BAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.5%
Next 1 week
+0.2%
Next 1 month
+3.1%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): +0.9% median,
54% of the last 26 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 27
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.19%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.51 +3.6% · Seasonal tilt -0.5%
$5M/day volume
93% volatility
-55% 1-year
52-week range · 5% of the way up · -78% from the high
$0.92$5.39
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-12 (Thursday, after close, in 10 days) · EPS est. 0.31.
1-day std dev
4.2%
Finished up
54%
Biggest pop
+14.9%
Biggest drop
-10.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 56 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | beat | -3.59 | 1.62 | +145.2% | +1.4% | -5.8% | -3.9% |
| 2026-03-27 | miss | -1.57 | -5.33 | -239.0% | -6.1% | -10.7% | -16.0% |
| 2025-11-12 | beat | -1.18 | — | +100.4% | +1.3% | -0.7% | +1.0% |
| 2025-08-07 | beat | -0.78 | -0.10 | +87.4% | -3.8% | -3.5% | -8.6% |
| 2025-05-10 | miss | 0.62 | 0.31 | -49.9% | +1.9% | +4.7% | +1.9% |
| 2025-02-27 | miss | -0.37 | -2.04 | -445.4% | -6.9% | -2.7% | -10.8% |
| 2024-11-07 | miss | 0.05 | -0.24 | -583.0% | +3.3% | -4.7% | -15.1% |
| 2024-08-08 | miss | -0.17 | -1.52 | -797.2% | +1.7% | +4.7% | +2.9% |
| 2024-05-08 | miss | -0.56 | -0.67 | -19.3% | -3.9% | -4.4% | -3.0% |
| 2024-03-19 | beat | -0.55 | -0.46 | +16.5% | +3.4% | +4.7% | +21.0% |
| 2023-11-09 | miss | -0.48 | -1.13 | -134.1% | +16.9% | +14.9% | +14.7% |
| 2023-08-09 | beat | -0.45 | 0.14 | +130.9% | +0.6% | -2.2% | -5.3% |
| 2023-05-07 | beat | -0.43 | 0.09 | +121.4% | -5.7% | +4.6% | -8.0% |
| 2023-03-21 | beat | -1.09 | -0.70 | +35.5% | -0.4% | -3.8% | +8.2% |
| 2022-11-09 | miss | 0.24 | -0.49 | -301.7% | -6.2% | -6.6% | -9.2% |
| 2022-08-11 | miss | 0.62 | -0.21 | -134.2% | -2.1% | -4.4% | -7.8% |
| 2022-05-12 | beat | 0.82 | 1.91 | +133.8% | +0.6% | +0.1% | +10.4% |
| 2022-03-15 | miss | 1.52 | 0.49 | -68.0% | -0.3% | +2.7% | +10.1% |
| 2021-11-08 | beat | 1.02 | 1.70 | +67.3% | +2.2% | +2.6% | -13.0% |
| 2021-08-05 | miss | 4.55 | 3.35 | -26.5% | +2.3% | -4.9% | -4.0% |
| 2021-05-11 | beat | -0.10 | 0.94 | +1067.8% | -0.9% | -3.5% | -3.6% |
| 2021-03-10 | miss | 2.14 | 0.82 | -61.8% | +3.7% | +4.8% | +18.5% |
| 2020-11-09 | beat | -0.11 | 0.21 | +294.3% | +2.2% | +4.7% | +0.4% |
| 2020-08-05 | miss | 1.29 | -0.58 | -145.4% | -1.6% | +2.4% | +1.7% |
| 2020-06-03 | beat | -6.06 | -1.82 | +69.9% | -3.2% | -2.3% | -4.5% |
| 2019-11-15 | miss | -0.10 | -0.43 | -323.8% | +0.9% | +0.1% | -4.1% |
| 2019-08-07 | miss | 0.43 | 0.08 | -81.2% | -0.7% | -0.2% | -8.0% |
| 2019-03-13 | miss | 0.39 | -0.05 | -113.0% | -3.3% | -0.9% | -4.6% |
| 2018-05-09 | beat | 0.64 | 0.74 | +16.1% | +0.9% | +5.4% | +7.5% |
| 2018-03-27 | miss | 0.81 | 0.29 | -65.0% | -1.2% | -2.0% | +2.4% |
| 2017-11-09 | beat | 0.51 | 0.62 | +21.4% | -1.4% | -1.2% | -9.9% |
| 2017-08-17 | miss | 0.89 | 0.87 | -2.8% | -0.4% | +1.5% | -0.5% |
| 2017-05-15 | beat | 0.68 | 1.45 | +112.5% | +4.2% | -0.9% | -11.1% |
| 2017-02-22 | beat | -2.10 | -0.69 | +67.4% | +0.0% | +0.6% | -4.1% |
| 2016-11-10 | miss | 0.77 | 0.67 | -13.1% | +0.2% | -1.4% | -6.6% |
| 2016-08-04 | miss | 0.71 | 0.32 | -54.2% | +0.3% | +3.4% | +1.1% |
| 2016-05-05 | miss | 0.56 | 0.55 | -1.5% | +2.1% | -1.8% | -11.8% |
| 2016-02-18 | miss | 0.15 | 0.14 | -9.8% | +4.8% | +4.8% | +4.3% |
| 2015-11-05 | beat | 0.55 | 1.05 | +88.9% | +2.4% | +1.7% | +8.7% |
| 2015-08-06 | beat | 0.25 | 0.77 | +208.3% | +1.2% | -2.2% | +2.8% |
| 2015-02-13 | miss | 0.09 | 0.06 | -37.2% | -0.1% | +0.3% | -2.9% |
| 2014-11-07 | beat | 0.13 | 0.26 | +111.9% | +3.6% | +3.4% | +2.5% |
| 2014-08-07 | miss | 0.28 | 0.14 | -50.0% | +0.0% | -1.6% | +2.4% |
| 2014-05-09 | beat | -3.22 | 0.39 | +112.2% | -1.1% | +1.0% | -3.0% |
| 2014-02-13 | miss | 0.07 | 0.05 | -31.2% | -0.5% | +4.0% | -0.5% |
| 2013-11-07 | miss | 0.50 | 0.43 | -14.8% | +2.7% | -0.6% | +5.7% |
| 2013-08-08 | beat | -0.22 | -0.10 | +53.3% | +2.5% | +7.4% | +7.5% |
| 2012-11-08 | miss | -0.08 | -0.17 | -100.3% | +0.3% | -2.0% | -11.2% |
| 2012-08-14 | miss | 0.16 | -1.33 | -928.5% | +1.2% | +0.2% | +5.8% |
| 2012-05-10 | beat | -0.21 | -0.02 | +88.4% | +1.2% | -3.7% | -18.0% |
| 2012-03-14 | miss | 0.14 | -0.27 | -290.0% | -1.1% | +0.5% | -5.6% |
| 2011-11-10 | miss | 0.21 | -1.39 | -762.3% | +3.1% | +0.8% | -5.6% |
| 2011-08-11 | beat | 0.43 | 0.66 | +54.0% | +0.2% | +5.1% | +4.5% |
| 2011-05-12 | miss | 0.56 | 0.47 | -16.5% | +2.1% | +3.1% | +7.2% |
| 2011-03-17 | beat | 0.35 | 0.92 | +163.1% | +2.2% | +1.3% | +2.1% |
| 2009-11-03 | beat | -0.43 | 1.41 | +427.0% | -1.9% | +5.2% | +4.9% |
Not investment advice.
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