BLModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+1.5%
Next 1 month
+2.9%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +1.8% median,
69% of the last 13 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 78
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.19%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.26 +3.0% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$25M/day volume
80% volatility
+43% 1-year
-68% from ATH
52-week range · 72% of the way up · -16% from the high
$5.19$12.63
Congressional trades in BLMN Full tracker →
1 member · 2 buys / 2 sells · $4K–$60K disclosed · latest filing Mar 3, 2016.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-06 (Friday, before open, in 6 days) · EPS est. -0.24.
1-day std dev
11.2%
Finished up
54%
Biggest pop
+41.0%
Biggest drop
-30.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 56 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 0.29 | 0.39 | +35.1% | +35.9% | +32.8% | +27.7% |
| 2026-05-06 | beat | 0.57 | 0.67 | +18.4% | +22.6% | +41.0% | +43.8% |
| 2026-02-25 | beat | 0.24 | 0.26 | +6.5% | +6.8% | -2.7% | +11.9% |
| 2025-11-06 | beat | -0.13 | -0.03 | +76.0% | +8.7% | -11.5% | -6.1% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | 0.29 | 0.33 | +13.1% | -6.1% | -30.6% | -20.2% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +1.7% | +6.1% | -8.4% | +9.7% |
| 2025-02-26 | miss | 0.37 | 0.22 | -39.7% | -5.3% | -16.8% | -27.3% |
| 2024-11-08 | beat | 0.20 | 0.21 | +4.0% | -10.6% | -9.7% | -21.3% |
| 2024-08-06 | miss | 0.58 | 0.51 | -12.0% | +0.0% | -7.2% | -10.9% |
| 2024-05-07 | miss | 0.74 | 0.70 | -5.9% | -3.2% | -4.0% | -3.2% |
| 2024-02-23 | beat | 0.69 | 0.75 | +8.6% | -1.0% | +2.9% | +5.2% |
| 2023-11-03 | beat | 0.41 | 0.44 | +6.4% | -3.3% | +0.3% | -3.5% |
| 2023-08-01 | beat | 0.64 | 0.70 | +9.3% | +2.0% | -3.2% | -4.1% |
| 2023-04-28 | beat | 0.89 | 0.98 | +10.1% | +4.4% | +5.1% | +2.3% |
| 2023-02-16 | beat | 0.64 | 0.68 | +6.5% | +2.5% | +8.2% | +8.8% |
| 2022-10-28 | beat | 0.34 | 0.35 | +3.6% | +1.3% | +4.0% | +3.5% |
| 2022-07-29 | beat | 0.62 | 0.68 | +9.2% | +1.1% | +3.1% | +3.2% |
| 2022-04-29 | beat | 0.74 | 0.80 | +7.8% | +6.8% | +0.0% | +0.4% |
| 2022-02-18 | beat | 0.52 | 0.60 | +14.4% | +8.6% | +7.6% | +9.4% |
| 2021-11-02 | beat | 0.54 | 0.57 | +5.1% | -7.4% | -10.2% | -2.7% |
| 2021-07-30 | beat | 0.68 | 0.81 | +19.3% | +0.5% | -0.2% | +2.6% |
| 2021-04-29 | beat | 0.32 | 0.72 | +124.3% | +4.2% | +8.9% | +2.7% |
| 2021-02-18 | beat | -0.01 | 0.02 | +253.7% | -2.8% | +7.5% | +11.4% |
| 2020-10-23 | beat | -0.32 | -0.12 | +62.3% | -0.5% | -8.3% | -21.2% |
| 2020-07-24 | beat | -1.16 | -0.74 | +36.3% | +3.6% | +7.4% | +7.1% |
| 2020-05-05 | miss | 0.22 | 0.14 | -35.0% | -7.3% | -8.7% | -1.5% |
| 2020-02-18 | miss | 0.35 | 0.32 | -8.6% | -2.5% | +3.6% | -0.2% |
| 2019-11-06 | miss | 0.10 | 0.10 | -0.5% | +7.4% | +11.1% | +10.7% |
| 2019-07-31 | beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +3.3% | -1.0% | -4.4% | -7.4% |
| 2019-04-26 | beat | 0.73 | 0.75 | +3.4% | +4.4% | +7.0% | +0.7% |
| 2019-02-14 | beat | 0.26 | 0.30 | +14.8% | +6.1% | +8.9% | +13.5% |
| 2018-10-29 | beat | 0.09 | 0.10 | +17.6% | +7.9% | +1.8% | +12.4% |
| 2018-07-30 | beat | 0.29 | 0.38 | +29.2% | +10.7% | -0.2% | -5.7% |
| 2018-04-26 | beat | 0.58 | 0.71 | +22.2% | +4.3% | +2.2% | +3.4% |
| 2018-02-22 | beat | 0.39 | 0.41 | +5.1% | +4.5% | +7.9% | +4.5% |
| 2017-11-03 | miss | 0.16 | 0.12 | -23.4% | +1.2% | +0.0% | -1.8% |
| 2017-07-26 | beat | 0.28 | 0.28 | +1.1% | -3.6% | -10.8% | -16.5% |
| 2017-04-26 | beat | 0.52 | 0.54 | +3.5% | +2.5% | +5.9% | +10.0% |
| 2017-02-17 | miss | 0.31 | 0.31 | -1.5% | +2.3% | +5.3% | -3.3% |
| 2016-10-28 | beat | 0.20 | 0.20 | +2.0% | -5.4% | +2.2% | -0.1% |
| 2016-07-29 | beat | 0.30 | 0.30 | +1.6% | -2.4% | -5.1% | -2.8% |
| 2016-04-26 | miss | 0.50 | 0.47 | -5.5% | +3.0% | +8.5% | +8.9% |
| 2016-02-17 | beat | 0.29 | 0.30 | +2.0% | +1.8% | -10.7% | -0.1% |
| 2015-11-03 | beat | 0.14 | 0.15 | +8.6% | -2.0% | +1.6% | -5.0% |
| 2015-08-04 | beat | 0.27 | 0.28 | +2.4% | +2.0% | +2.3% | -5.0% |
| 2015-05-05 | beat | 0.53 | 0.54 | +1.3% | -0.5% | -6.3% | -4.8% |
| 2015-02-19 | beat | 0.27 | 0.28 | +3.6% | -2.1% | +0.1% | -0.4% |
| 2014-11-04 | beat | 0.08 | 0.10 | +31.3% | +10.0% | +9.7% | +13.3% |
| 2014-08-05 | miss | 0.29 | 0.27 | -7.9% | -12.9% | -24.0% | -17.9% |
| 2014-05-09 | miss | 0.47 | 0.46 | -3.0% | -2.5% | -2.5% | +0.7% |
| 2014-02-25 | beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +3.9% | +3.7% | +14.2% | +7.5% |
| 2013-11-05 | beat | 0.10 | 0.10 | +4.3% | -1.3% | -0.9% | -0.5% |
| 2013-07-31 | beat | 0.22 | 0.25 | +11.1% | +5.9% | +5.9% | +4.9% |
| 2013-04-30 | beat | 0.44 | 0.50 | +13.6% | +0.6% | -4.4% | -1.1% |
| 2013-02-21 | beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +5.6% | +0.2% | -5.0% | -6.1% |
| 2012-11-07 | beat | -0.01 | 0.08 | +1303.0% | +7.1% | +12.6% | +7.6% |
Not investment advice.
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