BRModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
-0.2%
Next 1 month
+1.7%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): +4.2% median,
67% of the last 39 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 59
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.00%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.44 +1.1% · Seasonal tilt +0.6%
$21M/day volume
33% volatility
+8% 1-year
-17% from ATH
52-week range · 42% of the way up · -17% from the high
$70.57$99.29
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-17 (Tuesday, before open, in 15 days) · EPS est. 1.51.
1-day std dev
6.1%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+19.0%
Biggest drop
-8.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | beat | 1.47 | 1.48 | +1.0% | +2.8% | +0.2% | -3.6% |
| 2026-05-18 | beat | 1.35 | 1.50 | +11.5% | +8.5% | +19.0% | +23.7% |
| 2026-02-19 | 1.09 | 1.09 | — | -0.9% | -2.2% | -3.4% | |
| 2025-11-17 | beat | 1.19 | 1.21 | +1.7% | +2.8% | -2.4% | +5.4% |
| 2025-09-04 | beat | 1.24 | 1.26 | +2.0% | +6.8% | +6.5% | +2.8% |
| 2025-05-16 | beat | 1.22 | 1.22 | +0.4% | -1.3% | -6.2% | -9.8% |
| 2025-02-21 | miss | 1.03 | 1.00 | -2.9% | -5.7% | -6.8% | -2.8% |
| 2024-11-18 | beat | 1.10 | 1.12 | +1.8% | -4.8% | -5.5% | +1.7% |
| 2024-09-06 | beat | 1.11 | 1.19 | +7.5% | +2.2% | +0.5% | +3.9% |
| 2024-05-22 | beat | 1.03 | 1.09 | +6.2% | +4.9% | +11.4% | +11.8% |
| 2024-02-22 | miss | 0.93 | 0.93 | -0.4% | -1.5% | -5.3% | -6.8% |
| 2023-11-16 | beat | 0.95 | 1.00 | +5.6% | -1.1% | -1.6% | -1.7% |
| 2023-09-05 | beat | 0.93 | 1.04 | +12.2% | +9.4% | +11.4% | +9.6% |
| 2023-05-18 | beat | 0.90 | 0.95 | +5.6% | +2.6% | +3.6% | -4.0% |
| 2023-02-24 | beat | 0.78 | 0.81 | +3.4% | -0.4% | +3.4% | +6.8% |
| 2022-11-17 | beat | 0.82 | 0.84 | +2.4% | +3.1% | +1.1% | +0.3% |
| 2022-09-01 | miss | 0.85 | 0.81 | -4.7% | +0.6% | -0.5% | -3.8% |
| 2022-05-26 | beat | 0.76 | 0.81 | +6.9% | +5.8% | +5.4% | +6.2% |
| 2022-02-17 | beat | 0.65 | 0.65 | +0.4% | -0.7% | -2.7% | -7.5% |
| 2021-11-18 | miss | 0.73 | 0.67 | -7.6% | -0.5% | -6.9% | -6.2% |
| 2021-09-02 | miss | 0.71 | 0.70 | -0.7% | +5.2% | -2.1% | -6.0% |
| 2021-05-20 | beat | 0.67 | 0.71 | +6.8% | +2.0% | +1.2% | +4.1% |
| 2021-02-18 | miss | 0.61 | 0.59 | -2.9% | -1.0% | +0.1% | +3.8% |
| 2020-11-19 | beat | 0.57 | 0.64 | +11.6% | +2.0% | -2.6% | -3.0% |
| 2020-09-16 | beat | 0.52 | 0.53 | +2.4% | +1.4% | -6.0% | -17.5% |
| 2020-05-21 | miss | 0.48 | 0.47 | -1.6% | -3.6% | +0.9% | +9.4% |
