AVAV

AeroVironment, Inc. $125.95 as of 2026-10-28
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.3%
Next 1 week
+1.3%
Next 1 month
+4.7%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +2.6% median, 56% of the last 18 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 70
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.19%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 1.99 +5.2% · Seasonal tilt -0.5%
$182M/day volume 74% volatility -67% 1-year -70% from ATH
52-week range · 4% of the way up · -69% from the high
$113.15$408.25

Congressional trades in AVAV Full tracker →

1 member · 4 buys / 1 sells · $5K–$75K disclosed · latest filing Sep 4, 2026.

SELL GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Jul 2, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Mar 3, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Jan 27, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Dec 15, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Oct 3, 2025 $1K–$15K

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2026-12-02 (Wednesday, after close, in 34 days) · EPS est. 0.42.

1-day std dev
11.9%
Finished up
48%
Biggest pop
+27.9%
Biggest drop
-27.5%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-09-09 beat 0.25 0.59 +138.1% +4.2% +4.5% +16.0%
2026-06-29 beat 1.47 1.84 +25.0% +27.0% +18.8% +13.5%
2026-03-10 miss 0.69 0.64 -7.4% -7.7% -6.2% -2.6%
2025-12-09 miss 0.79 0.44 -44.2% -6.1% -12.9% -18.6%
2025-09-09 miss 0.34 0.32 -6.7% +0.4% +7.0% +17.8%
2025-06-24 beat 1.39 1.61 +15.7% +15.8% +21.6% +27.4%
2025-03-04 miss 0.72 0.30 -58.2% -22.4% -4.4% -14.4%
2024-12-04 miss 0.68 0.47 -30.9% -11.1% -15.9% -21.8%
2024-09-04 beat 0.65 0.89 +37.3% -1.6% -5.3% -4.4%
2024-06-26 beat 0.21 0.43 +101.6% -8.2% -7.7% -12.4%
2024-03-04 beat 0.34 0.63 +83.1% +15.3% +27.9% +24.0%
2023-12-05 beat 0.61 0.97 +58.0% -5.9% -10.2% -10.1%
2023-09-05 beat 0.30 1.00 +235.6% +18.8% +20.7% +17.5%
2023-06-27 miss 1.00 0.99 -1.2% +5.9% +4.9% +6.9%
2023-03-06 miss 0.43 0.33 -23.6% +5.1% +4.2% +5.7%
2022-12-06 miss 0.24 — -100.0% +4.1% -3.2% +3.5%
2022-09-07 miss 0.12 -0.10 -184.5% -0.8% +14.9% +6.5%
2022-06-28 miss 0.40 0.30 -25.3% -9.5% -4.6% +4.7%
2022-03-03 beat 0.30 0.32 +7.3% +4.1% +1.7% +3.8%
2021-12-07 beat 0.64 0.78 +22.8% +0.4% -27.5% -23.2%
2021-09-08 beat -0.25 -0.17 +32.5% -0.1% -12.8% -17.3%
2021-06-29 beat 0.81 1.04 +27.8% -3.9% -8.8% -12.0%
2021-03-09 beat — 0.14 +6900.0% +1.4% +2.1% +14.5%
2020-12-08 beat 0.31 0.48 +56.9% +3.9% -2.2% -9.1%
2020-09-09 beat 0.39 0.44 +12.2% +0.7% -6.6% -6.7%
2020-06-23 beat 0.69 0.75 +9.5% +4.6% -0.2% +5.8%
2020-03-03 miss 0.17 -0.01 -105.8% -5.4% +9.6% +2.1%
2019-12-03 beat 0.28 0.34 +19.3% +2.3% -5.2% -4.1%
2019-09-04 beat 0.34 0.74 +118.9% +8.6% +4.9% +16.8%
2019-06-25 beat 0.24 0.25 +3.7% -7.0% -8.8% -9.1%
2019-03-05 beat 0.16 0.35 +115.5% +13.1% +9.4% +2.8%
2018-11-29 beat 0.20 0.29 +49.2% -2.1% -16.4% -21.5%
