ARModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.4%
Next 1 week
+4.7%
Next 1 month
+6.2%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): -4.7% median,
40% of the last 15 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 8
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.78%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.35 +6.8% · Seasonal tilt -0.6%
$28M/day volume
64% volatility
+54% 1-year
52-week range · 36% of the way up · -38% from the high
$9.55$23.29
Congressional trades in ARIS Full tracker →
1 member · 1 buys / 2 sells · $80K–$200K disclosed · latest filing Oct 10, 2025.
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 5 days) · EPS est. 0.39.
1-day std dev
4.5%
Finished up
38%
Biggest pop
+6.1%
Biggest drop
-15.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 21 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | beat | 0.43 | 0.47 | +9.9% | +2.6% | +2.5% | +13.1% |
| 2026-05-06 | beat | 0.59 | 0.60 | +2.1% | +2.2% | +0.4% | +4.2% |
| 2026-03-11 | beat | 0.43 | 0.46 | +6.2% | -1.0% | -2.3% | -15.1% |
| 2025-11-03 | 0.42 | — | — | -2.7% | -5.9% | +7.5% | |
| 2025-08-11 | miss | 0.28 | 0.27 | -3.6% | -0.3% | -2.5% | -6.1% |
| 2025-05-06 | miss | 0.17 | 0.16 | -4.5% | +0.3% | -2.0% | -5.7% |
| 2025-02-26 | miss | 0.16 | 0.14 | -11.4% | -1.0% | -4.4% | +5.7% |
| 2024-11-04 | beat | 0.30 | 0.34 | +12.4% | +1.1% | -1.8% | -10.4% |
| 2024-08-06 | beat | 0.24 | 0.29 | +21.9% | +0.5% | -5.0% | +0.2% |
| 2024-05-07 | beat | 0.24 | 0.34 | +42.9% | +0.0% | +0.5% | -4.3% |
| 2024-02-28 | beat | 0.21 | 0.26 | +22.4% | +0.0% | +1.8% | +14.8% |
| 2023-11-01 | miss | 0.16 | 0.11 | -31.2% | +1.8% | +1.6% | +0.2% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | 0.13 | 0.22 | +75.4% | -0.4% | +0.0% | -7.1% |
| 2023-05-08 | miss | 0.16 | 0.08 | -48.4% | +0.0% | +0.4% | -18.5% |
| 2023-03-06 | miss | 0.22 | 0.09 | -58.6% | -1.6% | -3.5% | -0.2% |
| 2022-11-10 | miss | 0.24 | 0.23 | -2.3% | +2.1% | -5.0% | +4.6% |
| 2022-08-03 | miss | 0.24 | 0.15 | -39.0% | +3.9% | +6.1% | +4.2% |
| 2022-05-09 | beat | 0.16 | 0.17 | +5.7% | -1.3% | -3.9% | -4.3% |
| 2022-02-28 | beat | 0.14 | 0.23 | +63.5% | -3.8% | +2.7% | +3.2% |
| 2020-08-13 | miss | 0.30 | -0.27 | -190.0% | +2.6% | -3.5% | -7.9% |
| 2012-08-15 | miss | 7.50 | -14.62 | -295.0% | -9.9% | -15.9% | -8.4% |
Not investment advice.
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