BFModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.6%
Next 1 month
+1.4%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +2.3% median,
77% of the last 22 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 46
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.09%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.39 +0.9% · Seasonal tilt +0.4%
$12M/day volume
23% volatility
+20% 1-year
-6% from ATH
52-week range · 75% of the way up · -6% from the high
$119.08$159.10
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-21 (Thursday, after close, in 82 days) · EPS est. 2.64.
1-day std dev
3.0%
Finished up
64%
Biggest pop
+6.6%
Biggest drop
-10.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 36 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | miss | 2.60 | 2.35 | -9.6% | +0.3% | +1.6% | +1.9% |
| 2026-07-20 | beat | 2.28 | 2.45 | +7.5% | -0.5% | -0.2% | +3.7% |
| 2026-04-16 | miss | 2.19 | 1.78 | -18.5% | +0.7% | -1.3% | +1.1% |
| 2026-01-22 | beat | 1.77 | 1.87 | +6.0% | -0.3% | +1.1% | +2.7% |
| 2025-10-21 | beat | 1.81 | 1.91 | +5.5% | +0.5% | +4.0% | -2.2% |
| 2025-07-18 | miss | 1.81 | 1.66 | -8.3% | -1.4% | +0.3% | +0.4% |
| 2025-04-15 | beat | 1.62 | 1.74 | +7.7% | +1.3% | +4.2% | +9.2% |
| 2025-01-21 | beat | 1.58 | 1.74 | +10.1% | -1.1% | -0.7% | +1.9% |
| 2024-10-15 | beat | 1.54 | 1.65 | +7.1% | +1.9% | +3.1% | +2.1% |
| 2024-07-16 | beat | 1.44 | 1.56 | +8.3% | -2.1% | +0.5% | +3.9% |
| 2024-04-16 | beat | 1.47 | 1.51 | +3.1% | -3.4% | -2.6% | +0.2% |
| 2024-01-16 | beat | 1.41 | 1.44 | +2.1% | +0.1% | +4.5% | +12.6% |
| 2023-10-17 | beat | 1.42 | 1.46 | +2.8% | -0.4% | -1.6% | -4.2% |
| 2023-07-18 | miss | 1.41 | 1.37 | -2.5% | +1.3% | +0.0% | +2.6% |
| 2023-04-18 | miss | 1.44 | 1.09 | -24.0% | -0.5% | +0.9% | -0.3% |
| 2023-01-17 | miss | 1.70 | 1.43 | -15.9% | +1.0% | -6.5% | -8.0% |
| 2022-11-09 | miss | 1.66 | 1.26 | -24.1% | +1.2% | +5.1% | +4.7% |
| 2022-07-19 | beat | 1.49 | 1.55 | +4.4% | +1.0% | -0.2% | +1.1% |
| 2022-04-19 | miss | 1.39 | 1.34 | -3.6% | +0.3% | +2.2% | -1.2% |
| 2022-01-18 | beat | 1.41 | 1.55 | +10.3% | -0.3% | +1.4% | +1.1% |
| 2021-10-19 | beat | 1.42 | 1.46 | +2.8% | -0.8% | -0.9% | +0.5% |
| 2021-07-20 | beat | 1.38 | 1.50 | +9.1% | -0.9% | +1.7% | -0.6% |
| 2021-04-20 | beat | 1.47 | 1.49 | +1.4% | +1.2% | +3.0% | +3.3% |
| 2021-01-19 | beat | 1.33 | 1.49 | +12.4% | +0.1% | +1.5% | +0.7% |
| 2020-10-20 | beat | 1.10 | 1.42 | +29.7% | +1.4% | +1.5% | +2.3% |
| 2020-07-22 | beat | 0.80 | 1.11 | +39.6% | +0.2% | +2.2% | +2.6% |
| 2020-04-21 | miss | 1.03 | 1.02 | -1.0% | -2.1% | +6.6% | +9.4% |
| 2020-01-20 | beat | 1.04 | 1.06 | +1.9% | +0.6% | +2.8% | -0.8% |
| 2019-10-16 | beat | 0.80 | 1.04 | +30.8% | +0.0% | +1.9% | +3.8% |
| 2019-07-18 | miss | 0.96 | 0.90 | -5.8% | -2.7% | -10.5% | -11.8% |
| 2019-04-17 | beat | 0.92 | 1.00 | +8.7% | +0.7% | +0.7% | +2.0% |
| 2019-01-23 | beat | 0.88 | 0.91 | +3.4% | -0.7% | +2.2% | +6.6% |
| 2018-10-15 | 0.89 | 0.89 | — | -0.2% | -0.2% | -6.2% | |
| 2018-07-17 | beat | 0.93 | 0.96 | +3.2% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% |
| 2018-04-16 | beat | 0.93 | 1.05 | +12.9% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +2.0% |
| 2018-01-16 | miss | 0.67 | 0.50 | -25.4% | +0.0% | +0.9% | +3.2% |
Not investment advice.
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