ARModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.7%
Next 1 week
+2.7%
Next 1 month
+3.8%
Seasonality
No real seasonal tilt
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +0.0% median,
44% of the last 32 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 29
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.64%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.64 +3.9% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$101M/day volume
61% volatility
+41% 1-year
52-week range · 39% of the way up · -38% from the high
$37.06$95.49
Congressional trades in ARWR Full tracker →
1 member · 0 buys / 1 sells · $1K–$15K disclosed · latest filing Feb 24, 2023.
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-24 (Tuesday, after close, in 21 days) · EPS est. -1.50.
1-day std dev
9.7%
Finished up
44%
Biggest pop
+24.2%
Biggest drop
-26.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 55 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | miss | -1.23 | -1.36 | -10.3% | -2.3% | -3.0% | -2.6% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | -1.11 | -0.93 | +16.0% | -1.9% | -6.7% | -1.6% |
| 2026-02-05 | beat | -0.37 | 0.22 | +159.9% | +1.3% | -0.2% | -1.3% |
| 2025-11-25 | miss | -0.16 | -0.18 | -14.4% | +1.3% | +23.3% | +38.2% |
| 2025-08-07 | miss | -1.10 | -1.26 | -14.4% | -3.2% | +2.2% | +27.7% |
| 2025-05-12 | beat | -0.46 | 2.75 | +695.0% | +12.7% | +9.4% | +16.6% |
| 2025-02-10 | miss | -0.72 | -1.39 | -92.2% | -8.5% | -5.2% | +5.8% |
| 2024-11-26 | miss | -0.92 | -1.37 | -48.6% | +6.3% | +24.2% | +5.9% |
| 2024-08-08 | miss | -0.59 | -1.38 | -134.5% | -3.3% | -9.4% | -12.2% |
| 2024-05-09 | miss | -0.20 | -1.02 | -422.8% | +3.1% | -10.7% | +0.2% |
| 2024-02-06 | miss | -0.83 | -1.24 | -50.3% | -4.4% | -4.7% | -10.8% |
| 2023-11-29 | miss | -0.58 | -1.02 | -76.4% | -3.0% | -26.8% | -15.4% |
| 2023-08-07 | miss | -0.53 | -0.96 | -81.8% | -3.8% | -10.8% | -4.7% |
| 2023-05-02 | beat | -0.59 | 0.45 | +176.5% | +6.0% | +13.6% | +14.4% |
| 2023-02-06 | miss | 0.13 | -0.39 | -389.1% | +0.1% | +0.3% | +0.5% |
| 2022-11-28 | miss | -0.54 | -0.81 | -48.8% | +0.0% | +7.1% | +14.3% |
| 2022-08-04 | miss | -0.51 | -0.68 | -33.7% | -3.7% | -0.4% | +2.5% |
| 2022-05-10 | beat | 0.18 | 0.41 | +124.2% | +2.9% | -15.6% | -0.3% |
| 2022-02-02 | miss | -0.58 | -0.60 | -3.3% | -8.2% | -6.9% | +1.1% |
| 2021-11-22 | miss | -0.35 | -0.61 | -73.0% | -1.8% | +2.3% | -3.3% |
| 2021-08-05 | miss | -0.14 | -0.29 | -108.3% | -2.5% | -4.8% | -11.1% |
| 2021-05-04 | miss | -0.17 | -0.26 | -51.3% | -0.6% | +0.0% | +3.3% |
| 2021-02-04 | beat | -0.24 | -0.20 | +17.6% | -1.7% | +7.8% | +5.1% |
| 2020-11-23 | miss | -0.21 | -0.48 | -134.1% | -4.0% | -11.5% | -5.1% |
| 2020-08-05 | beat | -0.20 | -0.13 | +36.6% | -1.1% | -5.8% | -2.0% |
| 2020-05-07 | miss | -0.11 | -0.20 | -85.2% | +3.8% | -2.8% | +2.0% |
| 2020-02-05 | beat | -0.07 | -0.03 | +55.0% | +5.2% | -6.0% | -6.1% |
| 2019-11-25 | miss | 0.17 | 0.11 | -34.0% | +3.4% | +18.8% | +16.6% |
| 2019-08-05 | beat | 0.12 | 0.21 | +75.0% | +3.8% | +4.6% | +8.8% |
| 2019-05-08 | beat | 0.20 | 0.24 | +21.2% | -0.5% | +6.1% | +6.2% |
| 2019-02-07 | miss | 0.69 | 0.13 | -81.3% | -4.1% | +17.7% | +34.7% |
| 2018-12-11 | beat | -0.17 | -0.12 | +30.8% | -0.9% | +11.5% | -1.2% |
| 2018-08-07 | beat | -0.19 | -0.18 | +4.4% | +2.3% | +6.8% | -2.3% |
| 2018-05-08 | beat | -0.18 | -0.18 | +2.7% | +8.6% | +16.1% | +22.7% |
| 2018-02-09 | miss | -0.16 | -0.18 | -10.8% | -3.0% | -5.0% | +1.1% |
| 2017-12-12 | miss | -0.12 | -0.14 | -16.7% | -7.0% | -4.2% | -3.4% |
| 2017-08-03 | beat | -0.12 | -0.07 | +43.5% | +2.9% | +8.2% | +8.2% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | -0.18 | -0.08 | +54.5% | +5.8% | +13.5% | +13.5% |
| 2017-02-06 | beat | -0.21 | -0.17 | +19.1% | +2.7% | +4.3% | +6.9% |
| 2016-12-14 | beat | -0.31 | -0.30 | +2.2% | +6.3% | +0.0% | +7.9% |
| 2016-08-09 | beat | -0.36 | -0.32 | +11.7% | -7.4% | -8.8% | -0.8% |
| 2016-05-10 | beat | -0.36 | -0.35 | +3.5% | -0.5% | -2.4% | -12.8% |
| 2016-02-09 | beat | -0.38 | -0.32 | +15.8% | +6.9% | +0.9% | +18.9% |
| 2015-12-14 | miss | -0.39 | -0.42 | -7.9% | +1.1% | -1.9% | +5.3% |
| 2015-08-04 | beat | -0.39 | -0.27 | +30.8% | +1.3% | +12.3% | -3.0% |
| 2015-05-11 | beat | -0.36 | -0.33 | +6.9% | -3.7% | -6.3% | -9.1% |
| 2015-02-09 | miss | -0.32 | -0.41 | -28.1% | +0.6% | +1.8% | +15.1% |
| 2014-11-25 | miss | -0.25 | -0.34 | -38.0% | -0.7% | -1.0% | -14.4% |
| 2014-08-12 | beat | -0.22 | -0.22 | +0.4% | -7.7% | +0.1% | +5.0% |
| 2014-05-06 | miss | -0.20 | -0.31 | -55.0% | -1.2% | -4.2% | +8.3% |
| 2014-02-04 | miss | -0.19 | -0.28 | -43.6% | +2.7% | -1.0% | +31.2% |
| 2013-12-18 | miss | -0.20 | -0.37 | -85.0% | +5.3% | +2.7% | +19.5% |
| 2011-08-08 | miss | -0.20 | -0.30 | -50.0% | +0.0% | -8.8% | -6.1% |
| 2011-05-12 | beat | -0.23 | -0.10 | +56.5% | -1.5% | -1.6% | -6.6% |
| 2011-02-10 | miss | -0.19 | -0.20 | -5.3% | -0.8% | -5.6% | -19.3% |
Not investment advice.
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