BAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+1.4%
Next 1 month
+0.6%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +1.8% median,
63% of the last 35 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 27
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.26%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.50 +1.2% · Seasonal tilt -0.6%
$14M/day volume
24% volatility
+1% 1-year
-20% from ATH
52-week range · 43% of the way up · -10% from the high
$101.48$122.21
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-21 (Thursday, after close, in 81 days) · EPS est. 1.92.
1-day std dev
3.6%
Finished up
58%
Biggest pop
+10.4%
Biggest drop
-7.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | beat | 1.94 | 1.97 | +1.6% | -0.7% | +2.4% | +1.6% |
| 2026-07-23 | beat | 1.80 | 1.96 | +9.1% | +1.1% | +1.4% | -1.8% |
| 2026-04-16 | beat | 1.76 | 1.85 | +5.3% | +4.2% | +4.5% | +1.7% |
| 2026-01-22 | miss | 1.79 | 1.75 | -2.0% | -1.2% | -7.6% | -6.3% |
| 2025-10-17 | miss | 1.86 | 1.85 | -0.5% | +0.4% | -1.5% | -1.7% |
| 2025-07-17 | beat | 1.65 | 1.85 | +12.3% | +4.2% | +3.1% | -3.5% |
| 2025-04-17 | beat | 1.58 | 1.67 | +5.7% | +0.7% | +3.2% | +8.3% |
| 2025-01-23 | beat | 1.64 | 1.68 | +2.8% | +0.0% | -2.2% | -1.8% |
| 2024-10-17 | beat | 1.58 | 1.75 | +11.0% | -1.1% | -1.4% | -7.2% |
| 2024-07-18 | beat | 1.42 | 1.51 | +6.7% | +2.7% | +5.0% | +10.4% |
| 2024-04-18 | beat | 1.39 | 1.50 | +7.7% | -0.6% | +8.9% | +8.6% |
| 2024-01-18 | beat | 1.44 | 1.46 | +1.6% | -0.3% | +0.1% | +3.2% |
| 2023-10-19 | beat | 1.49 | 1.52 | +2.2% | +4.1% | +1.4% | -2.1% |
| 2023-07-20 | beat | 1.61 | 1.64 | +1.7% | +0.6% | -4.9% | -3.0% |
| 2023-04-25 | beat | 1.68 | 1.72 | +2.2% | -4.0% | -4.0% | -5.6% |
| 2023-01-19 | miss | 1.72 | 1.70 | -1.2% | +0.1% | -2.6% | -1.6% |
| 2022-10-20 | beat | 1.52 | 1.65 | +8.7% | +5.0% | +10.4% | +4.9% |
| 2022-07-21 | beat | 1.09 | 1.34 | +23.2% | +2.8% | +10.0% | +18.2% |
| 2022-04-21 | beat | 0.94 | 1.08 | +14.9% | +0.4% | -0.9% | -4.0% |
| 2022-01-20 | beat | 1.08 | 1.15 | +6.2% | -3.2% | -0.5% | -0.2% |
| 2021-10-21 | miss | 1.22 | 1.16 | -4.7% | +0.0% | -0.5% | +0.8% |
| 2021-07-15 | beat | 1.14 | 1.45 | +26.9% | +1.6% | -3.6% | -6.3% |
| 2021-04-15 | beat | 0.99 | 1.27 | +27.9% | +0.9% | +1.3% | +1.5% |
| 2021-01-21 | beat | 0.75 | 1.06 | +42.3% | -0.2% | +2.6% | -8.3% |
| 2020-10-15 | miss | 0.76 | 0.63 | -17.4% | -5.0% | -1.1% | +4.3% |
| 2020-07-16 | beat | 0.48 | 0.63 | +31.2% | -0.1% | +0.6% | +0.3% |
