ARModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+1.3%
Next 1 month
+2.3%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): +2.9% median,
71% of the last 14 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 1
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.07%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.95 +2.3% · Seasonal tilt +0.0%
$19M/day volume
39% volatility
-9% 1-year
-77% from ATH
52-week range · 2% of the way up · -31% from the high
$6.67$9.75
Congressional trades in ARCO Full tracker →
1 member · 0 buys / 1 sells · $1K–$15K disclosed · latest filing Dec 14, 2015.
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-12 (Thursday, before open, in 10 days) · EPS est. 0.16.
1-day std dev
7.6%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+19.9%
Biggest drop
-20.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | beat | 0.15 | 0.22 | +45.4% | +7.0% | +3.0% | -1.3% |
| 2026-05-20 | beat | 0.10 | 0.17 | +66.1% | +7.6% | +12.5% | +9.9% |
| 2026-03-19 | miss | 0.20 | 0.13 | -35.7% | -1.6% | -0.4% | +7.4% |
| 2025-11-12 | beat | 0.13 | 0.71 | +448.3% | +4.0% | +5.3% | +0.6% |
| 2025-08-13 | beat | 0.07 | 0.11 | +52.4% | +7.5% | +9.8% | +1.7% |
| 2025-05-14 | miss | 0.13 | 0.07 | -46.1% | -13.4% | -5.6% | -8.8% |
| 2025-03-12 | beat | 0.21 | 0.28 | +33.1% | +6.4% | +5.4% | +8.7% |
| 2024-11-13 | beat | 0.16 | 0.17 | +5.3% | +1.2% | +2.4% | +1.4% |
| 2024-08-14 | miss | 0.13 | 0.13 | -3.0% | +3.0% | -0.6% | -10.3% |
| 2024-05-15 | miss | 0.15 | 0.14 | -6.7% | -2.9% | -5.7% | -8.7% |
| 2024-03-13 | beat | 0.25 | 0.26 | +4.6% | -5.0% | -0.5% | -6.4% |
| 2023-11-16 | beat | 0.20 | 0.28 | +41.3% | +4.7% | +8.5% | +9.2% |
| 2023-08-17 | miss | 0.13 | 0.13 | -1.8% | -3.0% | -6.8% | -5.8% |
| 2023-05-17 | beat | 0.13 | 0.18 | +34.9% | +6.0% | +8.3% | +3.7% |
| 2023-03-15 | beat | 0.24 | 0.26 | +7.1% | +2.2% | -2.5% | -3.4% |
| 2022-11-16 | beat | 0.11 | 0.22 | +103.1% | +6.2% | -1.2% | -0.5% |
| 2022-08-10 | miss | 0.14 | 0.07 | -50.0% | +1.9% | -0.4% | -7.5% |
| 2022-05-18 | beat | 0.08 | 0.12 | +56.9% | +7.0% | +1.6% | -0.4% |
| 2022-03-16 | beat | 0.16 | 0.22 | +34.7% | +2.2% | +1.9% | +6.5% |
| 2021-11-10 | beat | 0.08 | 0.12 | +48.3% | +4.3% | +9.2% | +4.3% |
| 2021-08-11 | beat | -0.04 | 0.02 | +144.9% | +3.1% | -4.3% | -6.6% |
| 2021-05-12 | miss | -0.03 | -0.14 | -360.1% | -6.9% | -6.4% | -0.2% |
| 2021-03-17 | beat | 0.01 | 0.12 | +1477.5% | +2.7% | +1.3% | -4.9% |
| 2020-11-11 | beat | -0.16 | -0.14 | +13.7% | +4.7% | +3.4% | +1.7% |
| 2020-08-12 | miss | -0.42 | -0.43 | -4.1% | +0.4% | -1.9% | -5.1% |
