AWModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.7%
Next 1 month
+1.8%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +3.5% median,
68% of the last 19 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 78
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.04%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.70 +1.7% · Seasonal tilt +0.0%
$85M/day volume
28% volatility
-13% 1-year
-19% from ATH
52-week range · 29% of the way up · -19% from the high
$150.28$206.05
Congressional trades in AWI Full tracker →
2 members · 1 buys / 2 sells · $3K–$45K disclosed · latest filing Aug 13, 2025.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-23 (Tuesday, before open, in 115 days) · EPS est. 2.01.
1-day std dev
5.6%
Finished up
47%
Biggest pop
+11.8%
Biggest drop
-12.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | miss | 2.39 | 2.26 | -5.3% | -4.9% | -5.7% | — |
| 2026-07-28 | beat | 2.25 | 2.36 | +5.0% | +3.1% | +8.1% | +10.9% |
| 2026-04-28 | miss | 1.81 | 1.69 | -6.4% | -5.4% | -4.5% | -7.5% |
| 2026-02-24 | miss | 1.68 | 1.61 | -4.0% | -2.5% | -9.6% | -11.9% |
| 2025-10-28 | beat | 2.03 | 2.05 | +0.9% | -2.3% | -4.5% | -6.3% |
| 2025-07-29 | beat | 1.78 | 2.09 | +17.2% | +2.5% | +9.4% | +13.0% |
| 2025-04-29 | beat | 1.53 | 1.66 | +8.7% | +1.3% | +4.6% | +8.0% |
| 2025-02-25 | beat | 1.38 | 1.50 | +8.3% | +2.5% | +5.2% | +2.4% |
| 2024-10-29 | beat | 1.76 | 1.81 | +2.9% | -0.9% | +2.0% | +7.8% |
| 2024-07-30 | beat | 1.55 | 1.62 | +4.5% | -1.0% | +1.1% | -7.1% |
| 2024-04-30 | beat | 1.23 | 1.38 | +12.2% | -3.9% | -3.3% | -2.2% |
| 2024-02-20 | beat | 1.04 | 1.22 | +17.7% | +7.9% | +11.8% | +17.2% |
| 2023-10-24 | beat | 1.31 | 1.60 | +21.8% | +7.9% | +7.1% | +9.9% |
| 2023-07-25 | beat | 1.31 | 1.38 | +5.5% | +2.8% | +2.5% | +1.3% |
| 2023-04-25 | beat | 1.10 | 1.12 | +1.5% | +0.5% | -6.5% | -7.6% |
| 2023-02-21 | miss | 1.12 | 1.08 | -3.2% | -4.1% | -4.1% | -3.1% |
| 2022-10-25 | miss | 1.47 | 1.36 | -7.5% | -5.1% | -3.1% | -5.5% |
| 2022-07-26 | miss | 1.37 | 1.29 | -5.5% | -1.5% | +1.0% | +6.7% |
| 2022-04-26 | miss | 1.13 | 1.02 | -10.1% | -2.2% | -6.0% | -6.6% |
| 2022-02-22 | beat | 1.05 | 1.09 | +3.8% | -1.0% | -2.6% | -8.1% |
| 2021-10-26 | miss | 1.28 | 1.17 | -8.9% | -3.7% | -0.1% | +6.2% |
| 2021-07-27 | beat | 1.05 | 1.16 | +10.3% | +0.0% | +0.7% | +3.0% |
| 2021-04-27 | miss | 0.90 | 0.84 | -6.9% | -6.0% | +0.4% | +5.8% |
| 2021-02-23 | beat | 0.67 | 0.77 | +14.5% | +2.0% | +9.1% | +8.7% |
| 2020-10-27 | beat | 0.94 | 1.07 | +14.4% | +4.6% | -3.2% | -5.0% |
