ATModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.9%
Next 1 week
+0.8%
Next 1 month
+3.8%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +9.9% median,
65% of the last 26 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 44
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.18%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.57 +3.7% · Seasonal tilt +0.1%
$10M/day volume
52% volatility
+72% 1-year
-18% from ATH
52-week range · 68% of the way up · -18% from the high
$47.50$114.34
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 2 days) · EPS est. 2.97.
1-day std dev
7.2%
Finished up
41%
Biggest pop
+14.5%
Biggest drop
-20.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 27 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | beat | 2.38 | 2.50 | +4.8% | -0.5% | -10.5% | -8.2% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | 1.66 | 2.23 | +34.3% | +2.0% | +8.3% | -1.5% |
| 2026-03-12 | beat | 1.57 | 1.75 | +11.6% | +3.3% | -9.1% | +3.6% |
| 2025-11-10 | miss | 1.60 | 1.21 | -24.1% | -0.9% | -5.6% | -5.2% |
| 2025-08-07 | beat | 1.23 | 1.51 | +22.4% | +3.1% | +14.5% | +23.7% |
| 2025-05-08 | miss | 1.50 | 1.49 | -0.6% | -2.3% | -1.6% | -5.9% |
| 2025-03-13 | beat | 1.27 | 1.42 | +11.4% | +2.6% | +11.3% | +15.6% |
| 2024-11-07 | beat | 1.22 | 1.27 | +4.3% | +0.3% | +5.8% | +15.1% |
| 2024-08-08 | beat | 0.89 | 0.99 | +11.2% | +1.3% | -1.1% | +6.6% |
| 2024-05-10 | beat | 0.98 | 1.09 | +11.2% | +0.0% | -2.6% | -13.9% |
| 2024-03-04 | beat | 0.98 | 1.11 | +13.3% | -4.0% | -5.1% | -5.0% |
| 2023-11-08 | miss | 1.07 | 1.03 | -3.4% | -7.9% | -4.0% | -3.0% |
| 2023-08-08 | beat | 0.82 | 1.02 | +24.4% | +0.8% | -1.4% | -5.1% |
| 2023-05-09 | beat | 1.02 | 1.08 | +5.9% | +3.9% | -1.2% | -1.1% |
| 2023-03-14 | miss | 1.52 | 0.98 | -35.5% | -2.8% | -5.8% | -4.3% |
| 2022-11-08 | beat | 1.40 | 1.41 | +0.7% | +1.7% | -3.3% | +7.4% |
| 2022-08-09 | beat | 1.45 | 1.46 | +0.7% | +3.0% | +0.2% | -11.3% |
| 2022-05-10 | miss | 2.45 | 1.96 | -20.0% | -1.6% | -20.8% | -13.0% |
| 2022-03-15 | beat | 2.10 | 2.13 | +1.4% | +3.5% | +10.4% | +14.4% |
| 2021-11-12 | beat | 1.50 | 1.96 | +30.7% | +4.4% | -3.3% | -14.5% |
| 2021-08-13 | beat | 1.42 | 1.56 | +9.9% | -0.9% | +4.7% | +10.7% |
| 2011-08-10 | beat | -0.75 | -0.16 | +78.7% | +0.4% | +3.8% | +8.0% |
| 2011-05-12 | beat | -0.95 | 0.68 | +171.6% | -0.3% | -0.8% | -5.9% |
| 2011-03-04 | miss | -0.90 | -1.15 | -27.8% | +0.0% | +1.2% | -1.4% |
| 2010-11-05 | beat | -1.22 | -1.06 | +13.1% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +1.0% |
| 2010-08-06 | beat | -1.32 | -0.73 | +44.7% | +0.4% | +1.2% | -13.3% |
| 2010-05-11 | beat | -1.30 | -0.89 | +31.5% | +0.6% | +0.6% | -17.7% |
Not investment advice.
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