BPModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.5%
Next 1 month
+1.4%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +1.6% median,
60% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 16
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.02%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.62 +1.6% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$74M/day volume
23% volatility
+43% 1-year
-46% from ATH
52-week range · 68% of the way up · -13% from the high
$108.74$179.24
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-27 (Wednesday, before open, in 88 days) · EPS est. 3.86.
1-day std dev
4.5%
Finished up
57%
Biggest pop
+13.8%
Biggest drop
-10.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | beat | 3.88 | 4.21 | +8.5% | -0.3% | -2.8% | -2.3% |
| 2026-07-23 | beat | 3.68 | 4.35 | +18.1% | +0.7% | -1.7% | +0.7% |
| 2026-04-23 | beat | 3.21 | 3.78 | +17.9% | +2.3% | +0.7% | +1.4% |
| 2026-01-27 | beat | 3.04 | 3.40 | +11.6% | +2.8% | +6.3% | +15.1% |
| 2025-10-23 | beat | 2.91 | 3.14 | +8.1% | -1.1% | -1.2% | -4.4% |
| 2025-07-23 | beat | 2.54 | 3.09 | +21.8% | +0.7% | +0.3% | -0.9% |
| 2025-04-23 | beat | 2.18 | 2.56 | +17.3% | +3.9% | +5.9% | +6.6% |
| 2025-01-28 | beat | 2.10 | 2.52 | +20.4% | +1.2% | -1.3% | -2.4% |
| 2024-10-23 | miss | 2.38 | 2.16 | -9.3% | -3.8% | -10.2% | -9.2% |
| 2024-07-24 | beat | 2.15 | 2.46 | +14.6% | -0.4% | -3.5% | -0.3% |
| 2024-04-23 | beat | 1.85 | 1.88 | +1.7% | -3.8% | +3.1% | -0.3% |
| 2024-01-25 | beat | 1.69 | 1.95 | +15.6% | +1.6% | +2.8% | +2.2% |
| 2023-10-26 | beat | 1.84 | 1.90 | +3.4% | +3.5% | +7.7% | +13.4% |
| 2023-07-26 | beat | 1.83 | 2.10 | +14.9% | +2.7% | +6.4% | +6.6% |
| 2023-04-26 | beat | 2.03 | 2.22 | +9.1% | +5.0% | +3.2% | -3.6% |
| 2023-01-25 | beat | 2.62 | 2.62 | +0.1% | -4.2% | -3.2% | +0.8% |
| 2022-10-26 | miss | 2.74 | 2.64 | -3.5% | +0.2% | -6.8% | -9.8% |
| 2022-07-28 | beat | 2.53 | 2.77 | +9.3% | +2.4% | -4.2% | -5.0% |
| 2022-04-26 | beat | 2.30 | 2.69 | +16.8% | -3.4% | -1.7% | +1.3% |
| 2022-01-27 | beat | 2.28 | 2.58 | +13.2% | -2.7% | -2.9% | +1.7% |
| 2021-10-20 | beat | 2.24 | 3.09 | +38.1% | -0.4% | +2.2% | +0.5% |
| 2021-07-22 | beat | 2.05 | 2.66 | +29.6% | -0.4% | -0.5% | +1.5% |
| 2021-04-28 | beat | 1.88 | 3.12 | +66.0% | -2.5% | -2.0% | +3.4% |
| 2021-01-28 | beat | 1.63 | 2.10 | +28.8% | +10.3% | +7.4% | +12.6% |
| 2020-10-28 | beat | 1.19 | 2.00 | +67.4% | -1.8% | +2.4% | +11.3% |
