BNModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+1.3%
Next 1 month
+2.0%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +3.3% median,
63% of the last 52 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 28
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.08%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.75 +1.8% · Seasonal tilt +0.2%
$520M/day volume
22% volatility
+37% 1-year
-11% from ATH
52-week range · 69% of the way up · -11% from the high
$105.42$165.84
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-15 (Friday, before open, in 77 days) · EPS est. 2.35.
1-day std dev
3.8%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+8.0%
Biggest drop
-9.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | beat | 2.26 | 2.37 | +4.8% | +1.6% | +3.2% | +5.6% |
| 2026-07-15 | beat | 2.22 | 2.46 | +10.7% | +1.3% | +5.1% | +3.8% |
| 2026-04-16 | beat | 1.93 | 2.25 | +16.5% | +2.1% | +2.2% | +2.6% |
| 2026-01-13 | beat | 1.90 | 2.02 | +6.3% | +0.5% | +1.9% | -0.7% |
| 2025-10-16 | beat | 1.76 | 1.88 | +6.7% | -1.1% | -2.0% | -2.1% |
| 2025-07-15 | beat | 1.76 | 1.94 | +10.1% | -1.6% | -0.1% | +3.8% |
| 2025-04-11 | beat | 1.49 | 1.58 | +5.9% | -3.9% | +1.4% | -3.4% |
| 2025-01-15 | beat | 1.57 | 1.72 | +9.8% | +4.2% | +8.0% | +11.6% |
| 2024-10-11 | beat | 1.42 | 1.52 | +6.9% | +1.0% | -0.4% | +3.0% |
| 2024-07-12 | beat | 1.43 | 1.51 | +5.8% | +2.7% | +5.2% | +2.0% |
| 2024-04-16 | beat | 1.19 | 1.29 | +8.5% | +0.5% | -2.0% | +4.3% |
| 2024-01-12 | beat | 1.12 | 1.28 | +14.0% | +4.3% | +4.0% | +4.0% |
| 2023-10-17 | beat | 1.14 | 1.27 | +11.6% | -2.0% | +3.8% | -0.2% |
| 2023-07-18 | beat | 1.22 | 1.38 | +13.5% | +0.5% | +4.1% | +2.9% |
| 2023-04-18 | beat | 1.11 | 1.13 | +1.7% | -0.8% | +1.5% | -3.9% |
| 2023-01-13 | beat | 1.24 | 1.30 | +4.7% | -1.0% | +1.8% | +2.5% |
| 2022-10-17 | beat | 1.08 | 1.21 | +11.7% | +2.8% | +5.1% | +6.3% |
| 2022-07-15 | beat | 1.11 | 1.15 | +3.5% | +3.2% | +7.3% | +5.6% |
| 2022-04-18 | beat | 0.86 | 0.94 | +9.9% | -3.6% | -2.3% | -6.2% |
| 2022-01-18 | beat | 1.01 | 1.04 | +2.7% | -3.0% | -1.1% | -7.2% |
| 2021-10-19 | beat | 1.00 | 1.04 | +3.5% | -2.5% | +0.4% | +2.9% |
| 2021-07-15 | beat | 1.00 | 1.13 | +12.7% | -2.0% | -1.2% | +1.1% |
| 2021-04-16 | beat | 0.86 | 0.97 | +12.3% | -2.0% | -4.0% | -0.9% |
| 2021-01-20 | beat | 0.91 | 0.96 | +5.2% | -4.6% | -7.3% | -13.1% |
| 2020-10-16 | beat | 0.94 | 0.98 | +3.8% | +2.6% | +2.1% | +1.2% |
