BAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.7%
Next 1 month
+0.8%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +1.6% median,
57% of the last 30 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 47
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.00%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.37 +0.9% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$16M/day volume
24% volatility
+13% 1-year
-79% from ATH
52-week range · 68% of the way up · -8% from the high
$57.05$74.84
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-20 (Wednesday, after close, in 82 days) · EPS est. 1.57.
1-day std dev
3.6%
Finished up
58%
Biggest pop
+11.3%
Biggest drop
-7.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | miss | 1.57 | 1.51 | -3.6% | -2.5% | +3.0% | +1.9% |
| 2026-07-22 | miss | 1.47 | 1.44 | -2.0% | -4.1% | -1.1% | +0.3% |
| 2026-04-22 | beat | 1.37 | 1.59 | +15.8% | +2.1% | +6.6% | +5.2% |
| 2026-01-21 | beat | 1.45 | 1.55 | +6.8% | -0.7% | +0.2% | -6.5% |
| 2025-10-15 | beat | 1.40 | 1.52 | +8.6% | +1.3% | -0.3% | +0.9% |
| 2025-07-16 | beat | 1.31 | 1.35 | +3.0% | -1.9% | +0.6% | -5.0% |
| 2025-04-16 | beat | 1.22 | 1.29 | +5.9% | -3.2% | +1.4% | +3.1% |
| 2025-01-22 | beat | 1.20 | 1.33 | +11.2% | +1.3% | +0.1% | +1.3% |
| 2024-10-16 | beat | 1.17 | 1.30 | +11.6% | +1.6% | +3.1% | -2.0% |
| 2024-07-17 | beat | 1.14 | 1.17 | +3.1% | +0.9% | -1.3% | +1.3% |
| 2024-04-17 | beat | 1.13 | 1.22 | +8.0% | -0.3% | +1.3% | +5.2% |
| 2024-01-18 | beat | 1.30 | 1.34 | +2.9% | -0.1% | -1.0% | -2.0% |
| 2023-10-18 | beat | 1.35 | 1.43 | +5.8% | +3.0% | +1.6% | -0.8% |
| 2023-07-19 | miss | 1.55 | 1.32 | -14.8% | -5.3% | -7.5% | -5.1% |
| 2023-04-19 | beat | 1.58 | 1.79 | +13.4% | +0.3% | -2.0% | -4.8% |
| 2023-01-19 | beat | 1.59 | 1.68 | +5.5% | +3.7% | +5.1% | +2.3% |
| 2022-10-19 | beat | 1.40 | 1.42 | +1.4% | +1.2% | +0.8% | +7.2% |
| 2022-07-20 | beat | 1.23 | 1.25 | +1.9% | +0.5% | -1.0% | +1.9% |
| 2022-04-20 | beat | 1.10 | 1.33 | +20.5% | +2.1% | -0.8% | -4.5% |
| 2022-01-20 | beat | 1.18 | 1.47 | +24.9% | -7.3% | -0.6% | -1.9% |
| 2021-10-20 | beat | 1.18 | 1.57 | +33.3% | +2.3% | +3.0% | +0.2% |
| 2021-07-21 | beat | 1.12 | 1.56 | +39.5% | +1.5% | -0.7% | +2.3% |
| 2021-04-21 | beat | 1.07 | 1.33 | +24.3% | +0.9% | -0.3% | +5.3% |
| 2021-01-21 | beat | 0.97 | 1.08 | +11.3% | +0.2% | +2.9% | -12.2% |
| 2020-10-21 | beat | 0.83 | 1.04 | +25.0% | +1.0% | +3.3% | -2.8% |
