ARModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.0%
Next 1 week
+1.9%
Next 1 month
+3.5%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +18.0% median,
73% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 74
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.30%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.82 +2.4% · Seasonal tilt (11y) +1.1%
$14M/day volume
62% volatility
-39% 1-year
52-week range · 3% of the way up · -63% from the high
$2.95$8.40
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, after close, in 4 days) · EPS est. -0.02.
1-day std dev
10.2%
Finished up
41%
Biggest pop
+32.2%
Biggest drop
-24.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 49 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | miss | -0.05 | -0.07 | -41.2% | -16.8% | -17.9% | -16.6% |
| 2026-04-30 | miss | -0.14 | -0.15 | -5.0% | -5.2% | +8.7% | +7.1% |
| 2026-02-19 | miss | 0.01 | — | -100.0% | -3.7% | -15.0% | -2.8% |
| 2025-10-30 | beat | -0.07 | — | +100.0% | +28.3% | +21.0% | +11.6% |
| 2025-08-04 | beat | -0.14 | -0.08 | +41.5% | +15.6% | +16.9% | +27.6% |
| 2025-05-01 | miss | -0.07 | -0.17 | -126.7% | -25.9% | -24.5% | -33.8% |
| 2025-02-20 | beat | — | 0.02 | +2802.7% | -10.4% | -10.1% | -17.9% |
| 2024-10-31 | beat | -0.05 | — | +100.0% | +2.0% | +3.7% | -13.6% |
| 2024-08-01 | beat | -0.11 | -0.07 | +37.4% | +2.6% | +10.0% | +3.6% |
| 2024-05-02 | beat | -0.16 | -0.11 | +32.3% | +23.1% | +28.4% | +14.4% |
| 2024-02-22 | miss | -0.09 | -0.12 | -27.7% | -7.5% | -1.6% | +5.9% |
| 2023-10-31 | beat | -0.11 | 0.03 | +127.7% | +3.3% | +9.1% | +12.4% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | -0.11 | -0.08 | +30.0% | +4.7% | +5.2% | +3.1% |
| 2023-05-03 | miss | -0.10 | -0.13 | -34.8% | -5.3% | +0.4% | -8.3% |
| 2023-03-02 | beat | — | 0.06 | +2486.2% | +17.6% | +32.2% | +23.2% |
| 2022-11-03 | beat | -0.17 | -0.14 | +15.6% | +0.7% | +0.0% | -15.5% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | -0.20 | -0.19 | +6.0% | -8.5% | +4.0% | +13.3% |
| 2022-05-05 | beat | -0.23 | -0.21 | +10.5% | -4.2% | -3.3% | -22.1% |
| 2022-02-28 | beat | -0.34 | -0.31 | +8.2% | -2.6% | -5.5% | +18.4% |
| 2021-11-12 | miss | -0.35 | -0.42 | -20.7% | -0.9% | -3.4% | -13.8% |
| 2021-08-13 | miss | -0.37 | -0.45 | -22.4% | +2.0% | -5.3% | -11.8% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | -0.34 | -0.34 | +1.1% | -0.5% | -1.4% | -1.1% |
| 2021-03-08 | miss | -0.27 | -0.32 | -19.5% | +3.0% | -6.1% | +4.5% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | -0.30 | -0.20 | +33.1% | -0.5% | +0.5% | -0.4% |
| 2020-08-06 | miss | -0.25 | -0.28 | -11.2% | -0.7% | +2.5% | -0.5% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | -0.25 | -0.25 | +1.1% | +0.7% | +2.4% | +2.9% |
| 2020-03-06 | beat | -0.33 | -0.27 | +17.1% | -3.5% | -2.6% | -30.5% |
| 2019-11-06 | -0.37 | -0.37 | — | -2.7% | +6.4% | +19.4% | |
| 2019-08-09 | miss | -0.38 | -0.41 | -8.8% | -2.6% | -2.6% | +5.6% |
| 2019-05-07 | miss | -0.39 | -0.42 | -7.2% | -2.6% | -4.7% | -8.2% |
| 2019-03-06 | miss | -0.40 | -0.45 | -12.9% | +1.1% | +13.7% | +17.2% |
| 2018-11-07 | beat | -0.43 | -0.39 | +8.8% | -2.9% | -10.2% | -14.6% |
| 2018-08-07 | beat | -0.44 | -0.42 | +4.7% | -8.3% | -7.1% | -6.5% |
| 2018-05-08 | beat | -0.46 | -0.36 | +22.3% | -1.0% | +0.0% | +12.9% |
| 2018-03-14 | beat | -0.49 | 0.21 | +142.9% | +3.6% | -4.5% | +0.9% |
| 2017-11-07 | beat | -0.54 | -0.44 | +19.1% | +2.7% | +1.8% | -4.5% |
| 2017-08-09 | beat | -0.65 | -0.54 | +16.4% | +2.3% | +8.0% | +9.2% |
| 2017-05-05 | beat | -0.66 | -0.59 | +10.3% | +0.8% | -0.4% | -41.3% |
| 2017-02-17 | beat | -0.72 | -0.66 | +7.7% | -1.1% | -1.5% | +4.2% |
| 2016-11-07 | beat | -0.75 | -0.65 | +13.2% | -1.2% | +0.8% | +17.8% |
| 2016-08-08 | miss | -0.74 | -0.83 | -12.8% | -1.1% | -0.9% | +0.6% |
| 2016-05-09 | beat | -0.73 | -0.70 | +4.1% | -6.7% | -5.4% | -6.4% |
| 2016-03-04 | beat | -0.80 | -0.65 | +18.7% | +1.2% | -9.1% | -18.6% |
| 2015-11-12 | miss | -0.53 | -0.70 | -32.1% | -12.3% | -6.1% | -11.7% |
| 2015-08-12 | beat | 0.11 | 0.42 | +279.9% | +4.2% | -2.5% | -2.7% |
| 2015-05-12 | miss | -0.08 | -0.19 | -135.9% | -0.3% | -1.1% | +29.0% |
| 2015-02-25 | miss | -0.20 | -0.21 | -5.0% | -6.2% | -7.5% | -7.1% |
| 2014-11-06 | miss | 0.15 | — | -100.0% | -2.5% | +3.8% | -6.4% |
| 2014-08-07 | miss | -0.06 | -0.19 | -220.6% | +1.9% | -2.7% | -3.0% |
Not investment advice.
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