| 2020-07-15 | beat | 0.92 | 1.01 | +9.6% | -5.2% | -5.4% | -7.5% |
| 2020-04-16 | beat | 0.91 | 1.05 | +15.4% | +7.5% | +4.4% | +2.0% |
| 2020-01-16 | beat | 1.00 | 1.01 | +0.8% | -7.8% | -7.8% | -9.4% |
| 2019-10-16 | beat | 0.99 | 1.07 | +8.2% | +1.4% | +0.2% | +5.3% |
| 2019-07-17 | beat | 0.96 | 1.01 | +5.8% | +0.6% | +2.3% | +9.3% |
| 2019-04-17 | miss | 0.96 | 0.94 | -2.2% | -7.0% | -9.5% | -9.2% |
| 2019-01-16 | beat | 0.92 | 0.99 | +7.3% | +1.4% | +2.1% | +8.7% |
| 2018-10-18 | beat | 1.04 | 1.06 | +2.2% | -3.2% | -2.8% | -6.1% |
| 2018-07-19 | beat | 1.02 | 1.03 | +1.0% | -2.3% | -5.2% | -4.0% |
| 2018-04-19 | beat | 0.96 | 1.10 | +14.5% | +2.8% | +5.7% | +6.1% |
| 2018-01-18 | beat | 0.91 | 0.91 | +0.4% | -4.3% | -4.4% | -1.8% |
| 2017-10-19 | beat | 0.92 | 0.94 | +1.7% | -0.8% | -3.0% | -4.1% |
| 2017-07-20 | beat | 0.85 | 0.88 | +4.0% | +0.9% | +1.6% | -0.4% |
| 2017-04-20 | beat | 0.80 | 0.83 | +4.2% | +0.9% | -0.4% | +0.8% |
| 2017-01-19 | miss | 0.77 | 0.77 | -0.4% | +0.3% | -3.0% | -2.7% |
| 2016-10-20 | beat | 0.81 | 0.90 | +11.1% | +2.8% | +4.5% | +8.1% |
| 2016-07-21 | beat | 0.75 | 0.76 | +1.1% | -1.4% | -3.5% | -0.4% |
| 2016-04-21 | beat | 0.68 | 0.74 | +9.5% | +1.1% | +2.5% | +2.3% |
| 2016-01-21 | beat | 0.64 | 0.68 | +6.3% | +0.7% | -3.3% | -0.3% |
| 2015-10-20 | beat | 0.71 | 0.74 | +4.7% | +2.1% | +2.7% | +3.8% |
| 2015-07-21 | beat | 0.66 | 0.77 | +16.7% | +1.4% | +2.7% | +1.4% |
| 2015-04-22 | beat | 0.60 | 0.67 | +12.2% | +1.7% | +3.4% | +4.4% |
| 2015-01-23 | miss | 0.60 | 0.58 | -2.7% | -2.1% | -4.7% | -7.0% |
| 2014-10-17 | beat | 0.61 | 0.64 | +4.5% | +1.1% | +0.6% | +2.7% |
| 2014-07-18 | beat | 0.56 | 0.56 | +0.3% | +0.0% | +1.1% | +3.8% |
| 2014-04-22 | beat | 0.53 | 0.57 | +6.7% | -0.4% | +0.1% | +0.3% |
| 2014-01-17 | beat | 0.54 | 0.55 | +2.2% | -1.4% | -3.6% | -5.5% |
| 2013-10-16 | beat | 0.58 | 0.62 | +7.0% | +1.0% | -0.3% | +2.4% |
| 2013-07-17 | beat | 0.57 | 0.63 | +11.2% | +2.3% | +1.9% | +5.2% |
| 2013-04-17 | beat | 0.52 | 0.53 | +2.3% | -2.4% | -2.1% | +0.3% |
| 2013-01-16 | beat | 0.54 | 0.56 | +3.9% | -3.7% | -2.8% | +0.9% |
| 2012-10-17 | beat | 0.54 | 0.63 | +16.2% | +3.1% | +5.5% | +4.5% |
| 2012-07-18 | beat | 0.53 | 0.57 | +7.7% | -0.5% | -0.1% | -5.2% |
| 2012-04-18 | beat | 0.52 | 0.52 | +1.2% | -2.5% | -3.0% | -0.6% |
| 2012-01-18 | miss | 0.54 | 0.49 | -9.0% | -3.9% | -4.6% | -3.3% |
Not investment advice.
Continue with Google