BSModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.6%
Next 1 week
+0.3%
Next 1 month
+2.3%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -3.6% median,
44% of the last 16 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 33
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.01%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.25 +2.9% · Seasonal tilt -0.6%
$16.5B market cap (#604 US)
$23M/day volume
38% volatility
-23% 1-year
-70% from ATH
52-week range · 3% of the way up · -39% from the high
$4.38$7.32
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-03 (Wednesday, before open, in 93 days) · EPS est. 0.18.
1-day std dev
4.2%
Finished up
40%
Biggest pop
+13.9%
Biggest drop
-7.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | miss | 0.20 | 0.16 | -19.5% | -4.2% | -6.9% | +5.7% |
| 2026-04-29 | beat | 0.20 | 0.20 | +0.3% | -1.0% | -2.5% | +1.4% |
| 2026-02-04 | beat | 0.20 | 0.21 | +5.4% | +0.1% | -3.2% | +3.2% |
| 2025-07-30 | beat | 0.17 | 0.17 | +0.2% | -3.3% | -0.4% | +1.9% |
| 2025-04-30 | beat | 0.17 | 0.18 | +7.8% | -1.9% | +2.1% | -3.5% |
| 2025-02-05 | beat | 0.17 | 0.18 | +5.3% | +1.8% | +4.9% | +1.1% |
| 2024-02-19 | miss | 0.15 | 0.12 | -20.3% | -0.5% | -1.5% | -2.4% |
| 2023-10-25 | miss | 0.16 | 0.14 | -7.2% | -1.3% | -1.5% | -0.4% |
| 2023-07-26 | miss | 0.14 | 0.13 | -12.1% | +0.0% | -0.2% | -4.8% |
| 2023-04-25 | beat | 0.09 | 0.11 | +24.1% | -0.6% | +0.8% | -0.4% |
| 2023-02-28 | beat | 0.14 | 0.48 | +240.7% | -0.9% | -0.5% | -0.5% |
| 2022-10-26 | miss | 0.19 | 0.05 | -72.9% | +1.3% | +3.8% | +8.4% |
| 2022-08-31 | miss | 0.21 | 0.07 | -67.3% | +0.2% | -0.7% | +2.8% |
| 2022-04-26 | miss | 0.21 | 0.11 | -45.6% | -6.3% | -7.8% | -8.0% |
| 2022-02-02 | miss | 0.21 | 0.09 | -59.2% | -2.7% | -3.2% | -3.0% |
| 2021-10-27 | beat | 0.21 | 0.41 | +92.0% | +1.6% | +0.2% | +3.7% |
| 2021-07-28 | beat | 0.19 | 0.29 | +48.6% | +2.0% | +3.0% | -1.9% |
| 2021-04-28 | miss | 0.19 | 0.17 | -9.2% | +4.5% | +10.3% | +5.5% |
| 2021-02-03 | beat | 0.17 | 0.19 | +15.3% | +2.5% | -0.4% | -2.4% |
| 2020-10-27 | beat | 0.14 | 0.18 | +29.2% | +0.0% | -5.1% | -7.9% |
| 2020-07-29 | beat | 0.12 | 0.44 | +271.5% | +4.5% | +3.6% | -6.0% |
| 2020-04-28 | miss | 0.19 | 0.17 | -10.0% | +6.7% | +13.5% | +5.6% |
| 2020-01-29 | miss | 0.25 | 0.23 | -8.6% | +0.7% | -2.5% | -3.9% |
| 2019-10-30 | beat | 0.23 | 0.24 | +5.3% | -0.8% | -1.6% | -5.1% |
| 2019-07-23 | beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +7.4% | +0.6% | -1.4% | -8.4% |
