AXModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.8%
Next 1 week
+4.2%
Next 1 month
+10.7%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +5.8% median,
67% of the last 27 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 94
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.02%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 4.23 +11.1% · Seasonal tilt -0.3%
$592M/day volume
152% volatility
+940% 1-year
-55% from ATH
52-week range · 43% of the way up · -55% from the high
$6.04$143.16
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-29 (Thursday, after close, in 0 days) · EPS est. 0.31.
1-day std dev
15.7%
Finished up
57%
Biggest pop
+69.3%
Biggest drop
-31.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | beat | 0.07 | 0.19 | +163.9% | +42.1% | +28.7% | +88.7% |
| 2026-04-30 | beat | -0.05 | -0.01 | +78.3% | -0.5% | +21.2% | +46.9% |
| 2026-02-19 | beat | -0.06 | -0.05 | +13.8% | +8.5% | +24.7% | +59.2% |
| 2025-10-30 | beat | -0.12 | -0.03 | +74.6% | +12.7% | +8.6% | +29.2% |
| 2025-07-31 | miss | -0.13 | -0.15 | -11.9% | -3.8% | -7.7% | +2.9% |
| 2025-05-01 | miss | -0.14 | -0.19 | -37.7% | -3.7% | +3.0% | -7.4% |
| 2025-02-20 | miss | -0.04 | -0.10 | -138.1% | -14.8% | -31.0% | -30.1% |
| 2024-10-31 | beat | -0.06 | -0.05 | +16.7% | -6.2% | -18.2% | -20.5% |
| 2024-08-01 | beat | -0.05 | -0.02 | +56.5% | -7.3% | -18.5% | -26.1% |
| 2024-05-02 | beat | -0.08 | -0.03 | +61.5% | +14.9% | +20.8% | +19.1% |
| 2024-02-22 | beat | -0.13 | -0.07 | +47.0% | +38.6% | +69.3% | +87.3% |
| 2023-11-02 | miss | -0.11 | -0.12 | -5.3% | -2.0% | +9.8% | -3.4% |
| 2023-08-03 | miss | -0.10 | -0.10 | -2.0% | -3.4% | -1.4% | -12.2% |
| 2023-04-27 | beat | -0.10 | -0.06 | +41.2% | -4.2% | -14.7% | -7.7% |
| 2023-02-16 | beat | 0.04 | 0.05 | +25.0% | -12.2% | -17.3% | -24.2% |
| 2022-10-27 | beat | 0.12 | 0.16 | +36.2% | +4.0% | +2.0% | +8.9% |
| 2022-07-28 | beat | 0.10 | 0.13 | +35.4% | +14.0% | +24.9% | +24.9% |
| 2022-04-28 | miss | 0.09 | 0.07 | -17.6% | +5.9% | -0.8% | -3.7% |
| 2022-02-16 | miss | 0.07 | 0.07 | -3.5% | -0.4% | -4.0% | -7.4% |
| 2021-10-27 | miss | 0.11 | 0.09 | -18.2% | -6.6% | -8.2% | +6.9% |
| 2021-07-27 | beat | 0.07 | 0.10 | +42.9% | +7.2% | +8.0% | +3.1% |
| 2021-04-28 | beat | 0.06 | 0.08 | +33.3% | +3.9% | -7.6% | -16.7% |
| 2021-02-18 | beat | 0.03 | 0.05 | +66.7% | +7.5% | +27.1% | +6.9% |
| 2020-10-28 | — | 0.02 | — | +2.9% | +9.2% | +10.4% | |
| 2020-07-22 | beat | -0.01 | 0.01 | +200.0% | +5.0% | +0.8% | -10.5% |