| 2020-07-23 | beat | 0.93 | 1.49 | +59.9% | +2.3% | +6.4% | +1.0% |
| 2020-04-30 | miss | 1.45 | 0.37 | -74.5% | -4.5% | -7.8% | -14.9% |
| 2020-01-28 | beat | 1.56 | 1.72 | +10.3% | +4.0% | -1.1% | -2.6% |
| 2019-10-23 | beat | 1.60 | 1.70 | +6.2% | -0.3% | -2.0% | +0.7% |
| 2019-07-24 | beat | 1.56 | 1.76 | +13.1% | +2.1% | +3.8% | +5.9% |
| 2019-04-18 | beat | 1.45 | 1.69 | +16.7% | +1.5% | +3.0% | +3.5% |
| 2019-01-23 | beat | 1.38 | 1.51 | +9.6% | +0.2% | +0.5% | +8.0% |
| 2018-10-24 | beat | 1.21 | 1.38 | +13.7% | +2.1% | -1.6% | +3.9% |
| 2018-07-23 | beat | 0.95 | 1.19 | +24.6% | +1.7% | +4.8% | +5.3% |
| 2018-04-24 | beat | 0.80 | 0.89 | +11.5% | +1.0% | +4.0% | +6.3% |
| 2018-01-23 | beat | 0.50 | 0.64 | +29.7% | -0.9% | +5.8% | +3.8% |
| 2017-10-31 | beat | 0.93 | 0.97 | +4.9% | -0.6% | +7.6% | -3.1% |
| 2017-07-26 | beat | 0.91 | 0.94 | +3.7% | +0.4% | -1.1% | +0.0% |
| 2017-04-25 | beat | 0.83 | 0.89 | +7.2% | +1.8% | +1.6% | +3.5% |
| 2017-01-24 | miss | 0.87 | 0.84 | -2.6% | +1.6% | +2.2% | +0.6% |
| 2016-10-25 | beat | 0.88 | 0.91 | +4.3% | -1.9% | -3.3% | -7.4% |
| 2016-07-26 | beat | 0.82 | 0.88 | +7.5% | +0.3% | +3.7% | +9.0% |
| 2016-04-25 | beat | 0.81 | 0.81 | +0.4% | -5.0% | -2.0% | -0.6% |
| 2016-01-26 | beat | 0.92 | 0.94 | +2.5% | +0.0% | +7.4% | +9.3% |
| 2015-10-23 | beat | 0.90 | 0.91 | +0.4% | -0.1% | -3.6% | -5.8% |
| 2015-07-24 | beat | 0.85 | 0.87 | +2.3% | +5.8% | +5.9% | +4.5% |
| 2015-04-27 | beat | 0.71 | 0.88 | +23.3% | -1.9% | -2.4% | -4.1% |
| 2015-01-22 | beat | 0.67 | 0.77 | +16.4% | +0.7% | +1.9% | +0.2% |
| 2014-10-22 | beat | 0.71 | 0.88 | +23.9% | -0.1% | +2.8% | +10.6% |
| 2014-07-24 | beat | 0.69 | 0.73 | +5.8% | +0.0% | +0.6% | -5.5% |
| 2014-05-12 | beat | 0.66 | 0.83 | +25.1% | +0.3% | +2.6% | -2.1% |
| 2014-01-23 | beat | 0.67 | 0.71 | +7.3% | +1.9% | +0.8% | -3.8% |
| 2013-10-23 | miss | 0.71 | 0.59 | -17.7% | +1.9% | -0.9% | -4.2% |
| 2013-07-18 | miss | 0.68 | 0.65 | -4.2% | +0.6% | +3.7% | +2.8% |
| 2013-04-18 | miss | 0.60 | 0.58 | -4.0% | -1.2% | -1.8% | +6.2% |
| 2013-01-24 | miss | 0.50 | 0.50 | -0.5% | +4.9% | +13.8% | +18.2% |
| 2012-10-19 | beat | 0.47 | 0.60 | +26.9% | -3.0% | -1.6% | +1.2% |
| 2012-07-18 | beat | 0.37 | 0.43 | +15.2% | -0.6% | -9.2% | -13.4% |
| 2012-04-20 | beat | 0.30 | 0.50 | +66.7% | +3.3% | +3.8% | -0.5% |
| 2012-01-25 | miss | 0.30 | 0.14 | -54.8% | +2.5% | +3.7% | -0.6% |
Not investment advice.
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