ASModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.6%
Next 1 week
+1.5%
Next 1 month
+5.6%
Seasonality
No real seasonal tilt
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +0.0% median,
45% of the last 42 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 9
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.75%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.69 +6.3% · Seasonal tilt -0.7%
$3M/day volume
86% volatility
+55% 1-year
-60% from ATH
52-week range · 29% of the way up · -52% from the high
$6.75$25.71
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-12-09 (Wednesday, after close, in 36 days) · EPS est. 0.14.
1-day std dev
10.8%
Finished up
37%
Biggest pop
+25.6%
Biggest drop
-29.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 0.10 | 0.14 | +40.0% | +0.0% | -6.6% | -0.1% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | 0.05 | 0.10 | +100.0% | +16.9% | +18.0% | +15.8% |
| 2026-02-05 | miss | 0.07 | 0.03 | -57.1% | -35.2% | -29.9% | -28.0% |
| 2025-12-10 | beat | 0.01 | 0.10 | +1900.0% | -6.3% | +17.7% | +28.3% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | -0.05 | 0.06 | +220.0% | +2.9% | +13.6% | +12.7% |
| 2025-05-12 | miss | 0.01 | -0.16 | -3300.0% | +0.0% | +3.9% | +13.1% |
| 2025-02-05 | — | 0.06 | — | -0.4% | -4.4% | -6.3% | |
| 2024-12-09 | miss | 0.02 | — | -100.0% | -7.2% | -7.9% | -8.0% |
| 2024-08-07 | beat | -0.06 | 0.08 | +233.3% | +0.0% | +2.3% | +21.3% |
| 2024-05-08 | beat | -0.11 | -0.01 | +90.9% | +1.0% | +5.6% | +6.2% |
| 2024-02-09 | beat | -0.36 | -0.17 | +53.8% | +10.5% | +25.6% | +29.1% |
| 2023-12-14 | miss | — | -0.18 | -3500.0% | +2.2% | -4.1% | +0.5% |
| 2023-08-09 | miss | 0.06 | 0.02 | -66.7% | -12.5% | -18.7% | -19.2% |
| 2023-05-10 | beat | 0.04 | 0.19 | +375.0% | +2.0% | +0.8% | +1.0% |
| 2023-02-08 | miss | -0.04 | -0.07 | -93.1% | -4.0% | -16.0% | -9.7% |
| 2022-11-30 | beat | 0.11 | 0.30 | +172.7% | -8.6% | -15.3% | -19.5% |
| 2022-08-15 | beat | -0.23 | -0.16 | +30.6% | +4.2% | +10.7% | +41.6% |
| 2022-05-11 | beat | 0.07 | 0.14 | +90.9% | -9.0% | -5.7% | +11.1% |
| 2022-02-14 | 0.07 | 0.07 | — | +2.6% | +7.3% | +13.6% | |
| 2021-11-17 | miss | 0.11 | 0.05 | -55.4% | -21.4% | -26.6% | -30.1% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | 0.01 | 0.03 | +116.8% | +1.0% | -1.8% | +0.9% |
| 2021-05-05 | miss | 0.03 | -0.02 | -180.0% | -1.4% | -4.6% | -14.1% |
| 2021-02-11 | beat | -0.08 | 0.05 | +158.8% | +18.6% | +22.0% | +20.8% |
| 2020-11-19 | miss | -0.08 | -0.14 | -82.6% | +1.0% | -5.4% | +0.2% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | -0.08 | 0.01 | +113.3% | -2.2% | -3.5% | -1.0% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | -0.18 | -0.04 | +77.8% | -1.0% | +4.8% | -2.2% |