| 2020-04-22 | beat | -0.04 | -0.01 | +75.0% | +5.0% | +0.5% | +38.3% |
| 2020-02-19 | beat | -0.07 | -0.05 | +28.6% | +2.2% | -1.5% | -16.5% |
| 2019-10-30 | beat | -0.04 | -0.02 | +50.0% | +2.6% | +0.6% | -4.8% |
| 2019-07-24 | beat | 0.04 | 0.04 | +14.3% | +4.3% | +4.3% | -0.2% |
| 2019-04-24 | beat | -0.04 | -0.03 | +25.0% | +8.6% | +14.6% | +19.4% |
| 2019-02-20 | miss | 0.02 | -0.03 | -300.0% | -5.6% | -8.7% | -0.9% |
| 2018-10-31 | 0.10 | 0.10 | — | -0.5% | -18.2% | -10.0% | |
| 2018-07-25 | beat | 0.08 | 0.10 | +25.0% | +3.2% | +0.6% | -0.6% |
| 2018-04-25 | beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +12.0% | +5.0% | +6.7% | +6.7% |
| 2018-02-21 | miss | 0.08 | 0.08 | -3.0% | -8.8% | -17.6% | -15.3% |
| 2017-10-25 | beat | 0.09 | 0.12 | +35.8% | +0.0% | +5.6% | +0.6% |
| 2017-07-26 | beat | 0.05 | 0.05 | +5.3% | +6.6% | +15.8% | +2.0% |
| 2017-04-26 | beat | 0.01 | 0.02 | +199.8% | +7.3% | +13.8% | +9.8% |
| 2017-02-22 | beat | 0.03 | 0.06 | +100.0% | +2.2% | +10.1% | -2.9% |
| 2016-10-26 | beat | 0.03 | 0.07 | +110.0% | -6.1% | -9.8% | -16.2% |
| 2016-07-27 | beat | 0.02 | 0.04 | +173.3% | +9.3% | +3.3% | +3.3% |
| 2016-05-02 | beat | -0.04 | — | +100.0% | +7.5% | +13.2% | +18.9% |
| 2016-02-24 | miss | -0.02 | -0.04 | -100.0% | +0.7% | -4.0% | -4.8% |
| 2015-10-29 | beat | -0.02 | — | +100.0% | +2.8% | +1.4% | +1.8% |
| 2015-07-30 | beat | -0.01 | — | +100.0% | +0.0% | -1.3% | -7.6% |
| 2015-04-30 | beat | -0.04 | -0.03 | +14.3% | -1.3% | -2.1% | -4.2% |
| 2015-02-23 | beat | -0.01 | -0.01 | +33.3% | +1.1% | +2.6% | +2.6% |
| 2014-10-30 | beat | 0.01 | 0.02 | +199.8% | +8.3% | +8.3% | +8.7% |
| 2014-07-31 | beat | -0.04 | 0.01 | +122.2% | +7.4% | +7.0% | +15.3% |
| 2014-04-30 | beat | -0.08 | -0.04 | +56.2% | +1.9% | -0.5% | +0.5% |
| 2014-02-25 | beat | -0.07 | -0.04 | +44.8% | +0.0% | +0.9% | -2.6% |
| 2013-10-30 | beat | -0.08 | -0.07 | +9.7% | +0.9% | +2.7% | +10.9% |
| 2013-07-31 | miss | -0.05 | -0.06 | -12.5% | -5.0% | -4.6% | -12.1% |
| 2013-05-10 | miss | -0.07 | -0.07 | -7.1% | +0.0% | -1.1% | +1.1% |
| 2013-02-25 | miss | -0.01 | -0.02 | -66.7% | +10.7% | +5.7% | +1.8% |
| 2012-11-01 | 0.03 | 0.03 | — | -9.1% | -13.5% | -8.8% | |
| 2012-08-01 | miss | 0.06 | 0.04 | -28.6% | -1.7% | -19.5% | -12.8% |
| 2012-05-02 | miss | 0.09 | 0.05 | -41.9% | -6.9% | -19.6% | -18.2% |
| 2012-02-23 | miss | 0.09 | 0.08 | -11.1% | +3.9% | +11.4% | +4.9% |
| 2011-10-26 | beat | 0.18 | 0.19 | +4.4% | -16.2% | -22.3% | -23.8% |
Not investment advice.
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