ASModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+1.2%
Next 1 month
+2.2%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +1.9% median,
60% of the last 25 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 50
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.02%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.94 +2.2% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$7.6B market cap (#995 US)
$17M/day volume
28% volatility
-19% 1-year
-34% from ATH
52-week range · 16% of the way up · -34% from the high
$226.19$381.52
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-23 (Tuesday, after close, in 115 days) · EPS est. 4.31.
1-day std dev
2.6%
Finished up
48%
Biggest pop
+7.3%
Biggest drop
-7.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | miss | 4.29 | 3.98 | -7.2% | -1.0% | -1.0% | -0.1% |
| 2026-07-23 | miss | 5.09 | 4.38 | -13.9% | -1.4% | -0.8% | +2.1% |
| 2026-04-22 | miss | 6.29 | 5.21 | -17.1% | -0.4% | -2.9% | -5.8% |
| 2026-02-24 | beat | 4.84 | 5.03 | +3.8% | -2.8% | +3.1% | -2.9% |
| 2025-10-22 | miss | 5.19 | 3.84 | -25.9% | +1.2% | +0.6% | +1.1% |
| 2025-07-22 | miss | 5.82 | 3.80 | -34.8% | -1.1% | +1.5% | -0.1% |
| 2025-04-22 | miss | 5.90 | 5.73 | -2.8% | -0.3% | +5.7% | +9.9% |
| 2025-02-24 | miss | 5.82 | 5.48 | -5.9% | +0.6% | -0.2% | -2.3% |
| 2024-10-22 | beat | 5.46 | 5.74 | +5.0% | -0.9% | -1.2% | -1.5% |
| 2024-07-23 | beat | 5.64 | 6.71 | +19.0% | -0.7% | -1.1% | -6.4% |
| 2024-04-22 | miss | 6.51 | 6.21 | -4.5% | +2.2% | +7.3% | +9.3% |
| 2024-02-26 | miss | 5.27 | 5.00 | -5.1% | -1.7% | -3.4% | -2.9% |
| 2023-10-23 | beat | 5.01 | 5.19 | +3.5% | +1.5% | -3.3% | +1.8% |
| 2023-07-24 | miss | 5.13 | 4.76 | -7.3% | -0.2% | -3.5% | +2.8% |
| 2023-04-24 | beat | 4.64 | 4.64 | +0.1% | +0.7% | -1.6% | +1.4% |
| 2023-02-23 | beat | 3.85 | 4.38 | +13.8% | -1.3% | +0.0% | +7.1% |
| 2022-10-24 | beat | 3.88 | 4.22 | +8.9% | -1.9% | -2.7% | +3.1% |
| 2022-07-25 | beat | 3.73 | 4.41 | +18.1% | -0.3% | -1.1% | +1.8% |
| 2022-04-25 | beat | 3.11 | 3.67 | +18.3% | +0.1% | +2.7% | +4.2% |
| 2022-02-24 | beat | 1.96 | 3.28 | +67.6% | -1.7% | -1.7% | +0.0% |
| 2021-10-25 | beat | 2.57 | 2.96 | +15.2% | +0.2% | -1.4% | -0.4% |
| 2021-07-22 | beat | 1.99 | 2.03 | +2.0% | +0.5% | +0.7% | +1.5% |
| 2021-04-22 | beat | 1.03 | 1.58 | +54.0% | -0.6% | +0.1% | -4.7% |
| 2021-02-24 | beat | 0.77 | 0.84 | +9.0% | +1.9% | -0.2% | -5.7% |
| 2020-10-22 | beat | -0.08 | 0.16 | +294.2% | -0.1% | +2.0% | -4.8% |