| 2020-05-13 | miss | — | -0.25 | -7496.4% | -4.2% | -6.9% | -1.7% |
| 2020-03-18 | beat | 0.08 | 0.16 | +94.6% | -5.2% | -20.9% | -14.8% |
| 2019-11-13 | beat | 0.09 | 0.12 | +29.7% | +4.6% | +5.0% | +1.1% |
| 2019-08-07 | miss | 0.09 | 0.05 | -45.9% | -0.9% | +1.1% | -9.3% |
| 2019-05-15 | miss | 0.11 | 0.06 | -46.9% | +0.0% | -1.1% | -3.4% |
| 2019-03-27 | miss | 0.26 | 0.04 | -85.0% | +0.0% | -8.2% | -9.9% |
| 2018-11-14 | beat | 0.08 | 0.12 | +45.9% | +1.7% | +6.2% | +6.3% |
| 2018-08-08 | miss | 0.05 | 0.01 | -80.5% | +1.4% | -1.4% | -2.2% |
| 2018-05-09 | miss | 0.08 | — | -100.0% | +2.5% | +3.1% | -8.6% |
| 2018-03-21 | beat | 0.11 | 0.32 | +191.9% | +0.5% | +0.0% | -8.8% |
| 2017-11-08 | beat | 0.05 | 0.11 | +114.5% | +0.9% | +4.9% | -0.1% |
| 2017-08-09 | miss | 0.10 | -0.02 | -119.9% | -1.1% | -1.6% | -3.3% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | 0.04 | 0.18 | +362.3% | +5.2% | +8.1% | +7.0% |
| 2017-03-15 | beat | 0.06 | 0.09 | +46.0% | +3.1% | +19.7% | +16.5% |
| 2016-11-02 | miss | 0.04 | -0.01 | -127.8% | -3.3% | -2.5% | -4.2% |
| 2016-08-03 | beat | -0.01 | 0.20 | +2143.2% | +1.5% | +9.2% | +4.2% |
| 2016-05-04 | — | 0.08 | — | +3.9% | +3.9% | -5.0% | |
| 2016-03-16 | beat | 0.02 | 0.18 | +781.0% | +7.7% | +12.8% | +29.2% |
| 2015-11-04 | miss | -0.04 | -0.17 | -369.1% | +3.6% | -2.3% | -2.9% |
| 2015-08-11 | beat | -0.05 | 0.03 | +172.5% | +5.0% | +4.3% | -11.2% |
| 2015-05-12 | beat | -0.14 | -0.13 | +7.8% | -7.7% | -9.4% | -13.3% |
| 2015-03-17 | miss | 0.12 | 0.07 | -36.0% | +0.5% | +19.9% | +22.9% |
| 2014-11-04 | miss | 0.10 | 0.06 | -37.0% | -5.6% | +5.8% | +7.3% |
| 2014-08-05 | miss | 0.08 | -0.14 | -286.6% | -5.9% | -12.9% | -20.6% |
| 2014-05-06 | miss | 0.04 | -0.12 | -389.7% | -1.1% | -4.7% | -4.0% |
| 2014-03-11 | miss | 0.18 | 0.15 | -19.0% | +0.9% | +3.7% | +7.6% |
| 2013-11-05 | miss | 0.14 | 0.09 | -37.5% | -5.4% | -1.0% | -8.7% |
| 2013-08-06 | miss | 0.08 | 0.04 | -49.8% | -1.5% | +3.3% | +6.9% |
| 2013-04-30 | miss | 0.05 | 0.04 | -23.4% | -1.7% | +3.0% | +8.2% |
| 2013-03-08 | beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +5.1% | +3.5% | +1.6% | +8.0% |
| 2012-11-02 | beat | 0.15 | 0.16 | +2.1% | -0.1% | -4.0% | -10.4% |
| 2012-08-07 | miss | 0.07 | 0.06 | -16.6% | +0.0% | +14.1% | +4.3% |
| 2012-05-04 | miss | 0.18 | 0.12 | -35.1% | -6.1% | -16.5% | -17.8% |
| 2012-03-05 | beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +7.3% | +1.1% | -7.5% | -8.1% |
| 2011-10-28 | miss | 0.17 | 0.15 | -10.2% | -2.6% | +0.9% | -3.9% |
Not investment advice.
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