| 2020-02-06 | beat | -0.07 | 0.11 | +252.6% | -0.4% | +1.1% | +3.1% |
| 2019-11-21 | beat | 0.04 | 0.07 | +99.9% | +2.5% | +2.9% | +7.7% |
| 2019-08-08 | beat | 0.03 | 0.06 | +155.0% | -0.9% | -10.3% | -14.2% |
| 2019-05-09 | beat | -0.13 | 0.08 | +159.3% | -7.7% | +0.5% | -4.6% |
| 2019-02-07 | beat | -0.14 | -0.10 | +27.6% | -1.2% | +0.0% | -4.9% |
| 2018-11-29 | beat | -0.17 | -0.07 | +58.1% | -13.8% | -1.3% | -9.3% |
| 2018-08-09 | beat | -0.10 | 0.18 | +286.3% | -7.4% | -11.8% | -17.5% |
| 2018-05-10 | beat | -0.08 | 0.19 | +337.5% | +7.3% | +11.1% | +19.2% |
| 2018-02-08 | beat | 0.23 | 0.42 | +86.7% | -6.3% | -1.4% | -7.9% |
| 2017-11-20 | beat | 0.10 | 0.51 | +410.0% | +6.3% | -6.3% | -27.7% |
| 2017-08-09 | beat | -0.07 | 0.25 | +457.1% | +14.2% | +8.9% | +5.2% |
| 2017-05-10 | miss | -0.10 | -0.11 | -11.6% | -16.6% | -9.6% | -12.6% |
| 2017-02-09 | beat | -0.21 | — | +100.0% | +11.0% | +6.1% | +17.1% |
| 2016-11-17 | miss | -0.03 | -0.62 | -1964.3% | -0.2% | -5.4% | -19.8% |
| 2016-08-04 | beat | -0.29 | -0.09 | +69.0% | +1.8% | +1.2% | -11.2% |
| 2016-05-05 | beat | -0.44 | -0.36 | +17.8% | -1.7% | -0.5% | -1.9% |
| 2016-02-04 | beat | -0.32 | -0.31 | +3.1% | -4.9% | -5.8% | -12.7% |
| 2015-11-19 | miss | -0.26 | -0.28 | -6.3% | -1.0% | -10.3% | -10.7% |
| 2015-08-06 | beat | -0.21 | -0.12 | +42.9% | -5.2% | -9.0% | -11.5% |
| 2015-05-07 | beat | -0.34 | -0.19 | +43.8% | +1.5% | -4.1% | -6.7% |
| 2015-02-05 | miss | -0.26 | -0.53 | -100.0% | +1.1% | +4.7% | +12.8% |
| 2014-11-20 | miss | -0.24 | -0.33 | -37.5% | -0.5% | -5.7% | -18.0% |
| 2014-08-07 | miss | -0.29 | -0.53 | -84.9% | -1.4% | -2.0% | +9.3% |
| 2014-05-07 | miss | -0.17 | -0.39 | -129.4% | -14.5% | -6.9% | -7.5% |
| 2014-02-06 | beat | -0.18 | -0.08 | +55.6% | +13.1% | +12.4% | +12.3% |
| 2013-12-11 | beat | -0.39 | -0.18 | +53.9% | -0.3% | +5.4% | -1.0% |
| 2013-08-08 | miss | -0.33 | -1.25 | -273.0% | -1.6% | -1.6% | -6.4% |
| 2013-05-09 | beat | -0.33 | -0.22 | +33.3% | +0.7% | -4.4% | -6.2% |
| 2013-02-07 | miss | -0.30 | -0.38 | -23.3% | -0.3% | -0.3% | +19.9% |
| 2012-12-04 | beat | -0.61 | -0.27 | +55.7% | -1.0% | -2.9% | +0.6% |
| 2012-08-09 | beat | -0.52 | -0.31 | +40.6% | -9.7% | -5.4% | -2.9% |
| 2012-05-10 | miss | -0.23 | -0.46 | -104.4% | -11.8% | -20.6% | -39.6% |
| 2012-02-09 | beat | -0.24 | -0.09 | +62.0% | -12.9% | -17.6% | -16.1% |
| 2011-11-15 | beat | 0.29 | 0.50 | +70.1% | -15.6% | -16.9% | -24.2% |
Not investment advice.
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