BKModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.5%
Next 1 week
+0.4%
Next 1 month
-1.8%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -5.6% median,
43% of the last 28 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 13
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +1.17%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.72 -1.7% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$25M/day volume
170% volatility
-68% 1-year
52-week range · 7% of the way up · -82% from the high
$1.55$13.80
Earnings Full history →
No scheduled report date yet.
1-day std dev
9.1%
Finished up
29%
Biggest pop
+21.1%
Biggest drop
-23.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 35 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | beat | -0.82 | -0.54 | +34.6% | -16.7% | -15.6% | -18.6% |
| 2026-05-18 | beat | -0.60 | -0.13 | +77.6% | -3.5% | +0.5% | +3.5% |
| 2025-11-14 | miss | -1.20 | -1.49 | -23.8% | -2.1% | -2.1% | -9.3% |
| 2025-08-13 | miss | -1.50 | -2.00 | -33.5% | -4.9% | -2.5% | -8.6% |
| 2025-05-15 | beat | -2.40 | -1.45 | +39.5% | +3.5% | -2.4% | -7.1% |
| 2025-03-27 | miss | -3.50 | -5.30 | -51.4% | -12.5% | -23.2% | -35.7% |
| 2024-11-14 | beat | -5.80 | -3.90 | +32.8% | -1.0% | -7.8% | -13.7% |
| 2024-08-14 | miss | -5.40 | -10.00 | -85.2% | -3.6% | -10.7% | -2.1% |
| 2023-10-25 | beat | -43.20 | -14.40 | +66.7% | +5.3% | +21.1% | +0.0% |
| 2023-08-14 | beat | -32.40 | -28.80 | +11.1% | +0.0% | -1.6% | -6.2% |
| 2023-06-09 | beat | -48.60 | -9.16 | +81.2% | +2.8% | +4.2% | +4.2% |
| 2023-06-01 | miss | -48.60 | -70.64 | -45.4% | +0.0% | -2.6% | -7.7% |
| 2022-11-14 | miss | -28.80 | -50.85 | -76.6% | -6.4% | -23.7% | -30.8% |
| 2022-08-17 | miss | -14.40 | -36.34 | -152.4% | +4.2% | +4.8% | +2.4% |
| 2022-05-23 | beat | -39.60 | -23.40 | +40.9% | -2.6% | -1.1% | -0.5% |
| 2022-04-01 | miss | -27.00 | -45.09 | -67.0% | +1.7% | -2.1% | -9.2% |
| 2021-11-15 | miss | -19.80 | -22.30 | -12.6% | -2.3% | -9.4% | -15.8% |
| 2021-08-16 | miss | -18.00 | -25.94 | -44.1% | -6.2% | -5.6% | +1.3% |
| 2021-05-17 | beat | -28.80 | -16.38 | +43.1% | +0.9% | +3.0% | +16.7% |
| 2021-03-29 | miss | -28.80 | -43.96 | -52.6% | +0.0% | -0.9% | +4.1% |
| 2020-11-16 | miss | -14.40 | -92.16 | -540.0% | +0.0% | +2.4% | +3.0% |
| 2020-08-14 | beat | -57.60 | -54.09 | +6.1% | +1.4% | +0.0% | -14.9% |
| 2020-06-08 | miss | -86.40 | -282.10 | -226.5% | +4.2% | -2.1% | -9.5% |
| 2020-05-14 | miss | -43.20 | -232.70 | -438.7% | -20.7% | -21.7% | -20.7% |
| 2019-11-14 | miss | -72.00 | -141.84 | -97.0% | -1.9% | +1.9% | -17.3% |
| 2019-08-14 | miss | -72.00 | -99.50 | -38.2% | +9.0% | +1.1% | -11.2% |
| 2019-05-15 | — | -98.78 | — | -18.3% | -6.9% | -16.0% | |
| 2019-04-01 | miss | 57.60 | -176.11 | -405.8% | -8.5% | -3.5% | -3.5% |
| 2018-11-14 | — | -331.20 | — | +14.2% | +6.2% | +11.5% | |
| 2018-08-14 | miss | -86.40 | -216.00 | -150.0% | -19.1% | -6.6% | +14.2% |
| 2018-05-15 | miss | -288.00 | -432.00 | -50.0% | -1.7% | -11.2% | -3.0% |
| 2018-03-29 | beat | -28.80 | 57.60 | +300.0% | +1.5% | +9.1% | +21.8% |
| 2017-11-14 | miss | -244.80 | -403.20 | -64.7% | -1.1% | -10.1% | -10.1% |
| 2017-08-14 | miss | -316.80 | -460.80 | -45.5% | +1.9% | -5.8% | -6.9% |
| 2016-11-14 | miss | -172.80 | -345.60 | -100.0% | +0.0% | -16.7% | -4.2% |
Not investment advice.
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