| 2020-07-22 | beat | 0.35 | 0.67 | +92.3% | +9.5% | +4.3% | -0.7% |
| 2020-04-27 | miss | 0.76 | 0.60 | -20.9% | -3.0% | +3.7% | -1.9% |
| 2020-01-23 | beat | 1.02 | 1.07 | +4.9% | -3.4% | -2.4% | -4.9% |
| 2019-10-23 | beat | 1.05 | 1.16 | +10.5% | +5.1% | -1.9% | -3.8% |
| 2019-07-24 | beat | 1.05 | 1.15 | +9.3% | +2.5% | +3.9% | +2.9% |
| 2019-04-24 | miss | 1.05 | 0.99 | -5.7% | -4.4% | -6.5% | -2.9% |
| 2019-01-23 | beat | 1.06 | 1.09 | +2.4% | +0.2% | -1.7% | -3.8% |
| 2018-10-24 | beat | 0.97 | 1.19 | +23.2% | +6.4% | +11.3% | +13.3% |
| 2018-07-25 | beat | 0.86 | 1.00 | +15.8% | +2.4% | +3.0% | +5.1% |
| 2018-04-23 | beat | 0.76 | 0.81 | +6.6% | +3.5% | +4.1% | +4.2% |
| 2018-01-24 | miss | 0.73 | 0.71 | -2.3% | -4.1% | -2.5% | -3.0% |
| 2017-10-25 | miss | 0.79 | 0.76 | -3.2% | -4.1% | -6.3% | -7.3% |
| 2017-07-26 | beat | 0.73 | 0.78 | +7.3% | +1.2% | +1.8% | -0.4% |
| 2017-04-24 | beat | 0.70 | 0.73 | +4.3% | +0.7% | +0.5% | -1.6% |
| 2017-01-25 | miss | 0.74 | 0.72 | -3.0% | +0.2% | -0.6% | -5.3% |
| 2016-10-26 | beat | 0.73 | 0.74 | +1.4% | -2.3% | -0.6% | -0.1% |
| 2016-07-26 | miss | 0.73 | 0.68 | -6.8% | -1.2% | -0.5% | -4.2% |
| 2016-04-25 | beat | 0.62 | 0.65 | +5.8% | +2.0% | +1.0% | -0.9% |
| 2016-01-27 | miss | 0.72 | 0.66 | -7.9% | -1.0% | -0.1% | -1.8% |
| 2015-10-21 | beat | 0.72 | 0.78 | +9.0% | -0.9% | +1.9% | +3.8% |
| 2015-07-20 | beat | 0.69 | 0.74 | +6.9% | +0.9% | +0.9% | -2.1% |
| 2015-04-20 | beat | 0.64 | 0.65 | +0.9% | +0.0% | -1.9% | +2.0% |
| 2015-01-21 | beat | 0.64 | 0.74 | +15.4% | +1.1% | +6.1% | +3.2% |
| 2014-10-22 | beat | 0.63 | 0.70 | +11.0% | +1.3% | +4.7% | +9.4% |
| 2014-07-23 | beat | 0.54 | 0.62 | +13.3% | +1.0% | +3.8% | +5.3% |
| 2014-04-21 | beat | 0.54 | 0.55 | +2.2% | +0.5% | +2.4% | -0.5% |
| 2014-01-22 | beat | 0.64 | 0.71 | +10.7% | -0.8% | -6.8% | -13.6% |
| 2013-10-23 | beat | 0.60 | 0.61 | +3.1% | +1.5% | +1.8% | +0.3% |
| 2013-07-24 | beat | 0.58 | 0.61 | +6.4% | +0.0% | -0.6% | +1.3% |
| 2013-04-22 | beat | 0.57 | 0.61 | +6.2% | +2.4% | +1.3% | +7.6% |
| 2013-01-23 | beat | 0.57 | 0.67 | +16.7% | -0.1% | -4.1% | -4.0% |
| 2012-10-24 | beat | 0.38 | 0.79 | +107.9% | +1.2% | +3.9% | +4.4% |
| 2012-07-25 | beat | 0.26 | 0.58 | +121.4% | +6.1% | +7.2% | +11.4% |
| 2012-04-23 | beat | 0.18 | 0.40 | +118.2% | +2.9% | +8.6% | +5.6% |
| 2012-01-25 | beat | 0.08 | 0.18 | +125.0% | +2.2% | +4.7% | +5.5% |
Not investment advice.
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