ATModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.0%
Next 1 week
+0.8%
Next 1 month
+3.6%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 27): +5.0% median,
80% of the last 10 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 93
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.25%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.55 +4.0% · Seasonal tilt (10y) -0.4%
$22M/day volume
65% volatility
+336% 1-year
-24% from ATH
52-week range · 71% of the way up · -24% from the high
$17.58$113.00
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-10 (Tuesday, after close, in 13 days) · EPS est. -0.28.
1-day std dev
7.0%
Finished up
48%
Biggest pop
+25.7%
Biggest drop
-6.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 46 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | beat | -0.17 | 0.01 | +106.0% | +2.0% | -4.5% | -4.6% |
| 2026-06-10 | miss | 1.37 | 0.98 | -28.5% | +5.7% | +25.7% | +15.1% |
| 2026-02-11 | beat | -0.55 | -0.35 | +36.4% | -7.9% | -1.4% | +20.9% |
| 2025-11-12 | beat | -0.60 | 2.86 | +576.7% | +8.7% | +13.7% | +9.3% |
| 2025-08-12 | beat | -0.57 | 1.35 | +336.8% | +1.2% | -4.4% | -5.2% |
| 2025-06-24 | miss | -0.48 | -0.52 | -7.5% | +2.3% | -6.9% | -12.9% |
| 2025-02-11 | beat | -0.56 | 0.41 | +172.6% | -0.4% | -0.7% | +11.7% |
| 2024-11-13 | miss | -0.59 | -0.69 | -16.5% | -4.0% | -5.0% | -1.2% |
| 2024-08-06 | miss | -0.45 | -0.84 | -85.7% | +8.6% | -2.3% | +0.3% |
| 2024-06-26 | miss | 0.26 | -0.61 | -336.5% | +9.6% | +17.0% | +24.3% |
| 2024-02-14 | beat | -0.62 | 0.02 | +103.2% | +8.0% | +21.8% | +23.3% |
| 2023-11-13 | beat | -0.62 | 0.11 | +117.7% | +2.6% | +9.3% | +9.0% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | -0.58 | -0.11 | +81.1% | -3.9% | +6.6% | +12.2% |
| 2023-06-14 | beat | -0.71 | -0.66 | +7.5% | +9.5% | +6.1% | -2.3% |
| 2023-02-09 | beat | -0.71 | -0.42 | +40.7% | +1.1% | -1.8% | -9.9% |
| 2022-10-31 | beat | -0.74 | -0.71 | +3.5% | +1.7% | -0.7% | -3.6% |
| 2022-08-08 | miss | -0.68 | -0.71 | -5.2% | -2.8% | +2.0% | +4.6% |
| 2022-05-20 | miss | 0.45 | -0.65 | -245.0% | +0.5% | +0.9% | -9.8% |
| 2022-02-03 | miss | -0.67 | -0.69 | -3.2% | +3.6% | +7.6% | +9.9% |
| 2021-11-03 | beat | -0.67 | -0.67 | +0.6% | +0.7% | -3.2% | -4.5% |
| 2021-08-11 | miss | -0.66 | -0.67 | -1.9% | -0.7% | -5.7% | -8.4% |
| 2021-06-15 | beat | -0.63 | -0.62 | +2.1% | -2.7% | -0.4% | +26.6% |
| 2021-02-08 | miss | -0.58 | -0.69 | -17.6% | -1.0% | +0.2% | +25.2% |
| 2020-11-16 | miss | -0.62 | -0.94 | -51.3% | +2.4% | -0.9% | -12.6% |
| 2020-08-06 | miss | -0.61 | -0.88 | -43.7% | -0.4% | +1.7% | +0.3% |
| 2020-05-28 | miss | -0.61 | -0.67 | -10.7% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +4.7% |
| 2020-02-04 | beat | -0.84 | -0.51 | +39.5% | +1.5% | +1.4% | +0.0% |
| 2019-11-06 | beat | -0.58 | -0.46 | +20.6% | +0.3% | +5.1% | -5.2% |
| 2019-08-08 | miss | -0.60 | -0.63 | -4.6% | +3.3% | -4.0% | -8.1% |
| 2019-05-20 | beat | -0.58 | -0.57 | +1.8% | +0.1% | +3.7% | +19.9% |
| 2019-02-08 | beat | -0.59 | -0.53 | +10.3% | -1.4% | -0.6% | +6.6% |
| 2018-11-07 | miss | -0.59 | -0.81 | -36.1% | -5.4% | +0.2% | -8.5% |
| 2018-08-10 | beat | -0.93 | -0.85 | +8.6% | -14.8% | +6.1% | +9.7% |
| 2018-06-05 | miss | -0.57 | -0.64 | -11.5% | -2.2% | +0.0% | +1.6% |
| 2018-02-06 | beat | -0.61 | -0.59 | +3.3% | +0.2% | +1.5% | -3.1% |
| 2017-11-07 | beat | -0.63 | -0.57 | +9.5% | +1.3% | -0.5% | +7.5% |
| 2017-08-08 | beat | -0.73 | -0.55 | +24.7% | -2.6% | +2.1% | +0.0% |
| 2017-06-06 | miss | -0.24 | -0.97 | -304.2% | +0.6% | +0.6% | -4.9% |
| 2017-02-07 | miss | -0.35 | -0.51 | -45.7% | -3.0% | +6.3% | +6.3% |
| 2016-11-03 | miss | -0.50 | -0.54 | -8.0% | -3.3% | -3.9% | +5.9% |
| 2016-08-09 | miss | -0.29 | -0.70 | -141.4% | -7.6% | -4.8% | -3.0% |
| 2016-06-13 | miss | -0.38 | -0.47 | -23.7% | -0.5% | -0.1% | +15.0% |
| 2016-02-16 | beat | -0.44 | -0.36 | +18.2% | -0.4% | -0.1% | +2.3% |
| 2015-11-10 | -0.38 | -0.38 | — | -0.2% | -2.9% | -17.0% | |
| 2015-08-11 | beat | -0.41 | -0.32 | +21.9% | +0.0% | +13.1% | +21.3% |
| 2015-06-09 | miss | -0.32 | -0.44 | -37.5% | -0.6% | -2.0% | -6.4% |
Not investment advice.
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