AVModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.5%
Next 1 week
+1.7%
Next 1 month
+2.9%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): -18.6% median,
30% of the last 10 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 60
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.60%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.32 +3.2% · Seasonal tilt (10y) -0.3%
$24M/day volume
89% volatility
-59% 1-year
52-week range · 4% of the way up · -70% from the high
$6.53$24.27
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-12 (Thursday, before open, in 10 days) · EPS est. -0.55.
1-day std dev
6.5%
Finished up
29%
Biggest pop
+13.9%
Biggest drop
-16.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 42 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | miss | -0.62 | -0.83 | -33.2% | -5.1% | -0.7% | +3.2% |
| 2026-05-13 | beat | -1.03 | -0.98 | +4.4% | +1.4% | -0.5% | -18.3% |
| 2026-03-23 | beat | -1.49 | -0.37 | +75.2% | +0.0% | +0.6% | +3.8% |
| 2025-11-06 | miss | -1.64 | -2.19 | -33.7% | -3.8% | -6.3% | -10.5% |
| 2025-08-07 | miss | -1.40 | -1.92 | -37.0% | +0.5% | +0.5% | +7.7% |
| 2025-05-12 | beat | -1.60 | -1.25 | +22.1% | +2.2% | -1.5% | -1.5% |
| 2025-03-20 | miss | 1.67 | -2.74 | -264.6% | -4.3% | +2.9% | +9.3% |
| 2024-11-07 | beat | -1.19 | 0.98 | +182.3% | -7.3% | -3.7% | +0.6% |
| 2024-08-12 | beat | -6.70 | 4.21 | +162.8% | -1.5% | -7.3% | -13.4% |
| 2024-05-13 | miss | -1.18 | -141.00 | -11849.1% | -1.8% | -0.3% | +2.3% |
| 2024-03-29 | miss | -4.80 | -113.04 | -2255.0% | -16.2% | -15.3% | -19.1% |
| 2023-11-09 | beat | -264.00 | -26.40 | +90.0% | -1.8% | -10.1% | -15.6% |
| 2023-08-03 | beat | -168.00 | -141.60 | +15.7% | -2.5% | -1.0% | -27.5% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | -232.80 | -204.00 | +12.4% | -2.8% | -7.8% | -12.8% |
| 2023-03-29 | miss | -156.00 | -249.60 | -60.0% | +0.0% | -7.5% | +5.7% |
| 2022-11-07 | beat | -315.20 | 81.60 | +125.9% | +1.9% | -1.2% | -14.9% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | -424.80 | -331.20 | +22.0% | +3.8% | +11.0% | +49.3% |
| 2022-05-05 | miss | -288.00 | -576.00 | -100.0% | -3.6% | -16.2% | -30.2% |
| 2022-03-02 | miss | -439.20 | -460.80 | -4.9% | -1.4% | -8.3% | -9.7% |
| 2021-11-09 | beat | -518.40 | -489.60 | +5.6% | -3.4% | -1.7% | -6.0% |
| 2021-08-02 | miss | -508.80 | -518.40 | -1.9% | -1.1% | +0.0% | +10.0% |
| 2021-05-13 | miss | -662.39 | -921.59 | -39.1% | +0.8% | -4.7% | +14.4% |
| 2021-03-08 | miss | -432.00 | -489.60 | -13.3% | +1.0% | +8.5% | +7.5% |
| 2020-11-09 | miss | -273.60 | -460.80 | -68.4% | +2.9% | +0.0% | +13.6% |
| 2020-08-06 | miss | -302.40 | -472.89 | -56.4% | -2.9% | -6.2% | -17.9% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | -355.20 | -247.39 | +30.4% | -0.9% | +0.0% | -1.8% |
| 2020-03-11 | beat | -374.40 | -311.79 | +16.7% | -26.1% | -15.4% | +13.7% |
| 2019-11-14 | beat | -388.80 | -213.23 | +45.2% | +1.5% | -9.3% | -11.1% |
| 2019-08-08 | beat | -470.40 | -292.61 | +37.8% | +0.3% | -9.3% | -0.6% |
| 2019-05-09 | beat | -470.40 | -362.88 | +22.9% | +1.2% | +4.1% | +11.4% |
| 2019-03-18 | miss | -216.00 | -371.81 | -72.1% | -1.4% | +0.0% | -3.2% |
| 2018-11-13 | miss | -345.60 | -2044.78 | -491.7% | +0.0% | -3.5% | -10.7% |
| 2018-08-09 | miss | -288.00 | -547.20 | -90.0% | -0.9% | -7.6% | -14.8% |
| 2018-04-02 | beat | -662.39 | -316.80 | +52.2% | +0.2% | +0.2% | -8.6% |
| 2017-11-06 | beat | -374.40 | 1497.59 | +500.0% | +12.6% | +3.6% | -9.0% |
| 2017-08-14 | beat | -633.60 | -403.20 | +36.4% | +20.6% | +3.7% | +8.2% |
| 2017-05-09 | beat | -604.80 | -547.20 | +9.5% | +0.0% | +13.9% | -2.5% |
| 2017-03-14 | beat | -1785.59 | -549.85 | +69.2% | +1.1% | -10.0% | -24.4% |
| 2016-11-08 | miss | -1411.19 | -1995.77 | -41.4% | -4.8% | +0.3% | +15.3% |
| 2016-08-15 | miss | -1151.99 | -1203.83 | -4.5% | -1.5% | -0.2% | +2.7% |
| 2016-05-16 | miss | -1123.19 | -1695.73 | -51.0% | -5.0% | -1.8% | -17.6% |
| 2016-03-23 | miss | -806.39 | -1275.83 | -58.2% | +4.5% | +1.7% | +4.8% |
Not investment advice.
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