| 2020-07-22 | miss | -0.69 | -0.75 | -8.4% | +0.4% | -0.4% | -5.4% |
| 2020-04-23 | beat | 2.20 | 2.44 | +11.2% | +0.0% | -2.0% | -1.4% |
| 2020-02-24 | miss | 2.40 | 2.22 | -7.3% | -0.6% | -7.2% | -11.8% |
| 2019-10-23 | miss | 2.23 | 2.22 | -0.4% | +0.1% | +2.5% | +2.9% |
| 2019-07-22 | beat | 2.44 | 2.48 | +1.7% | +0.9% | -2.3% | -0.8% |
| 2019-04-24 | beat | 2.48 | 2.53 | +1.7% | -0.9% | +1.1% | -0.3% |
| 2019-02-25 | beat | 1.95 | 2.47 | +26.8% | +0.5% | +2.9% | -1.3% |
| 2018-10-22 | miss | 2.01 | 1.76 | -12.6% | -2.0% | -3.6% | -13.5% |
| 2018-07-23 | miss | 2.34 | 1.84 | -21.3% | -0.5% | +2.8% | +0.9% |
| 2018-04-23 | beat | 2.17 | 2.65 | +22.1% | +0.7% | -0.3% | +0.3% |
| 2018-02-22 | beat | 1.77 | 3.84 | +116.7% | +0.4% | +1.1% | -4.9% |
| 2017-10-19 | miss | 2.17 | 2.02 | -7.1% | +1.6% | -1.6% | -1.4% |
| 2017-07-20 | beat | 1.93 | 2.09 | +8.3% | +0.3% | -2.3% | -5.8% |
| 2017-04-20 | beat | 1.95 | 2.37 | +21.9% | +0.6% | +1.6% | +5.2% |
| 2017-02-22 | beat | 1.46 | 1.48 | +1.4% | +0.9% | -1.1% | -0.3% |
| 2016-10-18 | miss | 1.58 | 1.58 | -0.4% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.3% |
| 2016-07-20 | beat | 1.52 | 1.56 | +2.7% | -0.1% | +0.1% | -6.1% |
| 2016-04-25 | beat | 1.67 | 1.80 | +7.6% | +1.0% | +2.0% | +6.9% |
| 2016-02-22 | beat | 1.33 | 1.41 | +5.9% | -0.9% | +0.3% | +2.3% |
| 2015-10-22 | miss | 1.43 | 1.39 | -2.8% | +0.4% | -4.7% | -6.7% |
| 2015-07-23 | beat | 1.38 | 1.56 | +13.2% | +0.2% | +2.5% | +0.1% |
| 2015-04-22 | beat | 1.53 | 1.63 | +6.2% | +0.0% | +1.6% | +5.4% |
| 2015-02-23 | miss | 1.52 | 1.16 | -23.7% | -0.2% | +1.1% | +2.8% |
| 2014-10-22 | miss | 1.45 | 1.44 | -0.7% | -0.3% | +1.3% | +3.3% |
| 2014-07-21 | miss | 1.48 | 1.43 | -3.7% | -0.3% | -0.6% | -1.8% |
| 2014-04-23 | beat | 1.60 | 1.62 | +1.2% | -0.3% | +1.0% | -1.8% |
| 2014-02-24 | beat | 1.19 | 1.64 | +38.4% | +1.2% | +1.6% | +3.0% |
| 2013-10-21 | beat | 1.09 | 1.29 | +18.1% | -0.3% | +0.5% | +4.4% |
| 2013-07-22 | beat | 0.93 | 1.67 | +80.1% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +2.2% |
| 2013-04-22 | miss | 1.53 | 1.31 | -14.2% | +0.2% | -6.9% | -10.7% |
| 2013-02-25 | beat | 1.08 | 1.71 | +59.0% | +0.2% | +0.0% | +4.5% |
| 2012-10-23 | miss | 1.17 | 1.06 | -9.7% | +0.1% | +2.5% | -0.1% |
| 2012-07-23 | miss | 1.27 | 1.15 | -9.4% | -1.3% | -2.5% | +6.8% |
| 2012-04-24 | beat | 1.34 | 1.41 | +4.9% | +0.8% | +1.4% | +8.5% |
| 2012-02-23 | beat | 0.87 | 1.01 | +15.7% | +0.1% | -0.1% | +1.9% |
Not investment advice.
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