AUModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+1.5%
Next 1 month
+2.8%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +2.5% median,
54% of the last 26 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 8
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.07%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.13 +3.2% · Seasonal tilt -0.5%
$1M/day volume
41% volatility
+24% 1-year
-85% from ATH
52-week range · 87% of the way up · -5% from the high
$6.95$11.74
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, before open, in 6 days) · EPS est. 0.16.
1-day std dev
10.1%
Finished up
50%
Biggest pop
+29.8%
Biggest drop
-16.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | beat | 0.14 | 0.15 | +7.1% | -1.3% | +2.4% | +1.5% |
| 2026-05-05 | miss | 0.16 | 0.14 | -12.5% | -12.6% | -16.1% | -16.4% |
| 2026-02-03 | 0.16 | 0.16 | — | -5.2% | -13.7% | -9.3% | |
| 2025-11-04 | beat | 0.08 | 0.17 | +112.5% | +8.5% | +5.5% | +6.9% |
| 2025-07-29 | miss | 0.16 | 0.14 | -9.7% | -4.8% | -4.4% | -7.0% |
| 2025-05-06 | miss | 0.18 | 0.15 | -16.7% | -5.2% | -12.2% | -3.2% |
| 2025-02-04 | beat | 0.23 | 0.37 | +64.2% | +2.0% | +5.3% | +21.5% |
| 2024-11-06 | miss | 0.24 | 0.16 | -31.9% | -8.9% | -13.7% | -6.7% |
| 2024-07-30 | miss | 0.19 | 0.18 | -6.1% | +0.1% | +4.3% | -0.9% |
| 2024-05-07 | miss | 0.23 | 0.17 | -25.7% | -14.6% | -12.8% | -10.3% |
| 2024-02-06 | beat | 0.24 | 0.28 | +15.9% | +10.9% | +14.2% | +9.9% |
| 2023-11-02 | beat | 0.19 | 0.25 | +33.3% | +18.1% | +29.8% | +24.3% |
| 2023-08-01 | beat | 0.10 | 0.16 | +60.0% | +10.6% | +15.7% | +12.2% |
| 2023-05-09 | beat | 0.08 | 0.08 | +0.4% | -4.1% | -1.6% | -19.2% |
| 2023-02-07 | miss | 0.37 | 0.36 | -1.8% | -9.7% | -8.3% | -10.6% |
| 2022-11-02 | miss | 0.35 | 0.32 | -8.0% | -5.0% | -8.7% | -4.2% |
| 2022-08-02 | beat | 0.34 | 0.34 | +0.6% | -8.0% | -7.1% | -10.9% |
| 2022-05-02 | miss | 0.36 | 0.33 | -8.6% | -5.1% | -7.3% | -9.1% |
| 2022-02-01 | beat | 0.38 | 0.39 | +1.7% | -1.6% | +2.2% | -7.8% |
| 2021-10-26 | beat | 0.38 | 0.38 | +0.5% | +1.7% | +0.6% | +4.5% |
| 2021-07-27 | beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +1.6% | -1.9% | -1.5% | +0.3% |
| 2021-04-27 | beat | 0.32 | 0.37 | +14.2% | +3.7% | +5.7% | -2.9% |
| 2021-01-26 | beat | 0.37 | 0.44 | +18.5% | +5.9% | -2.2% | -8.7% |
| 2020-10-27 | beat | 0.31 | 0.38 | +24.1% | +8.4% | -0.5% | -8.8% |
| 2020-07-28 | beat | 0.26 | 0.32 | +23.1% | -7.5% | -16.9% | -17.4% |
| 2020-04-27 | beat | 0.23 | 0.25 | +8.7% | +17.0% | +24.7% | +35.1% |
