BTModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
-0.2%
Next 1 month
+0.6%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): -4.2% median,
38% of the last 8 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 24
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.09%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.37 +0.9% · Seasonal tilt (8y) -0.3%
$50M/day volume
54% volatility
-18% 1-year
-54% from ATH
52-week range · 10% of the way up · -46% from the high
$20.06$41.14
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, before open, in 4 days) · EPS est. -0.03.
1-day std dev
8.5%
Finished up
42%
Biggest pop
+25.6%
Biggest drop
-22.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 38 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | miss | -0.32 | -0.41 | -27.8% | -7.8% | -10.4% | -1.9% |
| 2026-05-05 | miss | 0.07 | -0.18 | -369.1% | -4.2% | -5.7% | -6.6% |
| 2026-02-05 | miss | 0.07 | 0.05 | -32.9% | -2.4% | -2.2% | +0.4% |
| 2025-10-30 | beat | -0.13 | 0.03 | +120.5% | -3.1% | -4.2% | +10.1% |
| 2025-07-31 | beat | -0.05 | 0.09 | +262.4% | -7.6% | +4.7% | +10.4% |
| 2025-05-08 | — | 0.33 | — | -0.2% | -1.2% | -0.1% | |
| 2025-02-06 | miss | 0.37 | 0.34 | -9.4% | -4.3% | -9.1% | -4.9% |
| 2024-10-31 | beat | 0.57 | 0.77 | +35.4% | +6.3% | +6.4% | +17.7% |
| 2024-08-01 | beat | 0.63 | 1.39 | +120.9% | +7.2% | +1.8% | -0.2% |
| 2024-05-02 | beat | 0.32 | 0.47 | +48.8% | +2.3% | +0.5% | +3.6% |
| 2024-02-08 | miss | 1.42 | 1.30 | -8.4% | -4.9% | +0.2% | -5.0% |
| 2023-10-26 | miss | 0.91 | 0.89 | -1.9% | -7.5% | -3.7% | -4.2% |
| 2023-07-27 | miss | 1.81 | 1.17 | -35.2% | -3.0% | -3.3% | -3.5% |
| 2023-04-27 | miss | 1.33 | 1.26 | -5.5% | -0.4% | +1.8% | -5.7% |
| 2023-02-14 | beat | 1.93 | 2.74 | +42.0% | +5.5% | +13.3% | -0.6% |
| 2022-11-03 | beat | 1.80 | 1.93 | +7.2% | +9.4% | +2.7% | +19.4% |
| 2022-07-28 | miss | 3.10 | 2.81 | -9.5% | +4.0% | -3.1% | -17.1% |
| 2022-04-28 | miss | 2.19 | 1.60 | -27.2% | -12.1% | -7.5% | -16.2% |
| 2022-02-10 | beat | 1.67 | 3.46 | +107.4% | +6.3% | +9.9% | +28.3% |
| 2021-10-28 | beat | 0.14 | 2.04 | +1407.4% | -7.2% | -7.9% | -13.5% |
| 2021-07-29 | beat | -0.56 | -0.02 | +96.2% | -5.6% | +9.1% | +8.3% |
| 2021-04-29 | miss | -0.41 | -0.56 | -36.8% | -10.5% | -9.3% | +7.5% |
| 2021-02-04 | miss | -0.37 | -0.40 | -8.3% | -15.4% | -14.9% | -13.3% |
| 2020-11-09 | beat | -0.78 | -0.10 | +86.8% | +9.4% | -7.7% | +2.6% |
| 2020-08-05 | beat | -1.28 | -0.98 | +23.9% | -3.8% | -7.9% | -14.0% |
| 2020-04-29 | miss | -0.97 | -1.05 | -8.3% | -3.7% | +8.7% | -6.3% |
| 2020-02-05 | beat | -0.97 | -0.91 | +5.7% | -4.7% | +25.6% | +4.2% |
| 2019-10-29 | beat | -0.38 | -0.32 | +15.8% | -10.2% | -22.2% | -32.7% |
| 2019-07-31 | miss | 0.24 | 0.24 | -0.3% | +0.0% | -4.8% | -20.2% |
| 2019-05-01 | miss | 0.26 | 0.11 | -58.7% | +1.8% | -5.6% | -1.7% |
| 2019-02-06 | miss | 0.68 | 0.62 | -8.4% | +4.2% | -10.6% | -13.3% |
| 2018-10-30 | miss | 1.06 | 0.63 | -40.6% | +4.7% | +3.4% | +4.1% |
| 2018-07-24 | miss | 1.06 | 0.90 | -14.8% | +1.5% | +0.2% | -2.1% |
| 2018-04-25 | miss | 0.98 | 0.82 | -16.0% | -0.7% | -0.4% | -2.3% |
| 2018-02-07 | miss | 1.31 | 1.17 | -11.1% | +0.1% | -0.6% | +2.0% |
| 2017-10-25 | beat | 1.35 | 1.69 | +25.2% | +2.2% | +3.2% | +5.7% |
| 2017-08-01 | beat | 1.05 | 1.24 | +18.7% | +6.4% | +7.3% | +2.6% |
| 2017-05-04 | beat | 1.86 | 11.28 | +507.9% | -0.1% | -5.1% | -1.3% |
Not investment advice.
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