ASModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.8%
Next 1 week
+0.7%
Next 1 month
+3.5%
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 89
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.22%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.44 +3.5%
$14.9B market cap (#893 US)
$156M/day volume
40% volatility
-8% 1-year
-31% from ATH
52-week range · 20% of the way up · -31% from the high
$26.10$42.76
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-17 (Tuesday, before open, in 15 days) · EPS est. 0.35.
1-day std dev
8.2%
Finished up
64%
Biggest pop
+19.1%
Biggest drop
-7.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 11 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | beat | 0.11 | 0.22 | +109.3% | +4.1% | +3.2% | -3.0% |
| 2026-05-19 | beat | 0.31 | 0.38 | +24.3% | +2.6% | +2.1% | +10.6% |
| 2026-02-24 | beat | 0.28 | 0.31 | +10.8% | -4.4% | -5.6% | -8.8% |
| 2025-11-18 | beat | 0.25 | 0.33 | +31.6% | +7.3% | +8.5% | +19.0% |
| 2025-08-19 | beat | 0.02 | 0.06 | +146.4% | -5.3% | -4.7% | +8.6% |
| 2025-05-20 | beat | 0.16 | 0.27 | +71.3% | +14.7% | +19.1% | +20.2% |
| 2025-02-25 | beat | 0.17 | 0.17 | +2.1% | -7.7% | +0.8% | +1.2% |
| 2024-11-19 | beat | 0.10 | 0.14 | +36.1% | +2.9% | +5.8% | +31.0% |
| 2024-08-20 | beat | -0.06 | 0.05 | +188.9% | +10.4% | +10.4% | +14.8% |
| 2024-05-21 | beat | 0.01 | 0.08 | +479.7% | +1.2% | -7.9% | -6.1% |
| 2024-03-05 | miss | -0.03 | -0.11 | -226.4% | -7.7% | -5.1% | -8.0% |
Posted about AS
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TRACKER - Cathie Wood
long
—
Fri, 02 Oct
ARK bought 16,152 shares of ABNB for ARKF. The trade: 0.30% of that fund, on 2 October 2026 — roughly $2.6m at that day’s close. The entry: ABNB's…
Not investment advice.
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