| 2020-04-21 | miss | 0.82 | 0.68 | -16.6% | -1.3% | -1.6% | +24.1% |
| 2020-01-17 | beat | 1.04 | 1.07 | +3.2% | +0.6% | -1.1% | -6.1% |
| 2019-10-17 | beat | 1.01 | 1.07 | +5.7% | -0.7% | +3.6% | +3.0% |
| 2019-07-18 | beat | 0.94 | 1.02 | +9.1% | +0.5% | +5.2% | +7.2% |
| 2019-04-18 | beat | 0.93 | 0.96 | +3.2% | +0.8% | +1.4% | +3.0% |
| 2019-01-17 | beat | 0.94 | 0.99 | +6.0% | +0.1% | +1.8% | +0.8% |
| 2018-10-19 | beat | 0.92 | 0.98 | +7.1% | +1.2% | +1.6% | +1.2% |
| 2018-07-19 | beat | 0.85 | 0.91 | +6.7% | +0.2% | +4.4% | +1.8% |
| 2018-04-19 | beat | 0.82 | 0.94 | +14.6% | -3.8% | +6.3% | +6.4% |
| 2018-01-18 | miss | 0.69 | 0.66 | -4.0% | -0.5% | +1.4% | +0.6% |
| 2017-10-19 | miss | 0.71 | 0.67 | -6.0% | +2.9% | -5.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017-07-20 | beat | 0.58 | 0.71 | +22.1% | +0.1% | +5.7% | +7.0% |
| 2017-04-20 | beat | 0.57 | 0.68 | +20.1% | +0.1% | +5.4% | +2.5% |
| 2017-01-19 | beat | 0.56 | 0.58 | +2.9% | +0.9% | +1.0% | +1.3% |
| 2016-10-20 | miss | 0.57 | 0.56 | -0.9% | -1.3% | -1.7% | -0.7% |
| 2016-07-21 | beat | 0.52 | 0.55 | +6.3% | +0.5% | +7.8% | +6.4% |
| 2016-04-21 | beat | 0.49 | 0.53 | +6.3% | +0.6% | +4.5% | +6.1% |
| 2016-01-21 | miss | 0.50 | 0.50 | -1.5% | +0.0% | -1.6% | +3.2% |
| 2015-10-15 | miss | 0.51 | 0.49 | -3.2% | +1.1% | -2.7% | -0.2% |
| 2015-07-16 | beat | 0.48 | 0.59 | +21.9% | +0.2% | -0.6% | -1.5% |
| 2015-04-16 | beat | 0.47 | 0.52 | +9.0% | -0.7% | -2.1% | -2.1% |
| 2015-01-22 | beat | 0.48 | 0.50 | +3.9% | +0.3% | -0.4% | -3.1% |
| 2014-10-16 | beat | 0.47 | 0.60 | +25.9% | +1.8% | -0.9% | +0.7% |
| 2014-07-17 | beat | 0.43 | 0.46 | +6.0% | -0.9% | +3.9% | +1.9% |
| 2014-04-17 | beat | 0.41 | 0.47 | +13.9% | +0.3% | +2.1% | +1.9% |
| 2014-01-16 | beat | 0.42 | 0.44 | +3.8% | +0.3% | +1.2% | -0.9% |
| 2013-10-17 | beat | 0.43 | 0.47 | +9.1% | +1.2% | +2.5% | +3.8% |
| 2013-07-18 | beat | 0.40 | 0.41 | +1.2% | -0.5% | +0.6% | +2.4% |
| 2013-04-16 | beat | 0.39 | 0.43 | +9.8% | -0.4% | -1.7% | +1.8% |
| 2013-01-24 | miss | 0.40 | 0.40 | -0.4% | +0.3% | -2.3% | -0.4% |
| 2012-10-16 | beat | 0.39 | 0.45 | +16.1% | +1.8% | +2.8% | +0.6% |
| 2012-07-17 | miss | 0.40 | 0.38 | -3.8% | -0.6% | +0.0% | -5.3% |
| 2012-04-16 | beat | 0.36 | 0.46 | +25.5% | +1.9% | +2.0% | +2.3% |
| 2012-01-17 | beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +3.5% | -0.2% | +2.8% | +0.8% |
Not investment advice.
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