ARModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.4%
Next 1 week
+0.9%
Next 1 month
+2.8%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +0.9% median,
55% of the last 33 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 26
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.12%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.15 +2.9% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$27M/day volume
46% volatility
+74% 1-year
-29% from ATH
52-week range · 56% of the way up · -29% from the high
$59.43$176.69
Congressional trades in ARCB Full tracker →
1 member · 1 buys / 1 sells · $100K–$200K disclosed · latest filing Jan 13, 2023.
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, before open, in 4 days) · EPS est. 2.51.
1-day std dev
10.1%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+28.0%
Biggest drop
-25.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | beat | 2.26 | 2.38 | +5.2% | +0.0% | -5.3% | -5.2% |
| 2026-04-28 | beat | 0.29 | 0.32 | +11.2% | +0.2% | +0.8% | -6.8% |
| 2026-01-30 | miss | 0.42 | 0.36 | -13.8% | -5.9% | +5.8% | +31.2% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | 1.37 | 1.46 | +6.6% | -0.2% | -0.9% | -8.4% |
| 2025-07-30 | miss | 1.46 | 1.36 | -7.1% | -7.1% | -12.6% | -9.6% |
| 2025-04-29 | miss | 0.52 | 0.51 | -1.2% | +0.8% | -4.0% | -0.9% |
| 2025-01-31 | beat | 1.05 | 1.33 | +26.6% | +9.1% | +1.2% | -3.5% |
| 2024-11-01 | miss | 1.85 | 1.64 | -11.4% | -2.9% | -4.0% | +11.8% |
| 2024-08-02 | miss | 2.06 | 1.98 | -3.9% | -3.0% | -13.3% | -14.4% |
| 2024-04-30 | miss | 1.53 | 1.34 | -12.4% | -3.7% | -14.3% | -9.5% |
| 2024-02-06 | beat | 2.23 | 2.47 | +10.9% | +1.5% | +8.2% | +8.8% |
| 2023-10-27 | beat | 1.50 | 2.31 | +54.1% | +11.4% | +16.2% | +36.4% |
| 2023-07-28 | miss | 2.02 | 1.54 | -23.8% | +1.0% | +0.5% | -2.7% |
| 2023-04-28 | miss | 1.96 | 1.58 | -19.5% | -3.3% | +5.0% | -2.3% |
| 2023-02-03 | miss | 2.53 | 2.45 | -3.1% | -11.3% | -3.8% | +11.8% |
| 2022-11-01 | beat | 3.72 | 3.80 | +2.2% | +0.2% | +1.0% | -4.2% |
| 2022-07-29 | beat | 3.95 | 4.30 | +8.8% | -4.0% | +1.0% | +0.7% |
| 2022-04-29 | beat | 2.13 | 3.08 | +44.3% | -2.0% | -5.6% | +4.3% |
| 2022-02-01 | beat | 2.27 | 2.79 | +22.9% | +8.1% | +5.9% | -1.1% |
| 2021-11-02 | beat | 2.46 | 2.59 | +5.4% | +0.2% | +9.2% | +15.5% |
| 2021-08-02 | beat | 1.64 | 1.97 | +20.4% | -0.2% | +1.9% | +12.4% |
| 2021-05-04 | beat | 0.58 | 1.01 | +75.1% | -1.2% | +5.7% | +17.2% |
| 2021-02-02 | beat | 0.92 | 0.97 | +5.0% | +0.2% | -0.6% | +12.1% |
| 2020-11-03 | beat | 0.82 | 1.22 | +48.3% | +5.9% | +6.5% | +18.3% |
