ARModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+1.7%
Next 1 month
+3.3%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +3.1% median,
64% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 92
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.10%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.47 +3.8% · Seasonal tilt -0.5%
$108M/day volume
38% volatility
+87% 1-year
-11% from ATH
52-week range · 82% of the way up · -11% from the high
$101.79$249.43
Congressional trades in ARW Full tracker →
2 members · 1 buys / 2 sells · $101K–$215K disclosed · latest filing Feb 17, 2021.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, before open, in 9 days) · EPS est. 4.96.
1-day std dev
5.0%
Finished up
48%
Biggest pop
+12.4%
Biggest drop
-12.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | beat | 4.45 | 5.45 | +22.5% | -5.7% | -8.4% | -3.7% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | 2.85 | 5.22 | +83.0% | +2.2% | -1.1% | +11.7% |
| 2026-02-05 | beat | 3.57 | 4.39 | +23.1% | +2.9% | +12.4% | +10.7% |
| 2025-10-30 | beat | 2.29 | 2.41 | +5.1% | -3.1% | -1.5% | -1.3% |
| 2025-07-31 | beat | 2.05 | 2.43 | +18.7% | -2.4% | -10.6% | -8.7% |
| 2025-05-01 | beat | 1.43 | 1.80 | +25.5% | +5.5% | +1.5% | +6.3% |
| 2025-02-06 | beat | 2.68 | 2.97 | +11.0% | -8.5% | -4.5% | -5.8% |
| 2024-10-31 | beat | 2.22 | 2.38 | +7.2% | -7.0% | -12.6% | -10.6% |
| 2024-08-01 | beat | 2.16 | 2.78 | +28.7% | +6.5% | +4.2% | +3.1% |
| 2024-05-02 | beat | 2.37 | 2.41 | +1.8% | -1.3% | -1.7% | +0.6% |
| 2024-02-08 | beat | 3.72 | 3.98 | +7.1% | +1.5% | +4.1% | +4.4% |
| 2023-11-02 | beat | 3.51 | 4.14 | +17.9% | +4.3% | +5.5% | +2.9% |
| 2023-08-03 | beat | 4.34 | 4.37 | +0.6% | -3.5% | -9.6% | -10.6% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | 4.50 | 4.60 | +2.3% | +0.3% | +2.8% | +2.4% |
| 2023-02-02 | beat | 5.68 | 5.69 | +0.2% | +9.0% | +10.2% | +6.7% |
| 2022-11-03 | beat | 5.39 | 5.45 | +1.2% | -2.0% | +0.9% | +8.7% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | 5.65 | 5.78 | +2.3% | -3.2% | -6.1% | -12.1% |
| 2022-05-05 | beat | 4.56 | 5.43 | +19.0% | -1.5% | -0.1% | -2.0% |
| 2022-02-03 | beat | 4.44 | 5.37 | +20.8% | +1.9% | -1.1% | -1.9% |
| 2021-11-04 | beat | 3.57 | 4.04 | +13.2% | +1.2% | +0.1% | +4.0% |
| 2021-08-05 | beat | 2.96 | 3.34 | +12.8% | +0.3% | -1.2% | -1.2% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | 2.30 | 2.84 | +23.4% | +0.5% | +1.1% | +2.9% |
| 2021-02-04 | beat | 2.67 | 3.17 | +18.8% | +2.0% | +1.0% | +4.1% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | 1.66 | 2.08 | +25.0% | +0.2% | +1.2% | +9.8% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | 1.45 | 1.59 | +9.6% | -1.7% | +1.4% | +8.7% |