| 2020-07-28 | miss | 0.91 | 0.75 | -17.7% | -10.0% | -11.7% | -12.8% |
| 2020-04-27 | miss | 1.11 | 1.10 | -0.9% | -2.6% | +2.1% | -4.7% |
| 2020-02-24 | beat | 0.86 | 1.11 | +29.1% | -2.3% | -0.3% | -2.3% |
| 2019-10-28 | beat | 1.30 | 1.38 | +6.5% | -3.2% | -4.7% | -8.9% |
| 2019-07-29 | beat | 1.19 | 1.27 | +6.6% | +1.9% | -5.0% | -3.9% |
| 2019-04-29 | beat | 0.94 | 1.10 | +17.4% | -0.1% | -0.7% | +1.2% |
| 2019-02-25 | miss | 0.83 | 0.80 | -3.9% | -1.3% | +0.9% | +2.5% |
| 2018-10-30 | miss | 1.21 | 1.11 | -7.9% | +0.3% | +3.9% | +17.5% |
| 2018-07-31 | miss | 1.01 | 1.01 | -0.4% | +0.8% | +1.2% | +3.9% |
| 2018-04-30 | miss | 0.81 | 0.79 | -3.0% | -0.9% | +0.0% | +2.9% |
| 2018-02-26 | miss | 0.68 | 0.50 | -26.8% | -4.1% | -3.8% | -1.4% |
| 2017-10-30 | miss | 0.90 | 0.86 | -4.9% | -0.8% | -5.1% | -3.3% |
| 2017-07-31 | beat | 0.67 | 0.73 | +8.5% | +7.0% | +9.1% | +6.4% |
| 2017-05-01 | miss | 0.56 | 0.55 | -1.7% | +0.2% | +0.7% | -3.3% |
| 2017-02-27 | beat | 0.44 | 0.45 | +2.6% | +13.5% | +11.8% | +16.3% |
| 2016-10-31 | beat | 0.74 | 0.76 | +2.4% | -2.0% | -5.7% | -6.7% |
| 2016-07-29 | beat | 0.50 | 0.56 | +11.5% | +1.2% | +1.5% | +5.6% |
| 2016-05-09 | beat | 0.42 | 0.47 | +12.9% | -6.3% | -5.7% | -3.8% |
| 2016-02-22 | miss | 0.33 | 0.27 | -17.9% | -0.5% | -3.0% | -0.1% |
| 2015-10-29 | beat | 0.74 | 0.80 | +8.3% | +4.8% | +1.8% | +5.7% |
| 2015-07-30 | beat | 0.57 | 0.81 | +42.6% | -0.1% | +3.9% | +1.8% |
| 2015-04-30 | miss | 0.39 | 0.37 | -6.1% | -1.3% | -4.2% | -1.6% |
| 2015-02-23 | beat | 0.27 | 0.38 | +39.3% | +5.3% | +2.1% | +4.0% |
| 2014-10-27 | beat | 0.78 | 0.83 | +6.9% | -1.6% | -5.5% | +1.4% |
| 2014-07-28 | miss | 0.66 | 0.60 | -8.7% | -9.0% | -10.4% | -1.6% |
| 2014-04-28 | miss | 0.44 | 0.42 | -4.5% | +3.5% | +2.0% | -1.2% |
| 2014-02-24 | miss | 0.41 | 0.32 | -21.3% | -6.3% | -9.1% | -9.8% |
| 2013-10-28 | beat | 0.87 | 0.87 | +0.0% | -2.2% | +1.4% | -5.3% |
| 2013-07-29 | miss | 0.63 | 0.62 | -0.9% | -2.0% | -5.0% | +2.3% |
| 2013-04-29 | miss | 0.39 | 0.22 | -42.9% | +0.0% | -0.7% | -2.2% |
| 2013-02-19 | beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +6.1% | -3.7% | -2.7% | -9.8% |
| 2012-10-29 | beat | 0.90 | 0.97 | +8.0% | +1.7% | +6.2% | +6.6% |
| 2012-07-30 | miss | 0.78 | 0.71 | -8.8% | -13.6% | -12.8% | -9.2% |
| 2012-04-30 | miss | 0.55 | 0.47 | -14.2% | -5.4% | -5.3% | -1.3% |
| 2012-02-27 | miss | 0.29 | 0.16 | -45.3% | -2.1% | +0.6% | +2.0% |
Not investment advice.
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