BNModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+1.0%
Next 1 month
+3.8%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): +13.0% median,
80% of the last 10 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 3
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.41%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.58 +3.8%
$3M/day volume
66% volatility
+40% 1-year
52-week range · 76% of the way up · -14% from the high
$5.90$14.75
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-12-10 (Thursday, after close, in 38 days) · EPS est. 0.84.
1-day std dev
13.9%
Finished up
40%
Biggest pop
+22.9%
Biggest drop
-32.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 42 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | beat | -0.50 | -0.37 | +26.7% | -3.7% | -11.6% | -14.5% |
| 2026-07-09 | beat | 0.09 | 0.10 | +11.1% | +0.8% | +13.0% | +10.3% |
| 2025-09-17 | -0.81 | — | — | +0.6% | +3.4% | +6.1% | |
| 2025-03-10 | beat | 0.12 | 0.12 | +3.8% | +4.4% | +1.4% | +12.5% |
| 2024-12-09 | miss | 60.00 | 1.87 | -96.9% | +1.4% | +9.6% | +13.5% |
| 2024-09-10 | beat | -81.00 | -3.07 | +96.2% | -0.1% | +2.3% | +9.9% |
| 2024-07-01 | beat | -38.00 | -7.10 | +81.3% | +3.4% | +11.3% | +16.3% |
| 2024-03-12 | miss | 1.00 | -1.30 | -230.0% | +14.5% | +1.8% | -0.6% |
| 2023-12-06 | beat | 43.50 | 46.00 | +5.8% | +24.3% | +21.0% | +25.7% |
| 2023-09-06 | miss | -79.00 | -86.13 | -9.0% | +7.4% | -2.5% | -17.4% |
| 2023-08-04 | miss | -66.00 | -69.41 | -5.2% | +0.6% | +0.0% | +0.0% |
| 2023-03-09 | miss | -7.50 | -21.63 | -188.4% | +20.9% | +7.0% | -4.1% |
| 2022-12-06 | miss | 76.50 | 45.16 | -41.0% | -5.9% | -27.5% | -35.7% |
| 2022-08-31 | miss | -57.50 | -97.28 | -69.2% | -15.5% | +13.3% | +27.9% |
| 2022-06-29 | miss | -17.50 | -21.00 | -20.0% | -12.1% | -2.4% | +2.4% |
| 2022-03-08 | miss | -19.00 | -71.00 | -273.7% | -10.9% | -18.8% | -14.4% |
| 2021-11-30 | miss | 58.00 | 41.00 | -29.3% | -19.1% | -20.9% | -17.8% |
| 2021-09-02 | beat | -89.50 | -86.00 | +3.9% | +5.2% | +13.3% | +20.5% |
| 2021-06-29 | miss | -57.00 | -86.00 | -50.9% | -2.0% | -16.8% | -4.2% |
| 2021-03-09 | miss | -38.00 | -96.00 | -152.6% | -8.4% | -3.6% | +19.7% |
| 2020-12-08 | beat | -46.50 | 22.41 | +148.2% | +6.6% | +9.2% | +8.4% |
| 2020-09-02 | miss | -78.00 | -86.17 | -10.5% | -13.9% | -2.2% | +11.3% |
| 2020-07-14 | miss | -35.00 | -58.26 | -66.5% | +1.0% | -11.3% | +6.9% |
| 2020-03-03 | beat | -16.00 | -1.55 | +90.3% | -10.0% | -7.1% | -7.1% |
| 2019-12-04 | miss | 95.33 | 77.60 | -18.6% | -16.0% | -20.8% | -9.0% |
| 2019-08-27 | beat | -73.00 | -63.21 | +13.4% | +5.3% | +2.3% | +8.2% |
| 2019-06-25 | beat | -2.00 | 1.02 | +151.0% | +4.4% | +5.4% | +5.7% |
| 2019-03-05 | miss | 10.50 | 2.00 | -81.0% | -12.1% | -32.2% | -35.8% |
| 2018-12-04 | beat | 120.50 | 125.00 | +3.7% | -7.0% | -30.7% | -28.7% |
| 2018-08-22 | miss | -65.00 | -82.00 | -26.1% | -10.1% | -15.9% | -6.9% |
| 2018-06-20 | beat | -1.50 | 36.00 | +2500.0% | +7.2% | +13.3% | -13.3% |
| 2018-03-01 | beat | 7.00 | 41.87 | +498.1% | +2.7% | +0.7% | -8.2% |
| 2017-12-05 | beat | 91.00 | 106.19 | +16.7% | +10.2% | +22.9% | +33.9% |
| 2017-08-30 | miss | -48.50 | -64.01 | -32.0% | -7.3% | -17.7% | -22.0% |
| 2017-07-12 | miss | 20.90 | — | -100.0% | +8.1% | -11.5% | -22.3% |
| 2017-02-28 | miss | 15.00 | 8.64 | -42.4% | -4.4% | -5.0% | -9.3% |
| 2016-12-06 | miss | 80.50 | 63.67 | -20.9% | -12.5% | -14.2% | +5.4% |
| 2016-09-08 | miss | -59.50 | -60.00 | -0.8% | -3.8% | -9.0% | -20.3% |
| 2016-06-28 | beat | -10.00 | 7.00 | +170.0% | +1.1% | -1.8% | +9.4% |
| 2016-03-08 | miss | 11.00 | 10.16 | -7.6% | +1.6% | -14.9% | -14.2% |
| 2015-12-08 | miss | 89.00 | 69.00 | -22.5% | -14.5% | -27.3% | -29.5% |
| 2015-09-09 | miss | -64.00 | -65.00 | -1.6% | +7.0% | -2.3% | -1.8% |
Not investment advice.
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