BNModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.2%
Next 1 week
+1.3%
Next 1 month
+2.5%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): -9.6% median,
18% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 38
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.44%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.54 +3.7% · Seasonal tilt (11y) -1.2%
$2M/day volume
60% volatility
-46% 1-year
52-week range · 10% of the way up · -48% from the high
$7.89$16.68
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-12 (Thursday, after close, in 10 days) · EPS est. -0.29.
1-day std dev
6.3%
Finished up
45%
Biggest pop
+16.0%
Biggest drop
-12.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 20 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | beat | -0.26 | -0.26 | +1.9% | +0.2% | -8.5% | -9.4% |
| 2026-05-14 | beat | -0.28 | -0.24 | +12.7% | -0.9% | +1.7% | -2.5% |
| 2026-02-12 | miss | -0.23 | -0.26 | -15.0% | +0.3% | -2.7% | -8.7% |
| 2025-11-14 | beat | -0.36 | -0.22 | +38.2% | +1.1% | +2.8% | -0.7% |
| 2025-09-22 | miss | -0.31 | -0.42 | -34.2% | -1.1% | -2.1% | +3.8% |
| 2025-05-14 | beat | -0.35 | -0.24 | +31.1% | -1.9% | +3.0% | +3.7% |
| 2025-02-14 | beat | -0.78 | -0.33 | +57.5% | +5.2% | +16.0% | +8.6% |
| 2024-11-14 | beat | -0.55 | -0.48 | +12.7% | -0.9% | +2.7% | +0.9% |
| 2024-05-13 | miss | -0.78 | -1.64 | -110.3% | -8.0% | -12.2% | +13.2% |
| 2024-02-13 | miss | -0.39 | -2.64 | -576.9% | -1.4% | +0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2023-11-13 | miss | -0.51 | -2.76 | -441.2% | +6.8% | +1.2% | +2.9% |
| 2023-05-15 | beat | -3.40 | -2.72 | +20.0% | -0.9% | +0.9% | -5.7% |
| 2023-02-13 | miss | -1.87 | -3.40 | -81.8% | -3.7% | +0.0% | -5.2% |
| 2022-11-10 | miss | -4.25 | -7.99 | -88.0% | +0.7% | +5.4% | +29.5% |
| 2022-09-02 | miss | -4.76 | -10.54 | -121.4% | +0.6% | -3.5% | -10.6% |
| 2022-05-16 | beat | -7.48 | -6.80 | +9.1% | +2.2% | -8.8% | -15.5% |
| 2021-02-09 | miss | -12.75 | -12.92 | -1.3% | -2.0% | +2.6% | +12.6% |
| 2020-11-13 | miss | -15.64 | -41.65 | -166.3% | -2.4% | -2.9% | -2.7% |
| 2020-10-06 | miss | -0.10 | -46.58 | -45566.7% | -1.2% | -4.1% | -8.4% |
| 2020-08-14 | miss | -0.10 | -33.32 | -32566.7% | -2.3% | -9.6% | -10.6% |
Not investment advice.
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