| 2020-02-20 | beat | 0.57 | 0.62 | +8.3% | -2.1% | -4.3% | -4.0% |
| 2019-11-21 | beat | 0.63 | 0.70 | +11.6% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +3.1% |
| 2019-09-06 | beat | 0.61 | 0.68 | +12.4% | +6.0% | +5.1% | +13.9% |
| 2019-05-23 | beat | 0.56 | 0.65 | +16.1% | +1.5% | +3.9% | +0.7% |
| 2019-02-21 | beat | 0.52 | 0.55 | +6.2% | -1.2% | +1.1% | -0.1% |
| 2018-11-15 | beat | 0.52 | 0.58 | +10.7% | +2.5% | +2.1% | +1.6% |
| 2018-09-13 | beat | 0.52 | 0.57 | +9.2% | +3.7% | +8.7% | +7.9% |
| 2018-05-24 | miss | 0.50 | 0.49 | -1.2% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +1.0% |
| 2018-02-22 | beat | 0.44 | 0.48 | +9.7% | -2.9% | +1.2% | -2.4% |
| 2017-11-16 | beat | 0.48 | 0.49 | +2.1% | +0.0% | +4.7% | +2.6% |
| 2017-09-07 | beat | 0.46 | 0.48 | +4.0% | +0.9% | +6.3% | +9.5% |
| 2017-05-25 | miss | 0.43 | 0.43 | -0.8% | -1.1% | -2.8% | -2.0% |
| 2017-02-23 | beat | 0.34 | 0.40 | +17.1% | +1.0% | -0.4% | -1.3% |
| 2016-11-16 | miss | 0.44 | 0.44 | -0.4% | +1.3% | -1.6% | +1.7% |
| 2016-09-09 | beat | 0.38 | 0.49 | +30.3% | +7.5% | +4.2% | +4.5% |
| 2016-05-19 | beat | 0.34 | 0.42 | +22.9% | +6.0% | +13.7% | +20.5% |
| 2016-02-19 | beat | 0.23 | 0.30 | +32.4% | +7.7% | +13.1% | +16.6% |
| 2015-11-19 | beat | 0.28 | 0.37 | +30.6% | +4.5% | +16.0% | +22.2% |
| 2015-09-11 | miss | 0.34 | 0.28 | -17.6% | -5.7% | -8.2% | -4.8% |
| 2015-05-21 | miss | 0.37 | 0.34 | -8.8% | -3.9% | -2.4% | -5.2% |
| 2015-02-19 | miss | 0.30 | 0.29 | -4.7% | -3.9% | -2.1% | -3.7% |
| 2014-11-20 | miss | 0.40 | 0.36 | -9.7% | -0.5% | +4.1% | +6.4% |
| 2014-09-11 | miss | 0.49 | 0.41 | -16.8% | -7.6% | -7.7% | -14.4% |
| 2014-05-22 | beat | 0.38 | 0.43 | +12.7% | +6.7% | +14.6% | +11.8% |
| 2014-02-20 | miss | 0.38 | 0.25 | -33.3% | -1.3% | -2.3% | -3.1% |
| 2013-11-21 | miss | 0.48 | 0.42 | -12.5% | +0.5% | +0.3% | +7.7% |
| 2013-09-12 | beat | 0.52 | 0.53 | +1.6% | -4.9% | -6.4% | -4.1% |
| 2013-05-16 | miss | 0.60 | 0.55 | -7.6% | +0.5% | -0.9% | -7.3% |
| 2013-02-21 | miss | 0.48 | 0.38 | -21.5% | -4.0% | -2.8% | -4.0% |
| 2012-11-15 | beat | 0.55 | 0.59 | +6.4% | +1.4% | +2.4% | +3.2% |
| 2012-09-07 | miss | 0.52 | 0.47 | -9.1% | -1.7% | +0.9% | +6.3% |
| 2012-05-16 | 0.57 | 0.57 | — | +2.6% | -4.2% | -12.2% | |
| 2012-02-16 | beat | 0.49 | 0.49 | +0.6% | -0.4% | -0.1% | -3.5% |
| 2011-11-18 | beat | 0.59 | 0.62 | +5.8% | +0.2% | +5.3% | -1.6% |
Not investment advice.
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