| 2020-01-28 | beat | 0.22 | 0.26 | +18.2% | +2.6% | -8.6% | -17.8% |
| 2019-10-29 | beat | 0.21 | 0.24 | +14.3% | +4.3% | +7.8% | +11.5% |
| 2019-07-23 | beat | 0.18 | 0.22 | +22.2% | +6.4% | +10.0% | +18.1% |
| 2019-04-30 | beat | 0.15 | 0.18 | +20.0% | +2.2% | -15.0% | -13.0% |
| 2019-01-28 | beat | 0.17 | 0.20 | +17.6% | +5.1% | +12.1% | +7.1% |
| 2018-10-23 | beat | 0.12 | 0.19 | +58.3% | +8.8% | +23.9% | +25.0% |
| 2018-07-24 | beat | 0.09 | 0.14 | +55.6% | +5.1% | +10.2% | +19.5% |
| 2018-04-24 | beat | 0.09 | 0.13 | +52.9% | +8.2% | +5.9% | +8.0% |
| 2018-01-24 | beat | 0.11 | 0.12 | +14.3% | +0.9% | -2.5% | +1.0% |
| 2017-10-25 | beat | 0.09 | 0.10 | +11.1% | -0.7% | -3.2% | -20.2% |
| 2017-07-26 | beat | 0.08 | 0.08 | +3.2% | -2.2% | +1.0% | +1.3% |
| 2017-04-26 | beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +10.5% | +2.7% | -2.1% | -4.7% |
| 2017-01-31 | 0.08 | 0.08 | — | +5.9% | +3.3% | +4.4% | |
| 2016-11-01 | beat | 0.07 | 0.08 | +14.3% | +2.5% | +2.5% | +1.9% |
| 2016-07-26 | beat | 0.06 | 0.06 | +9.1% | +1.6% | +0.0% | -5.3% |
| 2016-05-03 | beat | 0.04 | 0.04 | +14.3% | -2.8% | -6.1% | -8.4% |
| 2016-01-26 | beat | 0.05 | 0.07 | +47.4% | -0.8% | +1.0% | +8.6% |
| 2015-11-03 | beat | 0.02 | 0.04 | +166.7% | +3.1% | +4.2% | +18.4% |
| 2015-07-28 | miss | 0.01 | -0.01 | -180.0% | -3.6% | +0.4% | +2.9% |
| 2015-04-28 | 0.05 | 0.05 | — | -3.2% | +1.7% | -6.9% | |
| 2015-01-27 | 0.06 | 0.06 | — | -2.6% | +0.6% | +2.4% | |
| 2014-10-30 | miss | 0.05 | 0.04 | -20.0% | -3.9% | -4.9% | +1.8% |
| 2014-07-29 | miss | 0.05 | 0.04 | -11.1% | -4.7% | -8.1% | -27.8% |
| 2014-04-30 | miss | 0.03 | 0.03 | -7.7% | -3.4% | -12.7% | -12.2% |
| 2014-01-29 | beat | 0.05 | 0.05 | +11.1% | +2.9% | +9.1% | +4.6% |
| 2013-10-30 | beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +33.3% | -4.5% | -15.9% | -20.2% |
| 2013-07-30 | beat | 0.02 | 0.03 | +50.0% | +5.9% | +8.4% | +15.8% |
| 2013-04-29 | beat | 0.01 | 0.02 | +100.0% | +0.3% | +1.3% | +5.1% |
| 2013-01-30 | beat | 0.01 | 0.03 | +200.0% | -3.2% | -6.9% | +13.0% |
| 2012-11-05 | beat | -0.03 | -0.01 | +66.7% | +10.8% | +4.4% | +4.8% |
| 2012-07-24 | -0.04 | -0.04 | — | -4.2% | -9.6% | -5.4% | |
| 2012-05-07 | miss | 0.01 | -0.02 | -300.0% | -1.3% | +3.1% | -1.8% |
| 2012-02-01 | beat | 0.04 | 0.04 | +14.3% | -1.0% | -3.4% | -6.5% |
| 2011-11-01 | miss | 0.04 | 0.01 | -76.9% | -9.0% | -12.0% | -3.9% |
Not investment advice.
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