BHModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.5%
Next 1 month
+1.7%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +3.5% median,
61% of the last 28 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 32
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.14%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.36 +0.9% · Seasonal tilt +0.9%
$3M/day volume
23% volatility
+38% 1-year
-2% from ATH
52-week range · 93% of the way up · -2% from the high
$28.50$41.31
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-21 (Thursday, after close, in 82 days) · EPS est. 0.95.
1-day std dev
2.7%
Finished up
58%
Biggest pop
+8.3%
Biggest drop
-5.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 50 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | beat | 0.93 | 1.04 | +11.8% | +2.6% | +2.5% | +2.5% |
| 2026-07-21 | beat | 0.90 | 0.92 | +2.2% | +2.2% | +0.6% | +4.4% |
| 2026-04-21 | beat | 0.86 | 0.88 | +2.3% | +2.8% | +0.9% | +1.4% |
| 2026-01-22 | beat | 0.88 | 0.93 | +5.7% | +1.4% | -2.5% | -1.8% |
| 2025-10-21 | beat | 0.83 | 0.95 | +14.5% | +0.9% | +2.6% | -0.9% |
| 2025-07-22 | beat | 0.69 | 0.70 | +1.4% | +2.9% | -2.3% | -7.3% |
| 2025-04-17 | beat | 0.68 | 0.68 | +0.7% | -5.1% | -3.2% | +1.0% |
| 2025-01-23 | beat | 0.69 | 0.72 | +5.1% | -0.8% | +0.0% | +1.9% |
| 2024-10-22 | beat | 0.68 | 0.80 | +18.5% | +1.0% | +8.3% | +8.2% |
| 2024-07-18 | beat | 0.66 | 0.66 | +0.8% | +1.2% | -0.8% | +7.1% |
| 2024-04-18 | beat | 0.65 | 0.66 | +2.3% | -0.2% | +6.8% | +6.9% |
| 2024-01-23 | beat | 0.67 | 0.68 | +2.3% | -0.4% | -2.4% | -4.7% |
| 2023-10-17 | beat | 0.67 | 0.73 | +9.0% | +1.3% | +1.3% | -1.8% |
| 2023-07-20 | beat | 0.68 | 0.71 | +4.4% | +1.8% | -3.1% | +2.0% |
| 2023-04-20 | beat | 0.80 | 0.86 | +7.5% | -0.8% | -5.3% | -5.0% |
| 2023-01-19 | beat | 0.82 | 0.83 | +1.2% | +4.2% | +2.6% | -0.3% |
| 2022-10-19 | beat | 0.75 | 0.76 | +1.3% | -0.4% | +4.6% | +6.4% |
| 2022-07-21 | beat | 0.70 | 0.70 | +0.7% | -0.5% | -1.6% | +2.2% |
| 2022-05-05 | miss | 0.66 | 0.62 | -5.3% | -0.2% | -1.2% | -3.3% |
| 2022-01-20 | beat | 0.67 | 0.68 | +1.5% | -2.2% | +0.1% | -0.7% |
| 2021-10-21 | beat | 0.63 | 0.73 | +15.9% | +1.3% | +3.3% | +4.6% |
| 2021-07-21 | beat | 0.59 | 0.63 | +6.8% | +0.5% | +2.1% | +4.3% |
| 2016-10-27 | miss | 0.46 | 0.39 | -14.5% | -0.2% | +0.3% | +0.9% |
| 2016-07-28 | beat | 0.42 | 0.47 | +12.7% | +0.7% | -1.1% | -3.8% |
| 2016-04-28 | beat | 0.41 | 0.48 | +18.0% | +1.4% | +1.3% | -5.3% |
| 2016-01-28 | miss | 0.39 | 0.38 | -3.4% | +0.7% | +8.1% | -2.0% |
| 2015-10-29 | beat | 0.42 | 0.43 | +3.2% | +0.7% | +1.5% | +2.4% |
| 2015-07-29 | beat | 0.40 | 0.43 | +6.7% | +0.8% | -1.0% | -2.2% |
| 2015-04-29 | beat | 0.39 | 0.43 | +10.3% | +0.0% | +2.8% | +2.0% |
| 2015-02-02 | miss | 0.39 | 0.35 | -10.3% | +0.6% | +0.7% | +3.0% |
| 2014-10-30 | beat | 0.41 | 0.43 | +4.8% | +1.8% | +2.1% | +5.3% |
| 2014-07-30 | beat | 0.38 | 0.43 | +14.0% | +0.0% | -1.8% | -4.3% |
| 2014-04-29 | beat | 0.35 | 0.42 | +20.2% | +1.0% | +2.4% | +3.3% |
| 2014-02-03 | beat | 0.33 | 0.36 | +9.3% | +0.8% | +1.0% | +0.3% |
| 2013-10-29 | beat | 0.37 | 0.40 | +7.2% | +0.2% | -1.2% | -4.5% |
| 2013-07-30 | miss | 0.37 | 0.36 | -3.6% | -0.7% | -0.1% | -2.2% |
| 2013-04-29 | beat | 0.34 | 0.36 | +6.5% | +0.1% | +0.1% | -0.3% |
| 2013-01-31 | miss | 0.36 | 0.32 | -8.8% | +0.2% | +1.1% | -0.1% |
| 2012-10-25 | beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +7.5% | +1.5% | -0.3% | -0.8% |
| 2012-07-26 | miss | 0.37 | 0.35 | -4.8% | +1.8% | -2.3% | +0.4% |
| 2012-04-25 | beat | 0.32 | 0.36 | +12.5% | +0.2% | +0.2% | -2.5% |
| 2012-01-31 | miss | 0.31 | 0.27 | -12.9% | +0.8% | +0.8% | +1.6% |
| 2011-10-26 | beat | 0.34 | 0.34 | +1.5% | +0.6% | +0.6% | -0.9% |
| 2011-07-28 | miss | 0.36 | 0.32 | -11.0% | -0.5% | -0.2% | +1.5% |
| 2011-04-28 | beat | 0.27 | 0.33 | +22.1% | +0.1% | -0.6% | -0.6% |
| 2011-01-31 | miss | 0.32 | 0.24 | -26.0% | -1.4% | -0.4% | -0.2% |
| 2010-10-29 | beat | 0.33 | 0.33 | +2.0% | +1.9% | +3.5% | +0.8% |
| 2010-08-02 | miss | 0.34 | 0.32 | -6.6% | +2.2% | +2.2% | +5.4% |
| 2010-04-30 | miss | 0.29 | 0.28 | -4.5% | -0.2% | +2.0% | -0.8% |
| 2010-02-01 | miss | 0.37 | 0.23 | -38.5% | -1.7% | -0.3% | -1.1% |
Not investment advice.
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