AUModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.6%
Next 1 week
-1.0%
Next 1 month
+3.8%
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 81
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.24%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.57 +3.7% · Seasonal tilt (4y) +0.1%
$7.6B market cap (#927 US)
$119M/day volume
68% volatility
-1% 1-year
-75% from ATH
52-week range · 16% of the way up · -48% from the high
$3.60$8.56
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-10 (Wednesday, after close, in 95 days) · EPS est. -0.12.
1-day std dev
12.7%
Finished up
50%
Biggest pop
+46.0%
Biggest drop
-21.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 20 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | beat | -0.12 | -0.12 | +4.0% | -5.9% | -13.5% | -20.8% |
| 2026-07-29 | miss | -0.12 | -0.14 | -18.9% | -1.3% | +4.3% | +13.4% |
| 2026-05-06 | beat | -0.12 | -0.11 | +5.7% | -1.6% | -1.8% | +12.5% |
| 2026-02-11 | beat | -0.12 | -0.08 | +31.9% | +2.3% | -3.2% | +9.4% |
| 2025-10-28 | beat | -0.12 | -0.08 | +33.9% | -0.4% | -1.9% | -14.2% |
| 2025-07-30 | beat | -0.12 | -0.08 | +31.8% | +7.4% | +0.3% | +7.1% |
| 2025-05-08 | miss | -0.11 | -0.12 | -5.9% | +3.9% | -6.1% | -13.5% |
| 2025-02-12 | beat | -0.12 | -0.09 | +23.5% | +5.9% | +46.0% | +15.1% |
| 2024-10-30 | miss | -0.11 | -0.13 | -18.2% | -14.0% | -21.8% | -17.3% |
| 2024-07-31 | beat | -0.15 | -0.09 | +38.2% | -5.8% | +1.8% | -11.8% |
| 2024-05-08 | beat | -0.15 | -0.08 | +44.0% | -6.5% | +7.4% | -17.6% |
| 2024-02-14 | beat | -0.15 | -0.10 | +32.1% | +1.8% | -6.1% | -21.9% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | -0.15 | -0.10 | +30.6% | +3.3% | +6.1% | -1.1% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | -0.15 | -0.15 | +1.1% | +1.0% | +0.0% | +2.6% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | -0.17 | -0.13 | +21.1% | -0.7% | +0.7% | +9.0% |
| 2023-02-21 | beat | -0.15 | -0.12 | +21.7% | +2.5% | -3.1% | -9.9% |
| 2022-11-03 | beat | -0.20 | -0.17 | +15.0% | +3.7% | +6.4% | -6.9% |
| 2022-08-12 | miss | -0.18 | -1.02 | -466.7% | +1.0% | +0.7% | -18.6% |
| 2022-05-12 | beat | -0.13 | -0.07 | +46.1% | +3.3% | +6.6% | +3.6% |
| 2022-02-16 | miss | -0.12 | -0.28 | -133.3% | -4.1% | -2.0% | -1.1% |
Posted about AUR
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