BFModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.0%
Next 1 week
-0.1%
Next 1 month
-0.5%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +3.6% median,
83% of the last 12 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 23
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.05%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.32 -0.8% · Seasonal tilt +0.3%
$47M/day volume
47% volatility
-30% 1-year
-62% from ATH
52-week range · 22% of the way up · -37% from the high
$57.63$109.86
Congressional trades in BFAM Full tracker →
2 members · 7 buys / 6 sells · $125K–$400K disclosed · latest filing Dec 29, 2022.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-29 (Thursday, after close, in 0 days) · EPS est. 1.76.
1-day std dev
7.5%
Finished up
49%
Biggest pop
+18.4%
Biggest drop
-18.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 55 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | beat | 1.20 | 1.28 | +6.6% | -2.0% | -4.4% | -5.9% |
| 2026-05-05 | beat | 0.80 | 0.82 | +2.9% | -8.4% | -18.6% | -15.9% |
| 2026-02-12 | beat | 1.12 | 1.15 | +2.5% | -9.2% | -18.2% | -12.7% |
| 2025-10-30 | beat | 1.32 | 1.57 | +18.9% | +8.4% | +18.4% | +6.7% |
| 2025-07-31 | beat | 1.01 | 1.07 | +5.8% | +12.6% | +10.6% | +5.4% |
| 2025-05-05 | beat | 0.64 | 0.77 | +19.6% | -2.7% | -4.3% | -4.3% |
| 2025-02-13 | beat | 0.91 | 0.98 | +8.0% | +7.4% | +8.4% | +5.2% |
| 2024-11-04 | beat | 1.06 | 1.11 | +4.5% | -3.0% | -12.8% | -16.0% |
| 2024-08-01 | beat | 0.73 | 0.88 | +20.7% | +3.9% | +14.1% | +11.9% |
| 2024-05-02 | beat | 0.46 | 0.51 | +11.7% | +6.5% | +6.7% | +8.1% |
| 2024-02-13 | beat | 0.74 | 0.83 | +12.5% | +7.5% | +10.4% | +12.4% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | 0.82 | 0.88 | +7.5% | +4.0% | +9.1% | +11.0% |
| 2023-08-01 | beat | 0.61 | 0.64 | +5.5% | -2.7% | -0.5% | -1.7% |
| 2023-05-02 | beat | 0.39 | 0.49 | +25.9% | +3.9% | +10.5% | +21.3% |
| 2023-02-16 | beat | 0.76 | 0.77 | +1.6% | +0.6% | +10.7% | +8.7% |
| 2022-11-01 | beat | 0.64 | 0.66 | +3.2% | -3.2% | +1.0% | +4.2% |
| 2022-08-02 | beat | 0.70 | 0.71 | +1.7% | -5.0% | -12.8% | -17.8% |
| 2022-05-03 | beat | 0.42 | 0.47 | +12.9% | -3.0% | -7.7% | -28.2% |
| 2022-02-16 | miss | 0.67 | 0.65 | -2.9% | -6.2% | -2.4% | -2.3% |
| 2021-11-02 | beat | 0.63 | 0.64 | +1.7% | -10.7% | -12.2% | -16.2% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | 0.37 | 0.49 | +33.5% | +0.0% | +2.5% | +1.8% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | 0.14 | 0.23 | +63.9% | -1.1% | -7.2% | -10.6% |
| 2021-02-17 | beat | -0.23 | 0.36 | +258.4% | -4.3% | -8.2% | -10.6% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | -0.49 | 0.02 | +104.0% | -0.8% | -5.4% | +2.0% |
| 2020-08-05 | beat | -0.58 | 0.44 | +175.7% | +11.6% | +9.4% | +13.6% |
| 2020-05-06 | miss | 0.75 | 0.74 | -1.4% | +2.0% | -6.7% | -16.4% |
| 2020-02-13 | beat | 0.97 | 1.01 | +4.4% | +0.6% | -0.8% | -2.2% |
| 2019-10-30 | miss | 0.86 | 0.86 | -0.1% | +0.8% | +0.9% | -1.2% |
| 2019-08-01 | beat | 0.98 | 0.99 | +0.9% | -0.9% | -0.2% | +3.2% |
| 2019-04-30 | beat | 0.79 | 0.81 | +2.4% | +1.6% | +1.0% | +1.7% |
| 2019-02-12 | beat | 0.84 | 0.90 | +7.5% | +2.2% | +3.0% | +3.8% |
| 2018-11-01 | beat | 0.73 | 0.73 | +0.0% | -2.4% | +0.3% | +4.6% |
| 2018-08-02 | beat | 0.85 | 0.87 | +2.5% | -0.9% | +1.9% | +1.9% |
| 2018-04-30 | beat | 0.71 | 0.72 | +1.5% | -2.0% | +0.2% | +4.1% |
| 2018-02-08 | beat | 0.69 | 0.73 | +5.8% | +3.2% | +1.9% | +6.1% |
| 2017-11-01 | beat | 0.61 | 0.62 | +1.7% | +6.0% | +2.4% | +0.0% |
| 2017-08-01 | beat | 0.72 | 0.74 | +2.8% | +2.6% | -1.7% | -0.3% |
| 2017-05-04 | beat | 0.56 | 0.61 | +8.8% | +1.9% | +4.5% | +2.8% |
| 2017-02-09 | beat | 0.55 | 0.56 | +0.9% | -9.1% | -4.3% | -2.9% |
| 2016-11-01 | miss | 0.50 | 0.49 | -2.2% | -10.9% | -5.2% | +0.3% |
| 2016-08-03 | beat | 0.61 | 0.61 | +0.1% | -1.8% | -2.0% | +0.3% |
| 2016-05-03 | beat | 0.51 | 0.51 | +0.6% | -0.6% | +1.1% | -0.1% |
| 2016-02-08 | beat | 0.45 | 0.47 | +5.1% | +1.0% | -0.7% | +3.7% |
| 2015-11-05 | beat | 0.41 | 0.43 | +4.1% | -2.0% | +5.3% | +1.1% |
| 2015-08-04 | beat | 0.49 | 0.53 | +8.4% | +3.5% | +3.3% | +1.3% |
| 2015-04-30 | beat | 0.40 | 0.43 | +6.9% | -2.7% | +7.5% | +5.9% |
| 2015-02-12 | beat | 0.38 | 0.39 | +2.7% | +0.3% | +2.3% | +3.3% |
| 2014-11-04 | miss | 0.32 | 0.32 | -0.6% | +0.0% | -2.5% | -1.7% |
| 2014-08-07 | beat | 0.41 | 0.41 | +1.1% | -1.2% | -0.7% | +2.5% |
| 2014-05-01 | beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +4.6% | +0.6% | +0.0% | -4.4% |
| 2014-03-13 | beat | 0.30 | 0.32 | +7.1% | -2.6% | -0.2% | -0.4% |
| 2013-11-06 | beat | 0.28 | 0.28 | +1.8% | -0.5% | -0.2% | -3.7% |
| 2013-08-08 | beat | 0.32 | 0.35 | +9.8% | +0.7% | -0.6% | -3.3% |
| 2013-05-09 | beat | 0.23 | 0.25 | +11.1% | -0.5% | -1.5% | -1.4% |
| 2013-03-13 | beat | 0.14 | 0.56 | +308.3% | +1.7% | +10.1% | +18.4% |
Not investment advice.
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