AVModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+2.1%
Next 1 month
+3.4%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +2.9% median,
71% of the last 52 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 88
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.08%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.44 +3.8% · Seasonal tilt -0.4%
$122M/day volume
39% volatility
+83% 1-year
-14% from ATH
52-week range · 77% of the way up · -14% from the high
$44.25$108.63
Congressional trades in AVT Full tracker →
1 member · 1 buys / 1 sells · $2K–$30K disclosed · latest filing Apr 16, 2020.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, before open, in 7 days) · EPS est. 2.86.
1-day std dev
4.6%
Finished up
43%
Biggest pop
+13.8%
Biggest drop
-8.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 1.77 | 2.28 | +28.8% | +0.1% | +5.1% | +5.2% |
| 2026-04-29 | beat | 1.32 | 1.48 | +12.3% | +5.3% | +4.2% | +6.9% |
| 2026-01-28 | beat | 0.95 | 1.05 | +10.2% | +2.5% | +13.8% | +21.5% |
| 2025-10-29 | beat | 0.81 | 0.84 | +4.0% | -5.5% | -3.8% | -5.0% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | 0.72 | 0.81 | +12.5% | -2.9% | -4.7% | +5.5% |
| 2025-04-30 | beat | 0.71 | 0.84 | +17.6% | -4.0% | -8.3% | -3.1% |
| 2025-01-29 | miss | 0.88 | 0.87 | -1.1% | +0.6% | +1.5% | -3.5% |
| 2024-10-30 | beat | 0.85 | 0.92 | +7.9% | +5.3% | +5.9% | +5.0% |
| 2024-08-08 | beat | 0.97 | 1.22 | +25.6% | +2.4% | +6.9% | +9.3% |
| 2024-05-01 | miss | 1.13 | 1.10 | -2.8% | -4.6% | -1.6% | +6.9% |
| 2024-01-31 | 1.40 | 1.40 | — | -5.1% | -5.4% | -8.2% | |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | 1.51 | 1.61 | +6.7% | +0.0% | -1.7% | -1.8% |
| 2023-08-16 | beat | 1.65 | 2.06 | +25.0% | +7.6% | +8.1% | +8.6% |
| 2023-05-03 | beat | 1.79 | 2.00 | +11.6% | +1.0% | +4.1% | +2.2% |
| 2023-02-01 | beat | 1.86 | 2.00 | +7.8% | +1.3% | +0.1% | -2.3% |
| 2022-10-26 | beat | 1.91 | 2.00 | +4.7% | -0.6% | -2.5% | -1.4% |
| 2022-08-10 | beat | 1.99 | 2.07 | +4.1% | -4.0% | -6.3% | -1.4% |
| 2022-04-27 | beat | 1.54 | 2.15 | +40.1% | +5.7% | +12.0% | +20.4% |
| 2022-01-26 | beat | 1.27 | 1.51 | +18.7% | +7.3% | +1.9% | +5.0% |
| 2021-10-28 | beat | 1.09 | 1.22 | +11.9% | +3.4% | +2.1% | +8.0% |
| 2021-08-11 | beat | 0.84 | 1.12 | +33.9% | +0.0% | -0.9% | -7.2% |
| 2021-04-28 | beat | 0.56 | 0.74 | +31.6% | +1.2% | +1.2% | -0.3% |
| 2021-01-27 | beat | 0.39 | 0.48 | +23.2% | +1.1% | -4.7% | -1.6% |
| 2020-10-28 | beat | 0.12 | 0.36 | +188.6% | -0.2% | -1.0% | +6.9% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | 0.03 | 0.64 | +2437.7% | +4.0% | +1.0% | -1.9% |
