AUModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.7%
Next 1 week
+2.4%
Next 1 month
+5.6%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +5.7% median,
59% of the last 27 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 6
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.01%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.21 +5.5% · Seasonal tilt +0.1%
$33.6B market cap (#803 US)
$204M/day volume
60% volatility
+19% 1-year
-38% from ATH
52-week range · 25% of the way up · -38% from the high
$63.29$129.14
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. 1.81.
1-day std dev
5.4%
Finished up
58%
Biggest pop
+22.4%
Biggest drop
-7.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 38 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | miss | 2.11 | 1.98 | -6.1% | -5.3% | -3.7% | +16.9% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | 2.24 | 2.52 | +12.5% | +2.4% | +6.8% | -8.0% |
| 2026-02-19 | miss | 1.94 | 1.90 | -2.1% | -0.3% | +6.2% | +18.7% |
| 2025-11-11 | miss | 1.37 | 1.32 | -3.3% | +2.1% | +7.1% | +8.1% |
| 2025-08-01 | miss | 1.29 | 1.25 | -3.1% | +2.7% | +5.4% | +24.2% |
| 2025-05-09 | miss | 0.95 | 0.88 | -7.7% | +5.9% | +7.0% | -2.7% |
| 2025-02-19 | miss | 0.99 | 0.89 | -10.4% | -8.9% | -3.5% | -3.6% |
| 2024-11-07 | miss | 0.81 | 0.56 | -30.9% | +6.1% | +5.0% | -8.5% |
| 2024-08-06 | miss | 0.81 | 0.60 | -25.9% | +3.3% | +4.7% | +15.6% |
| 2022-08-04 | miss | 0.30 | 0.29 | -3.3% | -0.1% | +5.3% | +11.9% |
| 2022-05-09 | beat | 0.32 | 0.42 | +31.2% | -4.9% | -7.5% | -7.6% |
| 2022-03-30 | beat | 0.35 | 0.38 | +8.6% | +0.9% | +2.0% | -2.1% |
| 2016-02-22 | beat | 0.03 | 0.12 | +243.8% | +2.4% | +5.7% | +7.5% |
| 2015-11-09 | miss | 0.07 | -0.13 | -295.7% | -2.0% | +0.7% | -3.4% |
| 2015-08-17 | miss | 0.16 | 0.06 | -62.2% | +5.6% | +7.7% | +32.8% |
| 2015-05-11 | beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +20.2% | +1.3% | -1.1% | -3.0% |
| 2015-02-23 | beat | 0.09 | 0.30 | +221.0% | -1.6% | -1.0% | -5.0% |
| 2014-11-03 | miss | 0.23 | — | -100.0% | +9.6% | +22.4% | +7.0% |
| 2014-08-11 | miss | 0.24 | 0.19 | -22.2% | -0.9% | +1.3% | -2.1% |
| 2014-05-19 | miss | 0.37 | 0.29 | -22.4% | +4.9% | +0.8% | -6.5% |
| 2014-02-19 | beat | 0.09 | 0.31 | +244.4% | -0.3% | -2.8% | -2.2% |
| 2013-11-04 | beat | 0.05 | 1.48 | +3172.9% | -2.1% | -3.0% | -0.5% |
| 2013-08-07 | miss | 0.02 | -0.35 | -2287.5% | -0.1% | +7.1% | +28.2% |
| 2013-05-13 | miss | 0.46 | 0.29 | -37.4% | -1.2% | -1.9% | -11.3% |
| 2013-02-20 | miss | 0.53 | -0.49 | -193.1% | -3.6% | -7.2% | -6.2% |
| 2012-11-08 | miss | 0.70 | 0.39 | -44.3% | -5.3% | -2.5% | -13.2% |
| 2012-08-06 | beat | 0.63 | 0.65 | +3.4% | +0.7% | +1.7% | +2.5% |
| 2012-05-10 | beat | 0.80 | 1.11 | +38.6% | +4.2% | +4.7% | +0.0% |
| 2012-02-15 | miss | 0.85 | 0.76 | -10.6% | -3.1% | -1.1% | -0.2% |
| 2011-11-09 | beat | 0.80 | 1.18 | +47.5% | -1.1% | -2.2% | -3.0% |
| 2011-08-04 | beat | 0.60 | 1.20 | +98.5% | +0.8% | -4.0% | +4.5% |
| 2011-05-11 | miss | 0.68 | 0.53 | -22.0% | -1.5% | -0.8% | +1.7% |
| 2011-02-17 | miss | 0.63 | 0.15 | -76.7% | +0.0% | +0.5% | +3.3% |
| 2010-11-11 | beat | 0.45 | 0.85 | +88.9% | -0.7% | -3.4% | -6.4% |
| 2010-08-12 | miss | 0.20 | -0.26 | -231.1% | +0.9% | +1.6% | +3.1% |
| 2010-05-07 | beat | 0.15 | 0.17 | +13.3% | +1.1% | +0.2% | +4.9% |
| 2010-02-17 | beat | 0.42 | 0.62 | +47.6% | -0.3% | -2.2% | -11.5% |
| 2009-11-02 | miss | 0.23 | -1.65 | -817.4% | +1.2% | +0.6% | +12.9% |
Not investment advice.
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