ARR

Armour Residential REIT, Inc. $12.45 as of 2026-10-30
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.4%
Next 1 month
+1.7%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +2.1% median, 72% of the last 18 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 17
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.10%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 0.68 +1.6% · Seasonal tilt +0.1%
$67M/day volume 24% volatility -23% 1-year
52-week range · 2% of the way up · -36% from the high
$12.28$19.31

Congressional trades in ARR Full tracker →

1 member · 0 buys / 1 sells · $1K–$15K disclosed · latest filing Apr 27, 2020.

SELL DS Donna Shalala · traded Jun 4, 2019 $1K–$15K

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2027-02-17 (Wednesday, after close, in 109 days) · EPS est. 0.71.

1-day std dev
2.9%
Finished up
50%
Biggest pop
+5.7%
Biggest drop
-8.7%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-10-21 miss 0.71 0.71 -0.4% -1.6% -0.9% -0.2%
2026-07-22 miss 0.72 0.72 -0.1% -0.8% -1.5% +0.4%
2026-04-22 miss 0.49 -0.49 -200.7% -0.3% -0.3% -0.1%
2026-02-18 miss 0.77 0.71 -7.6% +0.1% -0.1% +2.4%
2025-10-22 miss 0.79 0.72 -8.7% +0.5% +1.1% +1.1%
2025-07-23 miss 0.83 0.77 -6.7% -2.4% -1.2% -3.4%
2025-04-23 miss 0.87 0.86 -1.5% +1.8% +2.8% +10.2%
2025-02-12 miss 0.97 0.78 -20.0% -0.5% +1.6% -0.1%
2024-10-23 beat 0.98 1.00 +2.0% +0.2% +0.2% -4.2%
2024-07-24 beat 0.97 1.08 +11.6% -1.3% -2.4% -2.0%
2024-04-25 miss 1.05 0.82 -21.7% +0.4% +1.7% +4.4%
2024-02-14 beat 0.99 1.07 +7.7% +0.4% +5.6% +4.1%
2023-10-25 miss 1.20 1.08 -10.0% -0.9% -2.2% +11.0%
2023-07-26 miss 1.31 1.15 -12.4% +0.2% +0.0% -3.3%
2023-04-26 beat 1.31 1.35 +3.0% +0.6% +2.0% -1.2%
2023-02-15 miss 1.48 1.35 -8.8% -0.7% +2.3% -2.1%
2022-10-26 beat 1.46 1.60 +9.4% +3.2% +3.6% +2.4%
2022-07-27 beat 1.30 1.45 +11.5% -0.1% +5.7% +3.0%
2022-04-27 beat 1.21 1.40 +15.5% +0.0% +1.9% +3.0%
2022-02-16 miss 1.38 1.35 -1.8% +0.5% -2.5% -6.8%
2021-10-27 miss 1.28 1.25 -2.3% +0.0% -1.4% +0.2%
2021-07-22 miss 1.38 1.05 -23.6% +0.1% -4.5% -3.2%
2021-04-21 miss 1.55 1.15 -25.8% +0.1% +0.4% +2.6%
2021-02-17 miss 1.75 1.60 -8.6% -0.4% -3.2% +0.1%
2020-10-21 beat 1.70 1.75 +2.9% +1.3% +3.4% +1.8%
2020-07-22 miss 1.35 0.95 -29.6% -0.7% -4.7% -5.9%
2020-04-30 miss 2.39 2.15 -9.9% -3.8% -8.7% -10.4%
2020-02-19 beat 2.72 2.75 +1.2% -0.1% +1.7% -9.2%
2019-10-23 beat 2.63 2.75 +4.4% +0.1% -1.9% -2.4%
2019-07-24 beat 2.92 3.15 +8.0% +0.2% -3.9% -5.0%
2019-04-24 miss 3.09 3.05 -1.1% -0.4% -4.6% -5.8%
2019-02-14 beat 3.09 3.20 +3.6% +0.1% -0.1% -4.0%
2018-10-24 beat 3.01 3.20 +6.2% +1.0% +4.1% +7.2%
2018-07-25 beat 2.95 3.25 +10.2% +0.4% +2.3% +3.0%
2018-04-25 beat 3.15 3.30 +4.8% +0.1% -0.5% +0.3%
2018-02-14 beat 3.22 3.40 +5.5% -1.4% +1.4% +0.4%
2017-10-25 beat 3.25 3.45 +6.1% +0.1% -3.2% -6.8%
2017-07-26 beat 3.12 3.45 +10.7% +1.0% +1.2% +2.8%
2017-05-01 beat 3.11 3.45 +11.0% +1.2% +2.4% +1.5%
2017-02-15 beat 3.23 3.55 +9.8% +0.1% +2.4% +4.3%
2016-11-02 beat 3.15 3.40 +8.1% +0.2% +0.9% -0.5%
2016-08-02 miss 3.55 3.15 -11.3% +0.0% +4.0% +5.5%
2016-05-02 miss 4.54 3.60 -20.6% -3.8% -4.8% -3.1%
2016-02-18 beat 4.95 5.50 +11.2% +0.7% +2.1% +1.7%
2015-11-06 beat 4.96 5.55 +12.0% +1.7% +3.3% +2.1%
2015-07-29 beat 4.35 4.80 +10.3% +0.7% +4.8% +4.6%
2015-04-29 miss 3.65 3.20 -12.2% -0.3% -4.8% -3.8%
2015-02-24 miss 4.59 4.00 -12.9% -0.3% +0.6% +1.6%
2014-10-29 miss 5.43 5.03 -7.3% +0.0% -0.7% -1.0%
2014-07-31 miss 6.27 5.20 -17.1% -0.5% -0.2% +0.2%
2014-05-05 beat 5.58 6.00 +7.5% -0.2% -0.9% -0.2%
2014-02-26 beat 5.06 6.00 +18.6% -0.9% -1.8% -1.2%
2013-10-28 beat 6.89 8.48 +23.1% -3.7% -6.4% -7.3%
2013-08-01 miss 7.65 7.20 -5.9% +0.7% +0.7% +3.0%
2013-05-02 miss 9.12 8.00 -12.3% -1.7% -1.7% -2.5%
2013-02-22 beat 10.94 15.01 +37.2% +0.6% -0.9% +0.5%
2012-11-01 miss 11.76 10.45 -11.2% +0.8% -0.6% -2.9%
2012-08-01 miss 12.58 12.53 -0.4% +0.9% +0.7% -2.2%
2012-05-02 beat 12.06 14.12 +17.1% +0.1% +0.3% +0.7%
2012-03-06 beat 11.95 12.63 +5.7% -0.4% +0.7% -6.1%

Not investment advice.