BCModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+0.7%
Next 1 month
+1.6%
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 85
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.08%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.63 +1.5% · Seasonal tilt (7y) +0.1%
$6M/day volume
24% volatility
-22% 1-year
-47% from ATH
52-week range · 20% of the way up · -26% from the high
$10.00$14.70
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-09 (Monday, after close, in 6 days) · EPS est. 0.43.
1-day std dev
2.0%
Finished up
65%
Biggest pop
+5.6%
Biggest drop
-3.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 31 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | beat | 0.42 | 0.44 | +3.9% | +1.2% | -0.8% | -6.8% |
| 2026-05-11 | miss | 0.42 | 0.42 | -0.8% | +2.3% | +1.5% | -1.4% |
| 2026-02-26 | miss | 0.47 | 0.46 | -2.1% | +0.8% | +1.3% | -0.7% |
| 2025-11-10 | 0.45 | 0.45 | — | -1.7% | -1.4% | -1.3% | |
| 2025-08-05 | beat | 0.44 | 0.47 | +6.8% | +1.7% | +2.6% | +3.2% |
| 2025-05-05 | beat | 0.47 | 0.50 | +5.6% | +0.3% | +0.6% | +1.6% |
| 2025-02-27 | beat | 0.47 | 0.52 | +9.9% | +0.4% | +3.2% | -4.9% |
| 2024-11-05 | beat | 0.50 | 0.53 | +5.3% | +3.0% | +2.4% | +3.0% |
| 2024-08-06 | miss | 0.52 | 0.51 | -1.3% | -0.3% | -2.5% | +0.4% |
| 2024-05-06 | miss | 0.55 | 0.53 | -3.6% | +0.6% | -1.5% | -1.3% |
| 2024-02-27 | miss | 0.53 | 0.51 | -4.1% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.8% |
| 2023-11-06 | beat | 0.54 | 0.55 | +1.7% | -1.3% | -2.6% | -3.0% |
| 2023-08-08 | beat | 0.50 | 0.60 | +21.1% | +0.3% | +2.1% | +1.3% |
| 2023-05-09 | beat | 0.40 | 0.50 | +24.8% | +5.2% | +5.6% | +9.3% |
| 2023-02-28 | miss | 0.41 | 0.37 | -9.4% | +1.9% | +1.3% | +1.7% |
| 2022-11-09 | beat | 0.35 | 0.53 | +52.9% | +1.3% | +3.8% | +6.9% |
| 2022-08-03 | beat | 0.34 | 0.41 | +18.9% | +1.1% | -1.1% | +1.4% |
| 2022-05-05 | miss | 0.34 | 0.34 | -0.2% | -0.5% | +0.8% | -3.1% |
| 2022-02-23 | beat | 0.34 | 0.34 | +0.6% | -2.7% | -3.0% | +1.9% |
| 2021-11-03 | 0.34 | 0.34 | — | +0.7% | +1.3% | +1.9% | |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | 0.34 | 0.34 | +0.1% | +0.7% | +0.3% | +2.6% |
| 2021-05-05 | miss | 0.34 | 0.34 | -0.2% | +3.0% | -0.4% | -1.6% |
| 2021-02-24 | miss | 0.33 | 0.33 | -1.4% | +1.0% | +0.2% | +5.4% |
| 2020-11-05 | miss | 0.34 | 0.33 | -3.7% | +1.5% | +0.9% | +6.9% |
| 2020-08-05 | beat | 0.37 | 0.37 | +0.7% | +2.9% | +2.1% | +5.0% |
| 2020-05-04 | beat | 0.41 | 0.44 | +7.6% | +1.3% | +2.4% | +12.0% |
| 2020-02-26 | beat | 0.41 | 0.41 | +1.0% | -0.8% | -0.2% | +1.0% |
| 2019-11-06 | miss | 0.41 | 0.41 | -0.2% | -0.2% | +1.2% | +1.2% |
| 2019-08-07 | miss | 0.42 | 0.41 | -1.9% | -0.2% | +0.6% | -0.8% |
| 2019-05-08 | miss | 0.41 | 0.41 | -0.3% | -0.5% | +1.0% | -2.6% |
| 2019-02-28 | beat | 0.40 | 0.42 | +6.0% | -1.4% | -3.4% | -7.9% |
Not investment advice.
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