| 2020-07-29 | beat | — | 0.67 | +44270.9% | +1.3% | -3.5% | -3.4% |
| 2020-05-05 | beat | -0.12 | 0.36 | +412.4% | +9.9% | +14.0% | +5.7% |
| 2020-01-30 | beat | 0.45 | 0.56 | +24.6% | +2.0% | -13.0% | -9.9% |
| 2019-10-31 | beat | 0.87 | 1.02 | +17.7% | +10.0% | +2.2% | +7.9% |
| 2019-07-30 | miss | 0.94 | 0.93 | -0.7% | +3.0% | +4.0% | -3.1% |
| 2019-05-02 | miss | 0.29 | 0.17 | -42.2% | -4.9% | -1.0% | -6.0% |
| 2019-01-30 | beat | 0.93 | 1.01 | +8.2% | +0.9% | -8.4% | -8.8% |
| 2018-11-01 | beat | 1.12 | 1.44 | +28.6% | +13.8% | +12.7% | +8.1% |
| 2018-07-31 | beat | 0.99 | 1.12 | +13.1% | -1.1% | -1.7% | +2.7% |
| 2018-05-10 | beat | -0.07 | 0.29 | +489.7% | +8.3% | +28.0% | +29.2% |
| 2018-01-31 | beat | 0.37 | 0.42 | +14.2% | +6.4% | -0.8% | -1.4% |
| 2017-11-03 | beat | 0.58 | 0.59 | +1.4% | +2.5% | +2.2% | -1.1% |
| 2017-07-28 | beat | 0.48 | 0.57 | +18.5% | +7.4% | +25.3% | +22.6% |
| 2017-05-05 | miss | -0.12 | -0.22 | -78.4% | -9.0% | -24.8% | -32.6% |
| 2017-02-08 | beat | 0.26 | 0.29 | +13.2% | +0.0% | -1.6% | +1.6% |
| 2016-11-03 | miss | 0.48 | 0.48 | -0.7% | -2.2% | +8.7% | +35.9% |
| 2016-07-29 | miss | 0.41 | 0.38 | -8.3% | +0.0% | +4.3% | +4.2% |
| 2016-04-29 | miss | -0.12 | -0.23 | -98.9% | -4.8% | -8.4% | -18.0% |
| 2016-02-03 | miss | 0.41 | 0.21 | -48.5% | -9.9% | -16.1% | -9.1% |
| 2015-10-30 | miss | 0.79 | 0.74 | -6.2% | +0.7% | +0.9% | +9.4% |
| 2015-08-03 | beat | 0.73 | 0.75 | +2.9% | +2.9% | +3.5% | +1.5% |
| 2015-05-04 | miss | 0.10 | 0.06 | -38.0% | -1.9% | -0.4% | -0.1% |
| 2015-02-04 | beat | 0.44 | 0.53 | +21.4% | +2.3% | -3.5% | -4.4% |
| 2014-11-03 | miss | 0.74 | 0.74 | -0.1% | +12.3% | +6.8% | +11.1% |
| 2014-07-31 | miss | 0.72 | 0.65 | -9.7% | -4.2% | -25.0% | -21.3% |
| 2014-05-01 | miss | -0.09 | -0.11 | -21.9% | -1.3% | -3.3% | -1.8% |
| 2014-01-30 | beat | 0.29 | 0.31 | +7.0% | -0.4% | +3.7% | -3.5% |
| 2013-11-11 | beat | 0.36 | 0.54 | +49.7% | +11.4% | +15.4% | +20.1% |
| 2013-08-09 | miss | 0.19 | 0.18 | -5.6% | +1.5% | +16.2% | +17.3% |
| 2013-04-30 | miss | -0.39 | -0.52 | -34.6% | -0.4% | -9.0% | +29.8% |
| 2013-01-30 | miss | -0.04 | -0.31 | -647.7% | -7.6% | +1.9% | +2.6% |
| 2012-11-01 | miss | 0.28 | 0.24 | -15.1% | -0.6% | +4.3% | -8.8% |
| 2012-07-31 | beat | 0.16 | 0.18 | +13.1% | +7.8% | +11.8% | -14.4% |
| 2012-04-27 | miss | -0.19 | -0.53 | -185.8% | -10.8% | -6.4% | -15.6% |
| 2012-01-27 | miss | 0.23 | 0.08 | -65.9% | -11.1% | -15.0% | -15.9% |
| 2011-10-28 | beat | 0.31 | 0.46 | +46.7% | +4.7% | -1.2% | -3.2% |
Not investment advice.
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