| 2020-04-27 | beat | 0.32 | 0.38 | +20.1% | +4.7% | -1.3% | -3.9% |
| 2020-01-23 | miss | 0.41 | 0.40 | -1.3% | +1.6% | +1.9% | -11.3% |
| 2019-10-24 | miss | 0.65 | 0.60 | -7.4% | -8.4% | -3.0% | -0.8% |
| 2019-08-08 | miss | 1.01 | 0.95 | -5.5% | -6.6% | -3.7% | -4.5% |
| 2019-04-25 | beat | 1.08 | 1.09 | +0.9% | +0.5% | +3.4% | +0.8% |
| 2019-01-24 | miss | 1.04 | 0.99 | -4.7% | -2.3% | -1.5% | -0.4% |
| 2018-10-25 | beat | 1.01 | 1.03 | +2.5% | +2.5% | -3.4% | +11.1% |
| 2018-08-08 | beat | 0.98 | 0.99 | +1.2% | +0.9% | +4.1% | +5.5% |
| 2018-04-26 | beat | 0.96 | 1.02 | +6.2% | +0.8% | -2.8% | -3.8% |
| 2018-01-25 | beat | 0.73 | 0.78 | +7.5% | +1.2% | +0.5% | -0.8% |
| 2017-10-26 | beat | 0.71 | 0.76 | +7.2% | +0.8% | +4.1% | -1.8% |
| 2017-08-09 | beat | 0.77 | 0.84 | +9.2% | +0.3% | -1.0% | -2.0% |
| 2017-04-27 | beat | 0.86 | 0.88 | +2.6% | -5.1% | -8.3% | -17.5% |
| 2017-01-26 | beat | 0.75 | 0.77 | +2.7% | +0.8% | -2.7% | -2.5% |
| 2016-10-27 | beat | 0.89 | 0.91 | +2.2% | +0.5% | -0.4% | -2.8% |
| 2016-08-10 | beat | 0.83 | 0.86 | +4.0% | -2.0% | -1.2% | -1.2% |
| 2016-04-28 | beat | 0.98 | 1.01 | +2.6% | -0.9% | -6.2% | -11.6% |
| 2016-01-28 | miss | 1.25 | 1.22 | -2.4% | -4.8% | -1.3% | +2.8% |
| 2015-10-29 | beat | 1.03 | 1.12 | +8.7% | +2.4% | -0.5% | +2.8% |
| 2015-08-05 | beat | 1.08 | 1.16 | +7.8% | +2.2% | +6.0% | +4.0% |
| 2015-04-23 | miss | 1.07 | 1.04 | -2.9% | -2.8% | -3.8% | -6.3% |
| 2015-01-22 | beat | 1.20 | 1.27 | +5.5% | +1.2% | +2.7% | +0.4% |
| 2014-10-23 | beat | 0.97 | 1.02 | +5.3% | +4.8% | +2.7% | +5.1% |
| 2014-08-06 | beat | 1.10 | 1.14 | +3.6% | +1.2% | -1.9% | -2.7% |
| 2014-04-24 | miss | 1.07 | 1.03 | -3.9% | -6.9% | -6.7% | -7.9% |
| 2014-01-23 | beat | 1.11 | 1.17 | +5.7% | +1.0% | -3.7% | -7.2% |
| 2013-10-24 | beat | 0.88 | 0.90 | +2.4% | +2.7% | -5.7% | -3.5% |
| 2013-08-07 | beat | 0.96 | 0.98 | +1.9% | -0.3% | -0.8% | +2.7% |
| 2013-04-25 | beat | 0.87 | 0.90 | +3.5% | -0.3% | +0.0% | -2.6% |
| 2013-01-24 | beat | 0.83 | 1.01 | +21.2% | +4.3% | +6.9% | +9.9% |
| 2012-10-25 | miss | 0.60 | 0.59 | -1.1% | +2.5% | +2.3% | +8.1% |
| 2012-08-08 | miss | 1.08 | 0.99 | -8.7% | -7.2% | -5.6% | +0.3% |
| 2012-04-26 | beat | 0.99 | 1.03 | +4.2% | +0.2% | +3.8% | -0.1% |
| 2012-01-26 | beat | 1.04 | 1.15 | +10.9% | +0.9% | -0.7% | +5.4% |
| 2011-10-27 | miss | 0.92 | 0.90 | -2.0% | +3.6% | +3.6% | +2.2% |
Not investment advice.
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