| 2020-04-30 | miss | 1.14 | 0.97 | -14.8% | -1.6% | +1.5% | +0.2% |
| 2020-02-06 | beat | 2.17 | 2.20 | +1.4% | +0.9% | +1.4% | +1.2% |
| 2019-10-31 | beat | 1.67 | 1.86 | +11.6% | +0.5% | +1.4% | +4.6% |
| 2019-08-01 | beat | 1.57 | 1.60 | +1.8% | -0.2% | -1.0% | -3.9% |
| 2019-05-02 | miss | 1.90 | 1.84 | -3.0% | -2.3% | -10.0% | -15.2% |
| 2019-02-07 | beat | 2.56 | 2.57 | +0.6% | +1.1% | +2.0% | +4.7% |
| 2018-11-01 | beat | 2.16 | 2.18 | +0.9% | -1.9% | +4.3% | +10.1% |
| 2018-08-02 | beat | 2.15 | 2.20 | +2.3% | -1.1% | +2.5% | +3.2% |
| 2018-05-03 | beat | 1.82 | 1.88 | +3.4% | -0.1% | -2.3% | +1.6% |
| 2018-02-06 | beat | 2.30 | 2.51 | +9.3% | +0.6% | -0.6% | -0.9% |
| 2017-11-02 | beat | 1.82 | 1.82 | +0.1% | -2.6% | -3.7% | -4.3% |
| 2017-08-03 | beat | 1.77 | 1.78 | +0.4% | +0.9% | -1.5% | -7.6% |
| 2017-05-04 | beat | 1.44 | 1.46 | +1.6% | +1.3% | +4.5% | +6.5% |
| 2017-02-07 | miss | 2.00 | 2.00 | -0.0% | -3.4% | -5.4% | -3.2% |
| 2016-11-03 | beat | 1.51 | 1.56 | +3.3% | -0.1% | -2.8% | +3.0% |
| 2016-08-02 | beat | 1.64 | 1.65 | +0.6% | -0.7% | -5.3% | -0.5% |
| 2016-05-03 | beat | 1.40 | 1.43 | +2.2% | +3.9% | +0.3% | +3.4% |
| 2016-02-04 | beat | 1.82 | 1.94 | +6.5% | +3.1% | +8.4% | +1.7% |
| 2015-10-28 | miss | 1.46 | 1.40 | -4.3% | -5.2% | -3.7% | +2.0% |
| 2015-07-28 | beat | 1.50 | 1.54 | +2.6% | +2.7% | +6.6% | +8.5% |
| 2015-04-30 | beat | 1.31 | 1.32 | +0.7% | -3.0% | -5.2% | -3.2% |
| 2015-02-05 | beat | 1.82 | 1.88 | +3.3% | +0.9% | +0.8% | +7.3% |
| 2014-10-29 | beat | 1.31 | 1.40 | +7.0% | +1.5% | +2.2% | +5.7% |
| 2014-07-29 | beat | 1.42 | 1.43 | +0.5% | +0.2% | -3.3% | -4.4% |
| 2014-05-06 | beat | 1.21 | 1.22 | +1.1% | -0.5% | -2.8% | +0.7% |
| 2014-02-05 | beat | 1.61 | 1.69 | +4.7% | +0.9% | -1.2% | +9.4% |
| 2013-10-30 | miss | 1.19 | 1.11 | -7.1% | +0.2% | -2.9% | +2.4% |
| 2013-07-24 | beat | 1.02 | 1.12 | +9.5% | +1.7% | +3.9% | +5.5% |
| 2013-05-01 | beat | 0.88 | 0.89 | +0.9% | -0.9% | -7.0% | -1.1% |
| 2013-02-07 | beat | 1.08 | 1.22 | +12.5% | -2.0% | -1.1% | +1.8% |
| 2012-10-31 | beat | 0.99 | 1.02 | +2.8% | +0.3% | +2.0% | +6.5% |
| 2012-07-30 | miss | 1.13 | 1.11 | -1.7% | -2.4% | -1.2% | +2.8% |
| 2012-05-01 | miss | 1.08 | 1.05 | -3.0% | -10.5% | -8.8% | -11.2% |
| 2012-02-01 | beat | 1.30 | 1.38 | +6.3% | +1.5% | +3.2% | -0.8% |
| 2011-10-26 | beat | 1.18 | 1.20 | +1.5% | +10.2% | +7.7% | +4.5% |
Not investment advice.
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