | +21.9% | -14.3% | -35.9% | -24.0% |
| 2025-01-14 | beat | -0.14 | -0.06 | +55.9% | -1.4% | -2.0% | +8.5% |
| 2024-10-09 | beat | -0.26 | -0.15 | +42.3% | +1.2% | -6.9% | +7.4% |
| 2024-08-28 | miss | -0.22 | -0.36 | -63.6% | -2.7% | -13.4% | +3.2% |
| 2024-04-11 | miss | -0.07 | -0.24 | -260.0% | +5.9% | -11.7% | -19.5% |
| 2024-01-16 | miss | 0.01 | -0.05 | -600.0% | -16.6% | -26.2% | -35.5% |
| 2023-10-09 | beat | -0.01 | — | +106.6% | +6.8% | -7.0% | +6.2% |
| 2023-07-24 | beat | -0.07 | -0.01 | +85.0% | +6.2% | +13.7% | +24.1% |
| 2023-04-06 | beat | -0.04 | -0.01 | +75.0% | -2.3% | +16.3% | +64.4% |
| 2023-01-09 | beat | -0.05 | -0.04 | +27.3% | -2.9% | +4.3% | +13.5% |
| 2022-10-11 | -0.04 | -0.04 | — | -4.8% | +3.6% | +25.0% | |
| 2022-08-25 | beat | -0.13 | -0.07 | +47.9% | +1.6% | +7.3% | +16.7% |
| 2022-05-13 | beat | -0.07 | -0.04 | +42.9% | -3.9% | +0.0% | +102.8% |
Posted about APLD
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TRACKER - Insider Clusters
long
19.39
Mon, 19 Oct
2 different insiders at Applied Digital Corp. just bought APLD. The cluster: 2 people, $6,664,686 between them in the last 30 days, each paying their…
TRACKER - Big Insider Buys
long
19.39
Mon, 19 Oct
Jason Gechen Zhang just made a big buy of their own company's stock. The buy: President at Applied Digital Corp., 300,000 shares of APLD on 16…
Not investment advice.
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