2018-09-05 beat 0.31 0.59 +88.3% +9.9% +14.3% +27.4%
2018-06-26 beat 0.52 0.86 +64.1% -10.0% +7.1% +15.8%
2018-03-06 miss 0.12 0.10 -19.5% -8.8% -14.9% -5.3%
2017-12-05 beat -0.09 0.32 +447.3% +21.4% +25.9% +26.9%
2017-08-29 beat -0.34 -0.19 +44.4% +8.7% +18.2% +24.9%
2017-06-27 beat 0.99 1.30 +31.3% -6.5% +8.1% +17.3%
2017-03-07 beat -0.34 -0.09 +73.8% +5.2% +5.3% +5.4%
2016-12-06 miss -0.07 -0.18 -140.0% -10.0% -5.9% -6.7%
2016-08-30 miss -0.16 -0.51 -213.8% -12.7% -17.0% -18.0%
2016-06-28 beat -0.09 0.23 +342.1% -6.3% -6.4% -6.3%
2016-03-08 beat 0.03 0.27 +730.8% +2.5% +6.1% +3.1%
2015-12-08 beat -0.09 0.19 +302.1% +15.0% +15.0% +20.6%
2015-09-01 miss -0.15 -0.24 -54.8% -5.7% -9.1% -13.2%
2015-06-30 beat 0.17 0.32 +90.1% +6.6% +11.4% +2.3%
2015-03-03 beat 0.06 0.10 +63.6% +0.6% -8.6% -8.7%
2014-11-25 beat -0.13 -0.12 +10.4% -6.3% -8.0% -11.8%
2014-09-03 miss -0.08 -0.18 -111.8% -4.2% -9.2% -5.4%
2014-07-08 beat 0.23 0.27 +16.3% +6.6% +13.2% +11.1%
2014-03-04 beat 0.22 0.34 +54.5% +7.7% +21.3% +16.7%
2013-11-26 miss 0.07 0.07 -6.0% +7.7% +10.5% +10.8%
2013-08-27 miss -0.05 -0.32 -585.7% -0.2% -0.7% -0.8%
2013-06-25 beat -0.07 -0.04 +46.3% +4.4% +2.5% +1.7%
2013-03-05 miss 0.37 0.17 -53.9% -21.6% -9.8% -11.8%
2012-12-04 beat 0.25 0.39 +56.0% +11.4% +13.2% +12.6%
2012-09-05 miss -0.02 -0.06 -160.0% -3.6% -6.4% -6.4%
2012-06-26 beat 0.71 0.80 +12.8% +8.1% +2.6% +1.6%
2012-03-06 miss 0.43 0.26 -39.0% -1.9% -4.1% +0.7%
2011-12-06 beat 0.20 0.30 +51.9% +3.5% -1.1% -3.9%
Posted about AVAV See all ›
TRACKER - Cathie Wood long — 17h ago ARK bought 211,597 shares of JOBY for ARKX. The trade: 0.15% of that fund, on 28 October 2026 — roughly $1.1m at that day’s close. ARK put the same… TRACKER - Cathie Wood long 126.73 1d ago ARK bought 25,711 shares of AVAV for ARKX. The trade: 0.47% of that fund, on 27 October 2026 — roughly $3.3m at that day’s close. ARK put the same… TRACKER - Cathie Wood long 125.45 2d ago ARK bought 19,713 shares of AVAV for ARKX. The trade: 0.36% of that fund, on 26 October 2026 — roughly $2.5m at that day’s close. ARK put the same… TRACKER - Cathie Wood long — Wed, 07 Oct ARK bought 656,920 shares of GENI for ARKF. The trade: 0.45% of that fund, on 7 October 2026 — roughly $4.2m at that day’s close. The entry: GENI's… TRACKER - Cathie Wood long — Tue, 06 Oct ARK bought 389,509 shares of VCYT for ARKG. The trade: 0.75% of that fund, on 6 October 2026 — roughly $17.4m at that day’s close. The entry: VCYT's… TRACKER - Cathie Wood long 156.99 Tue, 15 Sep ARK bought 9,037 shares of AVAV for ARKX on 15 September 2026: 0.18% of that fund — roughly $1.4m at that day’s close. The entry above is AVAV’s… TRACKER - Cathie Wood long — Mon, 14 Sep ARK bought 166,585 shares of IONS for ARKG on 14 September 2026: 0.49% of that fund — roughly $8.6m at that day’s close. The entry above is IONS’s…

Not investment advice.