ARModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+0.1%
Next 1 month
+4.5%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -12.9% median,
33% of the last 12 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 9
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.23%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.10 +4.9% · Seasonal tilt -0.4%
$8M/day volume
79% volatility
-2% 1-year
52-week range · 32% of the way up · -47% from the high
$5.50$17.96
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 2 days) · EPS est. -0.68.
1-day std dev
11.7%
Finished up
40%
Biggest pop
+30.7%
Biggest drop
-24.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 35 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | beat | -1.03 | -0.84 | +18.1% | +6.4% | +21.9% | +35.4% |
| 2026-05-06 | beat | -1.01 | -0.95 | +6.2% | -0.2% | -2.5% | -14.2% |
| 2026-03-03 | miss | -0.76 | -1.03 | -36.4% | -5.1% | -4.2% | -5.7% |
| 2025-11-10 | beat | -0.80 | -0.49 | +38.7% | +0.8% | -1.3% | -24.6% |
| 2025-08-11 | beat | -0.85 | -0.34 | +59.8% | +7.3% | +30.7% | +49.3% |
| 2025-05-12 | beat | -1.10 | -0.52 | +52.7% | +10.4% | +2.3% | +9.6% |
| 2025-03-06 | miss | -0.49 | -1.11 | -124.6% | -7.3% | -8.9% | -11.8% |
| 2024-11-07 | beat | -1.02 | -0.26 | +74.6% | +4.1% | +4.7% | -14.5% |
| 2024-08-05 | beat | -1.57 | -0.64 | +59.2% | +12.8% | +0.2% | -0.6% |
| 2024-05-08 | beat | -1.14 | -1.00 | +12.6% | +6.9% | -1.5% | +12.1% |
| 2024-03-07 | beat | -1.05 | -0.32 | +69.6% | -3.2% | -0.9% | -2.4% |
| 2023-11-14 | beat | -1.63 | -0.61 | +62.5% | +18.5% | +16.1% | +21.3% |
| 2023-08-07 | miss | -0.42 | -1.98 | -372.3% | -11.2% | -19.2% | -6.0% |
| 2023-05-09 | beat | 0.26 | 0.63 | +142.1% | +3.5% | +1.6% | -2.2% |
| 2023-03-28 | beat | 1.23 | 4.33 | +253.1% | +24.5% | +30.1% | +69.1% |
| 2022-11-09 | beat | -1.81 | -1.33 | +26.7% | -5.9% | -7.9% | -16.6% |
| 2022-08-09 | beat | -1.88 | -0.82 | +56.4% | -5.3% | -4.1% | +6.7% |
| 2022-05-09 | miss | -1.40 | -1.94 | -39.0% | -0.1% | -0.2% | +10.1% |
| 2022-02-28 | beat | -1.69 | -1.47 | +13.0% | -4.0% | -7.9% | -24.4% |
| 2021-11-08 | miss | -1.52 | -2.05 | -35.3% | -4.9% | -6.3% | -3.3% |
| 2021-08-09 | beat | -2.25 | -2.07 | +8.0% | +21.5% | +4.9% | +2.8% |
| 2021-05-10 | miss | -1.23 | -2.15 | -74.2% | -9.1% | -5.8% | +6.6% |
| 2021-03-01 | miss | -0.86 | -1.25 | -45.3% | -1.3% | -1.2% | -11.4% |
| 2020-11-09 | miss | -0.49 | -0.92 | -87.5% | +7.5% | +13.8% | +53.5% |
| 2020-08-10 | beat | -0.55 | -0.55 | +0.3% | -3.0% | -16.4% | -4.7% |
| 2020-05-07 | miss | -0.59 | -0.67 | -13.8% | +6.2% | +4.4% | +20.4% |
| 2020-03-11 | miss | -0.51 | -0.76 | -49.6% | +4.4% | -24.4% | -2.1% |
| 2019-11-08 | miss | -0.46 | -0.56 | -20.9% | +1.0% | -2.2% | -11.1% |
| 2019-08-14 | beat | -0.61 | -0.07 | +88.6% | +4.0% | -3.3% | +19.8% |
| 2019-05-13 | miss | -0.60 | -0.68 | -14.0% | +0.0% | -13.2% | -7.9% |
| 2019-05-12 | miss | -0.33 | -0.41 | -24.2% | +0.5% | +2.9% | +10.5% |
| 2019-03-18 | beat | -0.52 | -0.09 | +82.7% | +0.0% | +6.0% | +3.0% |
| 2019-03-17 | miss | -0.46 | -0.85 | -84.8% | +0.0% | +1.3% | +2.5% |
| 2018-11-07 | miss | -0.35 | -0.42 | -20.0% | +1.0% | -2.9% | -13.6% |
| 2018-09-28 | miss | -0.34 | -0.99 | -191.2% | -0.2% | -1.0% | -16.1% |
Not investment advice.
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