| 2019-04-30 | beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +6.5% | +0.9% | -1.3% | -5.3% |
| 2019-01-30 | beat | 0.23 | 0.24 | +4.3% | -3.9% | -1.1% | -2.4% |
| 2018-10-31 | beat | 0.22 | 0.22 | +0.1% | -2.7% | -6.1% | -8.0% |
| 2018-07-25 | beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +3.3% | +7.3% | +7.4% | +7.6% |
| 2018-04-25 | beat | 0.22 | 0.22 | +1.2% | -2.2% | -3.7% | -8.0% |
| 2018-01-30 | beat | 0.20 | 0.30 | +47.7% | +4.4% | +1.1% | -3.6% |
| 2017-10-26 | beat | 0.17 | 0.18 | +3.1% | -1.3% | -5.4% | -6.6% |
| 2017-07-28 | beat | 0.18 | 0.20 | +10.9% | +0.2% | -0.9% | +1.4% |
| 2017-04-26 | beat | 0.15 | 0.19 | +30.9% | +0.0% | +0.1% | +3.2% |
| 2017-01-26 | beat | 0.13 | 0.17 | +29.8% | +0.3% | -0.3% | +2.9% |
| 2016-10-26 | beat | 0.11 | 0.19 | +76.2% | +1.4% | +0.5% | -0.4% |
| 2016-07-27 | beat | 0.10 | 0.15 | +53.0% | +1.3% | -0.8% | +0.8% |
| 2016-04-27 | beat | 0.05 | 0.13 | +159.2% | +3.3% | +2.5% | +6.0% |
| 2016-01-27 | beat | 0.07 | 0.11 | +44.4% | -0.3% | +0.0% | +4.5% |
| 2015-10-29 | beat | 0.09 | 0.11 | +26.6% | -2.5% | -1.4% | +12.9% |
| 2015-07-30 | beat | 0.10 | 0.10 | +4.2% | +1.3% | +0.7% | -5.6% |
| 2015-04-28 | miss | 0.13 | 0.12 | -7.9% | +3.1% | +5.3% | +6.5% |
| 2015-02-05 | beat | 0.12 | 0.12 | +3.1% | -1.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% |
| 2014-11-04 | beat | 0.14 | 0.16 | +12.1% | -1.3% | -0.4% | +0.7% |
| 2014-07-31 | miss | 0.16 | 0.09 | -40.3% | -2.7% | -4.0% | -7.4% |
| 2014-04-29 | beat | 0.11 | 0.13 | +10.2% | +19.4% | +13.9% | +14.2% |
| 2014-01-30 | beat | 0.14 | 0.43 | +219.1% | +0.4% | -2.9% | -1.4% |
| 2013-10-24 | beat | 0.13 | 0.17 | +29.7% | -1.7% | -2.1% | -1.4% |
| 2013-07-30 | beat | 0.15 | 0.16 | +10.0% | +3.0% | +1.6% | -3.3% |
| 2013-04-25 | beat | 0.16 | 0.20 | +27.7% | -0.7% | -1.0% | -0.3% |
| 2013-01-31 | miss | 0.17 | -0.05 | -129.3% | -1.4% | +1.8% | -1.2% |
| 2012-10-25 | beat | 0.16 | 0.19 | +19.8% | +0.0% | +0.3% | +0.3% |
| 2012-07-26 | beat | 0.18 | 0.20 | +11.2% | -1.0% | +3.3% | +6.8% |
| 2012-04-26 | beat | 0.20 | 0.25 | +25.8% | +0.5% | +0.4% | -2.6% |
| 2012-01-31 | beat | 0.20 | 0.27 | +35.8% | -1.2% | -2.5% | +5.8% |
| 2011-10-27 | beat | 0.23 | 0.27 | +19.3% | +4.5% | +7.9% | +2.2% |
| 2011-07-27 | beat | 0.26 | 0.35 | +35.5% | +0.0% | -3.4% | -7.0% |
| 2011-04-28 | beat | 0.24 | 0.34 | +44.7% | -2.7% | -4.6% | -7.1% |
| 2011-02-11 | beat | 0.26 | 0.30 | +18.0% | -0.5% | +0.3% | +0.7% |
| 2011-02-02 | miss | 0.20 | 0.01 | -94.1% | -1.7% | -2.0% | +0.8% |
Not investment advice.
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